Avalon (electoral district)

¹ Statistics Canada's category of "Non-visible minority" includes First Peoples (First Nations, Métis and Inuit), and has been reduced accordingly.
² Based on ability to speak.

Geography

The neighbouring ridings are Random—Burin—St. George's to the west and north, and St. John's South—Mount Pearl and St. John's East to the east.

According to Elections Canada, the geographical boundaries for this riding for the 39th General Election (2006) are:

"All that area consisting of that part of the Avalon Peninsula on the Island of Newfoundland described as follows: commencing at a point in Placentia Bay approximately 20 km west of Cape St. Mary's; thence generally northerly along Placentia Bay and the Eastern Channel of Placentia Bay to the intersection of the shoreline of Placentia Bay with the westerly limit of the Town of Come By Chance; thence northerly and easterly along the westerly and northerly limits of said town to the Trans-Canada Highway (Route No. 1); thence northerly along said highway to the northerly limit of the Town of Sunnyside; thence easterly along said limit and its production into Trinity Bay; thence northerly along said bay to a point midway between East Random Head on Random Island and Hant's Head on the eastern shoreline of Trinity Bay; thence northeasterly along said bay to a point approximately 5 km north of Grates Point on the Bay de Verde Peninsula; thence easterly approximately 20 km to a point N45°E of Baccalieu Island; thence generally southerly along Conception Bay to a point midway between Western Bay Head on the western shoreline of Conception Bay and Cape St. Francis; thence southerly along Conception Bay to a point approximately 2 km west of the most westerly extremity of Bell Island; thence southerly along Conception Bay to a point approximately 2 km S45°W of the most southwesterly extremity of Kellys Island; thence easterly along Conception Bay to the mouth of Long Pond Harbour; thence southerly along said harbour and Conway Brook to the limit of the City of St. John's; thence generally southwesterly and easterly along the northwesterly and southerly limits of said city and its production to the Atlantic Ocean; thence generally southerly and generally westerly along the Atlantic Ocean, Trepassey Bay, St. Mary's Bay and Placentia Bay to the point of commencement. Including Baccalieu Island, Great Colinet Island and all other islands adjacent to the shoreline of the above described area."

See the map of the Avalon electoral district (PDF).

Political geography

Avalon is divided between the Liberal north and the Conservative south. Conservative support is found along the southern coast from the community of Bay Bulls to Southern Harbour. The Conservatives also have some concentration in the north central peninsula, including winning the town of Harbour Grace. The Liberals dominate the central and northern parts of the riding. In 2008, the NDP won two polls, one was a mobile poll, and the other contained the community of Hopeall. The Greens also won a poll in Witless Bay. [2]

History

The electoral district was created in 2003 from 57.6% of Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, 21.9% of St. John's West and 20.5% of St. John's East ridings.

Senator Fabian Manning announced that he was 90% sure that he would resign from the Senate to run again in Avalon in the next federal election.

Member of Parliament

This riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Bonavista—Trinity—Conception, St. John's West and St. John's East prior to 2004
38th	2004–2006	John Efford	Liberal
39th	2006–2008	Fabian Manning	Conservative
40th	2008–2011	Scott Andrews	Liberal
41st	2011–present	Scott Andrews	Liberal

Election results

In the 2011 election, the Liberal candidate was the incumbent MP, Scott Andrews, a former municipal councillor from Conception Bay South. He defeated the Tory candidate, Senator Fabian Manning of St. Bride's, for the second election in a row. Manning was the Conservative MP for this riding from 2006 to 2008, when he lost to Andrews.

Canadian federal election, 2011
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Scott Andrews	16,008	43.97	-1.31
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	14,749	40.51	+5.35
	New Democrat	Matthew Fuchs	5,157	14.16	-3.23
	Independent	Randy Wayne Dawe	276	0.76
	Green	Matt Crowder	218	0.60	-1.57
Total valid votes/Expense limit			36,408	100.00		-
Total rejected ballots			166	0.45	-0.34
Turnout			36,574	57.42	-5.62
	Liberal hold		Swing	-3.33

Canadian federal election, 2008
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	Scott Andrews	14,866	45.28	+6.70	$71,493
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	11,542	35.16	-16.39	$76,115
	New Democrat	Randy Wayne Dawe	5,708	17.39	+8.32	$25,153
	Green	Dave Aylward	713	2.17	+1.37	$766
Total valid votes/Expense limit			32,829	100.00		$82,453
Total rejected ballots			262	0.79	-0.86
Turnout			33,091	51.80	-7.40
Eligible voters			63,882
	Liberal gain from Conservative		Swing	+11.5

Canadian federal election, 2006
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Fabian Manning	19,132	51.55	+22.24	$72,044
	Liberal	Bill Morrow	14,318	38.58	-19.76	$46,082
	New Democrat	Eugene Conway	3,365	9.07	-1.91	$1,100
	Green	Shannon Hillier	297	0.80	-0.57
Total valid votes/Expense limit			37,112	100.00		$76,596
Total rejected ballots			623	1.65	+0.59
Turnout			37,735	59.20	+9.40

Canadian federal election, 2004
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Liberal	John Efford	18,335	58.34	+12.40	$74,192
	Conservative	Rick Dalton	9,211	29.31	-10.40	$51,085
	New Democrat	Michael Kehoe	3,450	10.98	-3.20	$2,472
	Green	Don Ferguson	430	1.37		$746
Total valid votes/Expense limit			31,246	100.00		$74,947
Total rejected ballots			336	1.06
Turnout			31,762	49.80

Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.

External links

Avalon riding from Elections Canada
Riding history for Avalon (2003– ) from the Library of Parliament
Election Financial Reports from Elections Canada
Avalon District Profile from Statistics Canada
Census subdivisions of Newfoundland and Labrador from Statistics Canada

Federal ridings in Newfoundland and Labrador

Liberal	Avalon • Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor • Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte • Random—Burin—St. George's

New Democratic	St. John's East • St. John's South—Mount Pearl

Conservative	Labrador

Federal ridings in Atlantic Canada

Newfoundland and Labrador	Avalon • Bonavista—Gander—Grand Falls—Windsor • Humber—St. Barbe—Baie Verte • Labrador • Random—Burin—St. George's • St. John's East • St. John's South—Mount Pearl

Nova Scotia	Cape Breton—Canso • Central Nova • Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley • Dartmouth—Cole Harbour • Halifax • Halifax West • Kings—Hants • Sackville—Eastern Shore • South Shore—St. Margaret's • Sydney—Victoria • West Nova

Prince Edward Island	Cardigan • Charlottetown • Egmont • Malpeque

New Brunswick	Acadie—Bathurst • Beauséjour • Fredericton • Fundy Royal • Madawaska—Restigouche • Miramichi • Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe • New Brunswick Southwest • Saint John • Tobique—Mactaquac