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An election will be held on March 25, 2012 to select the Chief Executive of Hong Kong. The incumbent Chief Executive Donald Tsang is barred from seeking a third term pursuant to the Basic Law of Hong Kong. The fourth Chief Executive term will begin on 1 July 2012. The CE will be elected by an 1200-member Election Committee (EC) (which represented about 0.01% of Hong Kong's population). It is widely expected a pro-Beijing candidate would win in a landslide.
The University of Hong Kong might organize a direct vote by all citizens to elect the three candidates on March 23, just two days before the official election day.
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Chief Secretary Henry Tang resigned from government in late September 2011 and is considered the first choice of Beijing.[1] After Wikileaks had exposed that Convenor of the Executive Council Leung Chun-ying decided to run for the post in 2009, Leung announced his plan to run for the post on 9 September 2011 and resigned his post in the government in mid September 2011.[2] Besides Tang and Leung, Rita Fan and Regina Ip also expressed their interests in running for the post. Regina Ip has already gave up for participating the election on 15 December. As for Rita Fan, she had announced that she won't participate because of "The problem on her age is getting older", therefore it's not suitable for being a chief executive. But the secret hindens behind is that the pressure came from Beijing which made her final decision.
Alan Leong who contested the CE election last time expressed an interest in standing again but later announced that the Civic Party would not join the election. Albert Ho, the chairman of the Democratic Party decided to run for the post on 4 October 2011.[3] Frederick Fung also expressed his interest in running for the post, and officially announced his decision to participate in the election on 8 December, 2011 at pier number nine at the Central Piers. The democrats will conduct a primary election on January 8. This primary election will elect either Albert or Frederick to run for the post. All Hong Kong residents may vote in this election.
Henry Tang has long been a strong supporter of Li Ka-shing, Hong Kong's richest tycoon. In May 2011 Tang even said publicly that all young citizens need to ask themselves why they can't be like Li Ka-shing. This caused uproar and criticism.[4]
On 4 August, 2011 Li Ka-shing tried to show public support for Tang at a public "Interim Results announcement meeting" for Hutchison Whampoa and praised Tang for five full minutes.[5][6] Then Li slipped and said "You all can be just like me, one-person-one-vote (一人一票)."[7] The media then looked at Li in disbelief, and started screaming that regular citizens don't get one-person-one-vote.[8] Li tried to laugh it off and said "maybe in 2017 they will have one-person-one-vote to choose the chief executive, I probably just said it a little early."[6][9][10]
By mid October 2011 there have been complaints that the Pro-Beijing candidiates still have not declared to run for chief executive officially.[11] Pan-democrat Emily Lau specifically said Leung Chun-ying and Henry Tang were inviting 10,000 people out to wine and dine on public expenses, and that this has been unfair and irresponsible when neither appears to want to run for chief executive.[11] Rita Fan have also flip flopped multiple times. She wanted to run when she was the most popular.[12] When Tang showed his intention to run, she stepped back and said Tang was an acceptable candidate. When Henry Tang's supposed "mistress", Yuen sa-nei (袁沙妮) came out, she didn't support him anymore.[12][13]
| Date(s) Conducted |
Client/Political Organisation | Sample Size | Henry Tang Ying-yen | Leung Chun-ying | Alan Leong Kah-kit | Rita Fan Hsu Lai-tai | Regina Ip Lau Suk-yee | Jasper Tsang Yok-sing | Albert Ho Chun-yan | % Lead[14] | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||||||||||
| 6-7 Dec | Apple Daily/HKU POP[15] | 513 | 18.2% | 34.7% | − | − | 17.8% | − | 6.2% | 16.5% | |||
| 28 Nov - 1 Dec | SCMP/HKU POP | 1,012 | 23.8% | 47.3% | − | − | 0.2% | − | 3.7% | 23.5% | |||
| 25-28 Oct | Apple Daily/HKU POP | 503 | 9.9% | 35.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | − | 2.7% | 22.5% | |||
| Mid Oct | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 505 | 18.1% | 47.5% | − | − | − | − | 11.1% | 29.4% | |||
| 14% | 40.8% | − | 18.7% | − | − | 9.3% | 22.1% | ||||||
| 11-12 Oct | SCMP/HKU POP | 533 | 14.0% | 29.1% | − | 19.2% | 13.8% | − | 4.4% | 15.1% | |||
| 26-28 Sep | Apple Daily/HKU POP | 500 | 16.3% | 20.5% | 10.0% | 24.4% | 17.1% | − | 1.3% | 3.9% | |||
| 23-25 Aug | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 504 | 15.1% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 34.5% | − | 5.1% | − | 19.4% | |||
| 24-27 Jun | Now TV | 543 | 13.4% | 27.6% | − | 47.1% | − | 11.8% | − | 19.5% | |||
| 21-22 Jun | SCMP/HKU POP | 512 | 10.2% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 32.9% | 9.1% | − | − | 19.6% | |||
| 16-18 May | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 537 | 10% | 6% | 14% | 42% | 12% | − | − | 28% | |||
| 14-15 Jan | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 567 | 28.5% | 14.5% | 27.8% | − | − | − | − | 0.7% | |||
| 2010 | |||||||||||||
| Nov | Hong Kong Transition Project[16] | 807 | 53% | 37% | 45% | 60% | − | − | − | 7% | |||
| 17-24 Nov | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 576 | 43.2% | 13.1% | 25.0% | − | − | − | − | 18.2% | |||
| 10-12 Aug | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 551 | 31.5% | 10.7% | 24.5% | − | − | − | − | 7.0% | |||
| 18-19 May | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 521 | 32.9% | 16.2% | 28.0% | − | − | − | − | 8.9% | |||
| 22-25 Feb | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 517 | 38.2% | 13.3% | 22.0% | − | − | − | − | 6.2% | |||
| 2009 | |||||||||||||
| 19-22 Nov | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 503 | 41.9% | 14.6% | 28.1% | − | − | − | − | 13.8% | |||
| 25-28 Aug | Ming Pao/HKU POP | 504 | 40.7% | 8.8% | 17.5% | − | − | − | − | 23.2% | |||
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