Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 50th New Zealand Parliament and in the leadup to the next general election by various organisations. The main four are Television New Zealand, TV3, The New Zealand Herald and Roy Morgan Research. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.
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Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.
| Poll | Date | National | Labour | Green | NZ First | Māori | Mana | ACT | United Future | Conservative | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 election result[1] | 26 November 2011 | 47.31 | 27.48 | 11.06 | 6.59 | 1.43 | 1.08 | 1.07 | 0.60 | 2.76 | |||
| 26 November 2011 – Don Brash resigns as leader of ACT over the party's low election result. 13 December 2011 – David Shearer replaced Phil Goff as leader of the Labour Party 14 December 2011 – the Fifth National Government is sworn in for a second term, continuing their confidence and supply agreements with the ACT, Maori and United Future parties, but with a reduced seven seat-majority. 20 December 2011 – the 50th New Zealand Parliament is sworn in. |
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