Victorian general election, 1988

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Legislative elections for the Victorian Legislative Assembly and for half the seats in the Victorian Legislative Council were held on Saturday October 1, 1988. John Cain's Labor government maintained a narrow majority on the floor of the Legislative Assembly.

Contents

[edit] The Campaign

The campaign was dominated by the governments handling of the Victorian Economic Development Corporation scandal but Labor was able limit its losses to just one seat - Warrandyte - due to an effective strategy of targeting Liberal leader Jeff Kennett whose aggressive leadership style was still seen as a liability as well as the instability in the federal Coalition due to the Joh for Canberra campaign. [1]

Labor also ran a successful strategy of targeting marginal middle class seats, enabling it to win a majority of seats despite winning less than 50% of the two party preferred vote.

[edit] Legacy

Jeff Kennett was dumped as Liberal leader in 1989 in a party room coup. Alan Brown led the party until, he too, was deposed in another party room coup which returned Kennett to the leadership.

Due to the narrow result, the belief arose that had the Liberals and the Nationals been in coalition, they would have won government. Despite what Political Scientist Brian Costar called a 'lack of psephological evidence to support this assertion' this belief led to pressure from the business community that led to the formation of the first Liberal-National Coalition in Victoria over forty years. [2]

[edit] Results

Victorian legislative election, 1988
Legislative Assembly Results

Enrolled Voters 2,739,614
Votes Cast 2,530,027 Turnout 92.35 -0.86
Informal Votes 98,525 Informal % 3.89 +1.21
Party Primary Votes % Swing Seats Change
  Australian Labor Party 1,131,750 46.55 -3.46 46 -1
  Liberal Party of Australia 986,311 40.51 -1.30 33 +2
  National Party of Australia 188,776 7.76 +0.47 9 -1
  Australian Democrats 25,611 1.05 +1.05 0 0
  Call to Australia 25,543 1.05 +1.05 0 0
  Democratic Labor Party 6,018 0.25 +0.25 0 0
  Other 67,493 2.78 +1.94 0 0
Total 2,431,502 88

Two-Party Preferred

  Australian Labor Party 1,202,294 49.47 -1.23
  Liberal / National 1,227,295 50.53 +1.23

Victorian legislative election, 1988
Legislative Council Results

Enrolled Voters 2,739,614
Votes Cast 2,529,569 Turnout 92.33 -0.86
Informal Votes 109,578 Informal % 4.33 +1.32
Party Primary Votes % Swing Seats Won Seats Held
  Australian Labor Party 1,164,796 48.13 +0.85 9 19
  Liberal Party of Australia 1,052,591 43.50 +2.35 10 19
  National Party of Australia 181,074 7.48 +0.81 3 6
  Call to Australia 5,363 0.22 -0.49 0 0
  Other 16,167 0.67 +0.45 0 0
Total 2,419,991 22 44

[edit] References

  1. ^ B.J Costar & N. Economou, 'Elections and Electoral Change 1982-92' in M. Considine & B. J Costar (eds) Trials in Power: Cain, Kirner and Victoria 1982-92, Melbourne University Press, 1992, p 255-6.
  2. ^ B.J Costar, 'Coalition Government: An Unequal Partnership' in B.J Costar & N. Economou (eds) The Kennett Revolution: Victorian Politics in the 1990s, UNSW Press, Sydney, 1998, p. 89