Birnbaum–Saunders distribution

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The BirnbaumSaunders distribution, also known as the fatigue life distribution, is a probability distribution used extensively in reliability applications to model failure times. There are several alternative formulations of this distribution in the literature. It is named after Z. W. Birnbaum and S. C. Saunders.

Theory

This distribution was developed to model failures due to cracks. A material is placed under repeated cycles of stress. The jth cycle leads to an increase in the crack by Xj amount. The sum of the Xj is assumed to be normally distributed with mean and variance 2. The probability that the crack does not exceed a critical length ω is

P(X>\omega )=\Phi ({\frac  {\omega -n\mu }{\sigma {\sqrt  {n}}}})

where Φ() is the normal distribution.

If T is the number of cycles to failure then the cumulative distribution function of T is

P(T\leq t)=1-\Phi ({\frac  {\omega -t\mu }{\sigma {\sqrt  {t}}}})=\Phi ({\frac  {t\mu -\omega }{\sigma {\sqrt  {t}}}})=\Phi ({\frac  {\mu {\sqrt  {t}}}{\sigma }}-{\frac  {\omega }{\sigma {\sqrt  {t}}}})=\Phi \left({\frac  {{\sqrt  {\mu \omega }}}{\sigma }}\left[({\frac  {t}{\omega /\mu }})^{{0.5}}-({\frac  {\omega /\mu }{t}})^{{0.5}}\right]\right)

The more usual form of this distribution is:

F(x;\alpha ,\beta )=\Phi \left({\frac  {1}{\alpha }}\left[({\frac  {x}{\beta }})^{{0.5}}-({\frac  {\beta }{x}})^{{0.5}}\right]\right)

Here α is the shape parameter and β is the location parameter.

Properties

The Birnbaum–Saunders distribution is unimodal with a median of β.

The mean (μ), variance (σ2), skewness (γ) and kurtosis (κ) are as follows:

\mu =\beta (1+{\frac  {\alpha ^{2}}{2}})

\sigma ^{2}=(\alpha \beta )^{2}(1+{\frac  {5\alpha ^{2}}{4}})

\gamma ={\frac  {16\alpha ^{2}(11\alpha ^{2}+6)}{(5\alpha ^{2}+4)^{3}}}

\kappa =3+{\frac  {6\alpha ^{2}(93\alpha ^{2}+41)}{(5\alpha ^{2}+4)^{2}}}

Given a data set that is thought to be Birnbaum-Saunders distributed the parameters' values are best estimated by maximum likelihood.

If T is Birnbaum-Saunders distributed with parameters α and β then T−1 is also Birnbaum-Saunders distributed with parameters α and β−1.

Transformation

Let T be a Birnbaum-Saunders distributed variate with parameters α and β. A useful transformation of T is

X={\frac  {1}{2}}[({\frac  {T}{\beta }})^{{0.5}}-({\frac  {T}{\beta }})^{{-0.5}}]

Equivalently

T=\beta (1+2X^{2}+2X(1+X^{2})^{{0.5}})

X is then distributed normally with a mean of zero and a variance of α2 / 4.

Probability density function

The general formula for the probability density function (pdf) is

f(x)={\frac  {{\sqrt  {{\frac  {x-\mu }{\beta }}}}+{\sqrt  {{\frac  {\beta }{x-\mu }}}}}{2\gamma \left(x-\mu \right)}}\phi \left({\frac  {{\sqrt  {{\frac  {x-\mu }{\beta }}}}-{\sqrt  {{\frac  {\beta }{x-\mu }}}}}{\gamma }}\right)\quad x>\mu ;\gamma ,\beta >0

where γ is the shape parameter, μ is the location parameter, β is the scale parameter, and \phi \, is the probability density function of the standard normal distribution.

Standard fatigue life distribution

The case where μ = 0 and β = 1 is called the standard fatigue life distribution. The pdf for the standard fatigue life distribution reduces to

f(x)={\frac  {{\sqrt  {x}}+{\sqrt  {{\frac  {1}{x}}}}}{2\gamma x}}\phi \left({\frac  {{\sqrt  {x}}-{\sqrt  {{\frac  {1}{x}}}}}{\gamma }}\right)\quad x>0;\gamma >0

Since the general form of probability functions can be expressed in terms of the standard distribution, all of the subsequent formulas are given for the standard form of the function.

Cumulative distribution function

The formula for the cumulative distribution function is

F(x)=\Phi \left({\frac  {{\sqrt  {x}}-{\sqrt  {{\frac  {1}{x}}}}}{\gamma }}\right)\quad x>0;\gamma >0

where Φ is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal distribution.

Quantile function

The formula for the quantile function is

G(p)={\frac  {1}{4}}\left[\gamma \Phi ^{{-1}}(p)+{\sqrt  {4+\left(\gamma \Phi ^{{-1}}(p)\right)^{2}}}\right]^{2}

where Φ 1 is the quantile function of the standard normal distribution.

External links

References

  • Birnbaum, Z. W.; Saunders, S. C. (1969), "A new family of life distributions", Journal of Applied Probability 6 (2): 319–327, doi:10.2307/3212003, JSTOR 3212003 
  • Desmond, A.F. (1985), "Stochastic models of failure in random environments", Canadian Journal of Statistics 13 (3): 171–183, doi:10.2307/3315148, JSTOR 3315148 
  • Johnson, N.; Kotz, S.; Balakrishnan, N. (1995), Continuous Univariate Distributions 2 (2nd ed.), New York: Wiley 
  • Lemonte, A. J.; Cribari-Neto, F.; Vasconcellos, K. L. P. (2007), "Improved statistical inference for the two-parameter BirnbaumSaunders distribution", Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 51: 4656–4681, doi:10.1016/j.csda.2006.08.016 
  • Lemonte, A. J.; Simas, A. B.; Cribari-Neto, F. (2008), "Bootstrap-based improved estimators for the two-parameter BirnbaumSaunders distribution", Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 78: 37–49, doi:10.1080/10629360600903882 
  • Cordeiro, G. M.; Lemonte, A. J. (2011), "The β-Birnbaum–Saunders distribution: An improved distribution for fatigue life modeling", Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 55: 1445–1461, doi:10.1016/j.csda.2010.10.007 
  • Lemonte, A. J. (2013), "A new extension of the Birnbaum–Saunders distribution", Brazilian Journal of Probability and Statistics 27: 133–149, doi:10.1214/11-BJPS160 

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