Basque parliamentary election, 2012
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Provinces won by EAJ-PNV (green) and EHB (light green) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections for the Basque Parliament were held in the Basque Country, a Spanish autonomous community, on 21 October 2012, a year earlier than required.[1] The Basque National Party defended its position as the strongest party, while the left-wing separatist Bildu coalition made significant gains in terms of its share of votes and seats. All other major parties lost votes and seats.[2]
Electoral system
The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected in 3 multi-member districts using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation. Each district was entitled to 25 seats. Only lists polling above 3% of the total vote in each district (which includes blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.[3]
Background
Following the 2009 parliamentary election, Patxi López of the Basque Socialist Party (PSE-EE) became the first Lehendakari (i.e. regional president) in thirty years not to be affiliated to the Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ-PNV).
In 2011 Eusko Alkartasuna (EA), Alternatiba, other abertzale groups and independent individuals from the Basque leftist-nationalist milieu, formed a coalition named Bildu.
In the 2011 municipal elections, the EAJ-PNV came first with 30.1% of the vote, but the big winner was Bildu, which obtained 25.5% and a majority of town councillors. Among the other parties, the PSE-EE gained 16.3%, the People's Party (PP) 13.5%, and Aralar 3.0%.[4]
In late 2011 the leftist-secessionist coalition was enlarged to include other abertzale groups, including Aralar. In the 2011 general election, this new coalition, known as Amaiur, came second in the Basque Country with 24.1% of the vote, behind the EAJ-PNV, which came first with 27.4%. Among the other parties, the PSE-EE won 21.5% of the vote and the PP 17.8%.[5]
The four main groups that constituted Amaiur, namely abertzale left (former Batasuna members, led by Rufi Etxeberria), EA, Alternatiba and Aralar, announced that they would also stand as part of a joint list also in the election.[6] That list was named Euskal Herria Bildu (EHB)[7] and Laura Mintegi was chosen as candidate for Lehendakari.[8]
Results
< 2009 2016 >
Party | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | ||||||
Basque National Party Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea - EAJ-PNV | 383,565 | 34.64 | 3.92 | 27 | 3 | |||||
Basque Country Gather Euskal Herria Bildu - EHB | 276,989 | 25.00 | 15.28 | 21 | 16 | |||||
Socialist Party of the Basque Country – Basque Country Left Partido Socialista de Euskadi – Euskadiko Ezkerra - PSE-EE | 211,939 | 19.13 | 11.57 | 16 | 9 | |||||
People's Party Partido Popular - PP | 129,907 | 11.73 | 2.37 | 10 | 3 | |||||
Union, Progress and Democracy Unión, Progreso y Democracia - UPyD | 21,492 | 1.94 | 0.21 | 1 | ||||||
Other parties | 83.872 | 7.57 | 4.54 | 0 | 1 | |||||
Blank votes | 14,615 | 1.29 | 0.28 | |||||||
Valid votes | 1,122,379 | 99.20 | 7.99 | |||||||
Invalid votes | 9.106 | 0.80 | 7.99 | |||||||
Totals and voter turnout | 1,131,485 | 65.83 | 1.15 | 75 | — | |||||
Electorate | 1,718,696 | 100.00 | — | |||||||
Source: El País |
Opinion polls
Vote
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PNV | PSE | PP | Aralar | EA | IU | UPyD | EHB | EB-B | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Oct 2012 | Regional Election | 34.2 | 18.9 | 11.6 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.7 | 1.9 | 24.7 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 9.5 |
Exit polls | ||||||||||||
2–13 Oct | NC-Report | 33.2 | 18.9 | 13.0 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.7 | 2.5 | 26.4 | 2.3 | 6.8 | |
2–11 Oct | Aztiker | 34.7 | 14.6 | 10.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.2 | 2.2 | 28.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 6.2 |
8–10 Oct | Sigma-2 | 33.3 | 20.2 | 14.7 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.8 | 2.1 | 24.5 | 2.4 | 8.8 | |
3–10 Oct | My Word | 32.3 | 18.8 | 10.5 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1.8 | 5.8 | 25.6 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 6.7 |
1–10 Oct | Aztiker | 35.2 | 14.6 | 10.4 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.3 | 2.2 | 28.3 | 6.0 | 6.9 | |
30 Sep–9 Oct | Aztiker | 34.4 | 15.3 | 10.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.2 | 2.1 | 28.2 | 6.0 | 6.2 | |
29 Sep–8 Oct | Aztiker | 34.6 | 15.3 | 11.2 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.1 | 2.0 | 27.9 | 5.9 | 6.7 | |
6–7 Oct | Ikerfel | 33.1 | 18.5 | 12.5 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 4.5 | 1.9 | 26.3 | 3.2 | 6.8 | |
28 Sep–7 Oct | Aztiker | 32.7 | 15.6 | 11.5 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.8 | 2.6 | 27.2 | 6.6 | 5.5 | |
1–5 Oct | GPS | 33.4 | 19.4 | 11.4 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.6 | 1.5 | 26.6 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 6.8 |
25 Sep–5 Oct | Aztiker | 32.2 | 16.8 | 11.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.0 | 2.1 | 27.4 | 6.7 | 4.8 | |
25 Sep–4 Oct | NC-Report | 32.1 | 18.9 | 13.3 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.8 | 28.0 | 4.9 | 4.1 | ||
24 Sep–4 Oct | Aztiker | 33.4 | 14.9 | 12.4 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.4 | 2.0 | 27.2 | 6.7 | 6.2 | |
2–3 Oct | Gizaker | 33.9 | 19.8 | 14.2 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1.9 | 1.3 | 27.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6.8 |
23 Sep–3 Oct | Aztiker | 35.8 | 15.8 | 13.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.6 | 1.7 | 27.4 | 1.9 | 8.4 | |
22 Sep–2 Oct | Aztiker | 35.1 | 16.3 | 14.1 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.8 | 1.7 | 26.8 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 8.3 |
30 Sep | NC-Report | 31.5 | 17.1 | 13.7 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.1 | 27.5 | 7.1 | 4.0 | ||
10–25 Sep | CIS | 36.2 | 17.2 | 10.7 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 4.2 | 2.0 | 25.1 | 4.6 | 11.1 | |
23 Sep | NC-Report | 31.5 | 18.2 | 13.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.5 | 27.7 | 6.3 | 3.8 | ||
16 Sep | NC-Report | 32.0 | 18.6 | 14.3 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.9 | 26.7 | 5.5 | 5.3 | ||
9 Sep | NC-Report | 31.8 | 18.9 | 14.2 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.8 | 26.3 | 6.0 | 5.5 | ||
21–25 Aug | NC-Report | 31.2 | 19.0 | 14.1 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.5 | 3.1 | 26.5 | 2.6 | 4.7 | |
22–24 Aug | Sigma-2 | 33.7 | 21.4 | 12.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2.3 | 1.1 | 27.3 | 1.4 | 6.4 | |
24 Jun | Ikerfel | 34.6 | 18.8 | 12.1 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 4.7 | 1.2 | 25.8 | 2.8 | 8.8 | |
21–23 Jun | NC-Report | 30.6 | 19.5 | 16.7 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.8 | 2.3 | 25.1 | 2.0 | 5.5 | |
8–24 May | UPV/EHU | 32.1 | 20.0 | 14.0 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.0 | 1.8 | 24.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 7.4 |
7–12 May | NC-Report | 29.8 | 19.1 | 16.5 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.5 | 27.2 | 3.9 | 2.6 | ||
23 Apr | Gara | 29.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 5.0 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | ||
2012 | ||||||||||||
25 Nov–19 Dec | UPV/EHU | 30.7 | 18.3 | 15.4 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.1 | 1.8 | 24.7 | 6.0 | 6.0 | |
20 Nov 2011 | General Election | 27.4 | 21.6 | 17.8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3.7 | 1.8 | 24.1 | 3.6 | 3.3 | |
22 May 2011 | JJGG Election | 29.6 | 16.1 | 13.7 | 3.3 | w. EHB | 3.2 | 0.8 | 24.3 | 9.0 | 5.3 | |
27–29 Jan | Gizaker | 36.7 | 24.4 | 12.4 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 12.8 | 6.8 | 12.3 | |||
2011 | ||||||||||||
2 Apr | Gizaker | 38.9 | 29.3 | 13.3 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 9.6 | ||
2010 | ||||||||||||
7 Jun 2009 | EP Election | 28.5 | 27.8 | 16.0 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 16.0 | 3.8 | 0.7 | ||
1 Mar 2009 | Regional Election | 38.1 | 30.4 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 7.7 |
Seats
Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
Date | Polling Firm/Source | PNV | PSE | PP | Aralar | EA | IU | UPyD | EHB | EB-B | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Oct 2012 | Regional Election | 27 | 16 | 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
21 Oct | Ipsos-Eco | 24 / 27 | 13 / 15 | 9 / 11 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 23 / 26 | 0 | 0 |
Exit polls | |||||||||||
2–13 Oct | NC-Report | 24 / 27 | 14 / 16 | 10 / 12 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 1 | 20 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
2–11 Oct | Aztiker | 28 | 12 | 9 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
8–10 Oct | Sigma-2 | 24 / 26 | 16 / 18 | 12 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
3–10 Oct | My Word | 25 / 27 | 14 / 15 | 9 / 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 | 1 | 23 / 25 | 0 | 0 |
1–10 Oct | Aztiker | 28 | 12 | 8 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
30 Sep–9 Oct | Aztiker | 28 | 12 | 9 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
29 Sep–8 Oct | Aztiker | 27 | 13 | 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
6–7 Oct | Ikerfel | 25 / 27 | 15 / 16 | 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 / 3 | 0 / 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
28 Sep–7 Oct | Aztiker | 27 | 13 | 9 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
1–5 Oct | GPS | 24 / 26 | 16 / 17 | 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 / 1 | 1 | 21 / 23 | 0 | 0 |
25 Sep–5 Oct | Aztiker | 26 | 13 | 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
25 Sep–4 Oct | NC-Report | 24 / 25 | 14 | 10 / 12 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3 | 1 | 21 / 23 | 0 | 0 |
24 Sep–4 Oct | Aztiker | 26 | 13 | 11 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
2–3 Oct | Gizaker | 24 / 25 | 16 / 17 | 11 / 13 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 | 0 | 21 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
23 Sep–3 Oct | Aztiker | 26 | 14 | 11 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
22 Sep–2 Oct | Aztiker | 26 | 14 | 11 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
30 Sep | NC-Report | 23 / 25 | 14 / 15 | 11 / 13 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 / 1 | 0 | 22 / 24 | 0 | 0 |
10–25 Sep | CIS | 27 | 14 | 9 / 10 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 3 | 0 | 21 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
23 Sep | NC-Report | 23 / 25 | 14 / 15 | 11 / 13 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 / 2 | 0 | 21 / 24 | 0 | 0 |
16 Sep | NC-Report | 23 / 26 | 14 / 16 | 11 / 13 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 | 1 | 21 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
21–25 Aug | NC-Report | 22 / 25 | 14 / 16 | 11 / 13 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 1 | 20 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
22–24 Aug | Sigma-2 | 24 / 25 | 17 | 12 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 | 0 | 21 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
24 Jun | Ikerfel | 24 / 26 | 14 / 17 | 11 / 12 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 0 | 19 / 21 | 0 | 0 |
21–23 Jun | NC-Report | 22 / 24 | 15 / 16 | 14 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 / 2 | 0 | 21 / 22 | 0 | 0 |
8–24 May | UPV/EHU | 23 / 24 | 17 | 12 / 13 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
7–12 May | NC-Report | 22 / 23 | 15 | 14 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 1 / 2 | 0 | 22 / 23 | 0 | 0 |
23 Apr | Gara | 22 | 12 | 15 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
2012 | |||||||||||
25 Nov–19 Dec | UPV/EHU | 22 / 23 | 16 | 14 | w. EHB | w. EHB | 0 / 3 | 0 | 19 / 22 | 0 | |
20 Nov 2011 | General Election | (20) | (18) | (15) | w. EHB | w. EHB | (2) | (0) | (20) | (0) | |
22 May 2011 | JJGG Election | (24) | (13) | (13) | (1) | w. EHB | (2) | (0) | (22) | (0) | |
27–29 Jan | Gizaker | 29 / 30 | 20 / 21 | 11 / 12 | 3 / 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 / 10 | 0 | |
2011 | |||||||||||
2 Apr | Gizaker | 31 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
2010 | |||||||||||
7 Jun 2009 | EP Election | (21) | (24) | (14) | (4) | (0) | (0) | (12) | (0) | ||
1 Mar 2009 | Regional Election | 30 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
References
- ↑ "Patxi López convoca elecciones para que los vascos elijan un "modelo" anticrisis" (in Spanish). El Pais. Retrieved 2012-08-21.
- ↑ "El desplome del PSOE y Feijóo rescatan a Rajoy ante el reto soberanista en Euskadi", El País, 21 October 2012
- ↑ "Law 5/1990, of 15 June, of elections to the Basque Parliament".
- ↑ http://elecciones.mir.es/resultados2011/99MU/DMU14999CM_L1.htm
- ↑ http://elecciones.mir.es/resultadosgenerales2011/99CG/DCG14999CM_L1.htm
- ↑ http://www.deia.com/2012/02/22/politica/euskadi/la-ia-ea-alternatiba-y-aralar-concurriran-juntos-a-las-proximas-elecciones-vascas-
- ↑ http://ccaa.elpais.com/ccaa/2012/06/09/paisvasco/1339264728_612106.html
- ↑ http://www.lavanguardia.com/politica/20120702/54319662264/laura-mintegi-candidata-lehendakari-coalicion-abertzale-euskal-herria-bildu.html
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