Victorian general election, 2002

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Legislative elections for the Victorian Legislative Assembly and for half the seats in the Victorian Legislative Council were held on Saturday 30 November 2002. The incumbent Labor Government of Premier Steve Bracks was returned with a large majority in the Legislative Assembly winning 62 of the 88 seats. Labor also won a majority of seats in the Legislative Council for the first time in its history.

The main opposition party, the Liberals led by Robert Doyle were reduced to just 17 seats, their worst result since 1952. While the Peter Ryan led Nationals (who after breaking off their Coalition with the Liberals renamed themselves the 'VicNats') retained the 7 seats they held from the 1999 election.

Labor was assisted by a strong economy and by the popularity of Steve Bracks, while the Liberal Party was badly divided between the Kroger and the Kennett factions. The Liberal campaign was also devastated by the revelation that the Shadow Treasurer Robert Dean was ineligible to vote and therefore was not able to stand as a candidate.

This was the last Victorian election where the Legislative Council was elected using Instant Runoff Voting in single-member districts (while each province has two members, they were elected at alternate elections). From 2006 onwards the Legislative Council will be elected from 8 multi-member electorates using proportional representation, with all seats in the Council being up for election.

Contents

[edit] Results

Victorian legislative election, 2002
Legislative Assembly Results

Enrolled Voters 3,228,466
Votes Cast 2,904,551 Turnout 93.15 +0.77
Informal Votes 102,791 Informal % 3.41 +0.39
Party Primary Votes % Swing Seats Change
  Australian Labor Party 1,392,704 47.95 +2.36 62 +20
  Liberal Party of Australia 985,011 33.91 -8.29 17 -19
  Victorian Greens 282,585 9.73 +8.58 0 0
  National Party Of Australia 125,003 4.31 -0.49 7 0
  Other 119,248 4.10 -2.46 2 -1
Total 2,904,551 88

Two-Party Preferred

  Australian Labor Party 1,617,184 58.26 +8.06
  Liberal / National Party Of Australia 1,158,439 41.74 -8.06

Victorian legislative election, 2002
Legislative Council Results

Enrolled Voters 3,228,466
Votes Cast 3,006,200 Turnout 93.11 +0.73
Informal Votes 110,422 Informal % 3.67 -0.30
Party Primary Votes % Swing Seats Won Seats Held
  Australian Labor Party 1,375,245 47.49 +5.30 17 25
  Liberal Party of Australia 999,392 34.51 -5.24 3 15
  Victorian Greens 314,697 10.87 +8.64 0 0
  VicNats 126,419 4.37 -2.88 2 4
  Australian Democrats 51,718 1.79 -5.02 0 0
  Other 28,307 0.98 -0.78 0 0
Total 2,895,778 22 44

[edit] Electoral Maps

Metropolitan Melbourne: ALP held seats are marked in red. Liberal seats are coloured blue.
Metropolitan Melbourne: ALP held seats are marked in red. Liberal seats are coloured blue.
Country Victoria: ALP seats are coloured in red, Liberal in blue, Nationals in green and independents in yellow.
Country Victoria: ALP seats are coloured in red, Liberal in blue, Nationals in green and independents in yellow.


[edit] Electoral Pendulum

LABOR SEATS (62)
Australian Labor Party
Seat Party Margin Swing
Marginal
Evelyn ALP 0.3% +12.7%
Hastings ALP 0.8% +8.1%
Gembrook ALP 1.6% +8.6%
Melbourne ALP 1.9% v GRN *
Kilsyth ALP 2.1% +10.1%
Ferntree Gully ALP 2.3% +9.9%
Mount Waverley ALP 2.3% +11.4%
Bayswater ALP 2.8% +9.2%
Richmond ALP 3.1% v GRN *
Fairly safe
Prahran ALP 4.4% +9.2%
Mordialloc ALP 4.5% +7.1%
Bentleigh ALP 4.8% +6.8%
Eltham ALP 4.8% +8.6%
Morwell ALP 4.9% -4.2%
South Barwon ALP 5.0% +9.8%
Burwood ALP 5.1% +11.9%
Frankston ALP 5.8% +9.1%
Forest Hill ALP 5.8% +12.2%
Narracan ALP 6.8% +7.3%
Safe
Ripon ALP 7.4% +5.5%
Ballarat East ALP 7.6% +4.2%
Mitcham ALP 7.7% +7.7%
Northcote ALP 7.9% v GRN *
Geelong ALP 8.1% +8.6%
Bellarine ALP 8.3% +9.8%
Monbulk ALP 8.3% +10.8%
Ballarat West ALP 9.0% +7.4%
Macedon ALP 9.3% +9.7%
Brunswick ALP 9.3% *
Seymour ALP 9.5% +9.5%
Yan Yean ALP 9.5% +10.2%
Narre Warren North ALP 9.7% +14.9%
Cranbourne ALP 10.8% +9.2%
Carrum ALP 12.2% +10.8%
Ivanhoe ALP 12.5% +7.6%
Albert Park ALP 12.5% +5.8%
Narre Warren South ALP 12.6% +14.1%
Bendigo East ALP 13.0% +10.0%
Oakleigh ALP 15.2% +12.2%
Melton ALP 15.3% +8.6%
Yuroke ALP 15.9% +7.6%
Bendigo West ALP 16.0% +4.9%
Mulgrave ALP 16.2% +11.8%
Niddrie ALP 16.6% +10.1%
Tarneit ALP 17.4% +6.6%
Bundoora ALP 17.6% +10.3%
Keilor ALP 18.1% +11.4%
Very safe
Dandenong ALP 20.3% +8.7
Lara ALP 22.4% +9.7
Yuroke ALP 22.9% +13.8
Clayton ALP 23.9% +11.8
Pascoe Vale ALP 24.2% +7.3
Altona ALP 24.7%% +9.1
Footscray ALP 24.9% +7.0
Lyndhurst ALP 25.1% +14.2
Williamstown ALP 25.7% +7.5
Preston ALP 25.8% +6.9
Mill Park ALP 26.8% +12.9
Kororoit ALP 27.1% +6.2
Derrimut ALP 27.3% +7.0
Broadmeadows ALP 30.8% +5.8
Thomastown ALP 31.8% +7.6
LIBERAL-NATIONAL SEATS (26)
Liberal/National
Seat Party Margin Swing
Marginal
Nepean LIB 0.2% +6.1%
Bass LIB 0.6% *
South-West Coast LIB 0.7% +3.9%
Doncaster LIB 0.8% +11.7%
Box Hill LIB 1.1% +6.9%
Mornington LIB 1.8% +10.1%
Benalla NAT 2.0% +5.4%
Caulfield LIB 2.3% +6.0%
Bulleen LIB 2.6% +10.1%
Sandringham LIB 3.0% +9.2%
Scoresby LIB 3.3% +11.5%
Fairly safe
Benambra LIB 4.0% +3.6%
Shepperaton NAT 4.3% *
Hawthorn LIB 5.9% +8.3%
Kew LIB 6.0% +7.9%
Warrandyte LIB 6.4% +7.5%
Safe
Brighton LIB 7.4% +7.4%
Polwarth LIB 9.5% +3.7%%
Rodney NAT 10.0% v LIB *
Malvern LIB 10.2% +6.0%
Gippsland South NAT 10.9% -2.8%
Gippsland East IND 11.8% v NAT *
Murray Valley NAT 13.9% +1.9%
Swan Hill NAT 14.2% *
Lowan NAT 17.1% *
Mildura IND 18.5% v NAT *


Seats which changed hands are shown in bold.

A '+' sign indicates a swing to Labor, a '-' sign a swing to Liberal National.

[edit] See also

[edit] References

  • Victorian Electoral Commission, [1]
  • Costar, B.J & Campbell J.. "Realigning Victoria: The State Election of 30 November 2002". Australian Journal of Political Science 38 : 2: 313–323.