United States congressional apportionment

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United States congressional apportionment is the redistribution of the 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives among the 50 states in consequence of the constitutionally mandated decennial census. Each state is apportioned a number of seats which approximately corresponds to its share of the aggregate population of the 50 states (populations of Washington, D.C. and federal territories are not included in this figure). However, every state is constitutionally guaranteed at least one seat.

The decennial apportionment also determines the size of each state's representation in the United States Electoral College—any state's number of electors equals the size of its total congressional delegation (i.e., House seat(s) plus Senate seats).

Federal law requires the Clerk of the House to notify each state government of its entitled number of seats no later than January 25 of the year immediately following the census. After seats have been reapportioned, each state determines the boundaries of Congressional districts—geographical areas within the state of approximately equal population—in a process called redistricting.

Contents

[edit] House size

Ratio of representation in the House, 1789–1923
Years Source Constituents per Representative
1789–1793 U.S. Constitution 30,000
1793–1803 U.S. Census of 1790 30,000
1803–1813 U.S. Census of 1800 33,000
1813–1823 U.S. Census of 1810 35,000
1823–1833 U.S. Census of 1820 40,000
1833–1843 U.S. Census of 1830 47,700
1843–1853 U.S. Census of 1840 70,680
1853–1863 U.S. Census of 1850 93,425
1863–1873 U.S. Census of 1860 127,381
1873–1883 U.S. Census of 1870 131,425
1883–1893 U.S. Census of 1880 151,912
1893–1903 U.S. Census of 1890 173,901
1903–1913 U.S. Census of 1900 194,182
1913–1923 U.S. Census of 1910 212,407

The United States Constitution requires that

The number of Representatives shall not exceed one for every thirty thousand, but each state shall have at least one Representative (Article I, Section 2, Paragraph 3)

Prior to the twentieth century, the number of representatives increased every decade as more states joined the union, and the population increased.

In 1911, Public Law 62-5 set the membership of the U.S. House at 433; with the subsequent admission of Arizona and New Mexico as states, membership increased to 435, where it has remained (except for a brief period from 1959 to 1963 following the admission of Alaska and Hawaii, during which House membership was 437). If the ratio as specified by the Constitution of one representative for every 30,000 people were maintained today, the House of Representatives would have about 10,000 members. Instead, today one member represents about 650,000 people, which varies by state.

Proposals have been made to add voting representation for the District of Columbia, now represented only by a non-voting delegate, who is not counted as one of the 435 House representatives. A recent bill, the District of Columbia House Voting Rights Act of 2007, if passed, would resolve the issue by permanently increasing House membership to 437. One of the new members would be from the District of Columbia; the other would be from the next state in line to receive another House seat (as described below), presently Utah. The political appeal of this plan lies in its balancing of a new, presumably Democratic seat (D.C.) with a new likely Republican seat (Utah).

[edit] Apportionment methods

Apart from the fact that the number of delegates is at least 1 for each state, as required by the Constitution, a state's number of representatives is in principle proportional to population (thus equalizing the size of congressional districts nationwide). No method of calculating this desired result, however, has been found perfectly satisfactory in practice. Five distinct methods have been used since the adoption of the Constitution, all of them susceptible to mathematical paradoxes.

[edit] The Equal Proportions Method

Further information: Huntington-Hill method

The so called "Equal Proportions method" is the apportionment methodology currently used.[1] The method derives its name from the fact that it guarantees the property that no additional transfer of a seat (from one state to another) will reduce the percentage difference in per capita representation.

In this method, as a first step, each state is automatically guaranteed at least one seat in Congress. That means there are a total of 385 seats left to assign.

The remaining seats are assigned one at a time, to the state that "deserves" another seat the most. Thus, the 51st seat always goes to the most populous state (currently California).

The apportionment method uses a mathematical formula to express the priority ordering of states for an additional seat. For instance, in the example above, California has already received a second seat and thus "deserves" a third one less.

The formula used by the method of equal proportions is

A=\frac{P}{\sqrt{n(n+1)}}

where P is the population of the state, and n is the number of seats it currently has. An equivalent, recursive definition is

A_{n}=(A_{n-1})(\frac{n}{n+2})^{-\frac{1}{2}}

where n is still the number of seats the state has, and for n = 1, A is explicitly defined as

A_{1}=\frac{P}{\sqrt{2}}

A sequential definition may likewise be given where the n = 1 case is defined as above, but the formula is

A_{n+1}=(A_{n})(\frac{n-1}{n+1})^{-\frac{1}{2}}

When all states have 1 seat, the largest value of A corresponds to the largest state. But now that California has 2 seats, its priority value decreases, and it has to take a step back in line. The 52nd seat goes to Texas, the 2nd largest state, but the 53rd goes back to California, and so on until all the seats have been handed out. Each time a state gets a seat, its priority drops and another state comes to the top of the list.

The Census 2000 Ranking of Priority Values[2] shows the order in which seats 51–435 were apportioned after the 2000 Census, with additional listings for the next five priorities. North Carolina was allocated the final (435th) seat. Utah (priority list 436) missed a fourth seat by only 857 residents. Legal action by Utah to amend the results, citing irregularities in the North Carolina count and undercounting of Utah's overseas missionary population (suggested to be as many as 14,000), was unsuccessful. However, Utah would have received a fourth seat if the District of Columbia House Voting Rights Act of 2007 had passed.

[edit] Past apportionments

See also: Apportionment Bill

Note: The first apportionment was authorized by the Constitution, not the Census.

Census Year Size AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY
Const. 1789 65 - - - - - - 5 1 - 3 - - - - - - - - - 6 8 - - - - - - - 3 4 - 6 5 - - - - 8 1 5 - - - - - 10 - - - -
1st 1793 105 - - - - - - 7 1 - 2 - - - - - - 2 - - 8 14 - - - - - - - 4 5 - 10 10 - - - - 13 2 6 - - - - 2 19 - - - -
2nd 1803 142 - - - - - - 7 1 - 4 - - - - - - 6 - - 9 17 - - - - - - - 5 6 - 17 12 - 1 - - 18 2 8 - 3 - - 4 22 - - - -
3rd 1813 182 - - - - - - 7 2 - 6 - - - - - - 10 1 - 9 20 - - - - - - - 6 6 - 27 13 - 6 - - 23 2 9 - 6 - - 6 23 - - - -
4th 1823 213 3 - - - - - 6 1 - 7 - - 1 3 - - 12 3 7 9 13 - - 1 1 - - - 6 6 - 34 13 - 14 - - 26 2 9 - 9 - - 5 22 - - - -
5th 1833 240 5 - - - - - 6 1 - 9 - - 3 7 - - 13 3 8 8 12 - - 2 2 - - - 5 6 - 40 13 - 19 - - 28 2 9 - 13 - - 5 21 - - - -
6th 1843 223 7 - - 1 - - 4 1 - 8 - - 7 10 - - 10 4 7 6 10 3 - 4 5 - - - 4 5 - 34 9 - 21 - - 24 2 7 - 11 - - 4 15 - - - -
7th 1853 234 7 - - 2 2 - 4 1 1 8 - - 9 11 2 - 10 4 6 6 11 4 - 5 7 - - - 3 5 - 33 8 - 21 - - 25 2 6 - 10 2 - 3 13 - - 3 -
8th 1863 238 6 - - 3 3 - 4 1 1 7 - - 14 11 6 1 9 5 5 5 10 6 2 5 9 - - - 3 5 - 31 7 - 19 - 1 24 2 4 - 8 4 - 3 11 - - 6 -
9th 1873 292 8 - - 4 4 - 4 1 2 9 - - 19 13 9 3 10 6 5 6 11 9 3 6 13 - 1 1 3 7 - 33 8 - 20 - 1 27 2 5 - 10 6 - 3 9 - 3 8 -
10th 1883 325 8 - - 5 6 1 4 1 2 10 - - 20 13 11 7 11 6 4 6 12 11 5 7 14 - 3 1 2 7 - 34 9 - 21 - 1 28 2 7 - 10 11 - 2 10 - 4 9 -
11th 1893 356 9 - - 6 7 2 4 1 2 11 - 1 22 13 11 8 11 6 4 6 13 12 7 7 15 1 6 1 2 8 - 34 9 1 21 - 2 30 2 7 2 10 13 - 2 10 2 4 10 1
Census Year Size AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY
12th 1903 386 9 - - 7 8 3 5 1 3 11 - 1 25 13 11 8 11 7 4 6 14 12 9 8 16 1 6 1 2 10 - 37 10 2 21 - 2 32 2 7 2 10 16 1 2 10 3 5 11 1
13th 1913 435 10 - 1 7 11 4 5 1 4 12 - 2 27 13 11 8 11 8 4 6 16 13 10 8 16 2 6 1 2 12 1 43 10 3 22 8 3 36 3 7 3 10 18 2 2 10 5 6 11 1
14th 1923 435 No apportionment enacted. Distribution of seats from 1913 unconstitutionally remained in effect.
15th 1933 435 9 - 1 7 20 4 6 1 5 10 - 2 27 12 9 7 9 8 3 6 15 17 9 7 13 2 5 1 2 14 1 45 11 2 24 9 3 34 2 6 2 9 21 2 1 9 6 6 10 1
16th 1943 435 9 - 2 7 23 4 6 1 6 10 - 2 26 11 8 6 9 8 3 6 14 17 9 7 13 2 4 1 2 14 2 45 12 2 23 8 4 33 2 6 2 10 21 2 1 9 6 6 10 1
17th 1953 435 9 - 2 6 30 4 6 1 8 10 - 2 25 11 8 6 8 8 3 7 14 18 9 6 11 2 4 1 2 14 2 43 12 2 23 6 4 30 2 6 2 9 22 2 1 10 7 6 10 1
18th 1963 435 8 1 3 4 38 4 6 1 12 10 2 2 24 11 7 5 7 8 2 8 12 19 8 5 10 2 3 1 2 15 2 41 11 2 24 6 4 27 2 6 2 9 23 2 1 10 7 5 10 1
19th 1973 435 7 1 4 4 43 5 6 1 15 10 2 2 24 11 6 5 7 8 2 8 12 19 8 5 10 2 3 1 2 15 2 39 11 1 23 6 4 25 2 6 2 8 24 2 1 10 7 4 9 1
20th 1983 435 7 1 5 4 45 6 6 1 19 10 2 2 22 10 6 5 7 8 2 8 11 18 8 5 9 2 3 2 2 14 3 34 11 1 21 6 5 23 2 6 1 9 27 3 1 10 8 4 9 1
21st 1993 435 7 1 6 4 52 6 6 1 23 11 2 2 20 10 5 4 6 7 2 8 10 16 8 5 9 1 3 2 2 13 3 31 12 1 19 6 5 21 2 6 1 9 30 3 1 11 9 3 9 1
22nd 2003 435 7 1 8 4 53 7 5 1 25 13 2 2 19 9 5 4 6 7 2 8 10 15 8 4 9 1 3 3 2 13 3 29 13 1 18 5 5 19 2 6 1 9 32 3 1 11 9 3 8 1
Census Year Size AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY

[edit] Projected changes following the 2010 census

The U.S. Census Bureau will conduct a comprehensive census in April 2010 (2010 census). Based on the populations counted in each state, the United States Congress will be reapportioned based on the Equal Proportions Method defined above. The total number of voting representatives is expected to remain at 435, assuming no legislation passes that would modify the apportionment process. Since the Census Bureau releases population estimates every year, projections have been made that predict the states' populations as of April 2010. One study estimates that fourteen seats would shift between the states as follows:[3]

Gain more
than one
Gain one Lose one Lose more
than one
Texas +4
Arizona +2
Florida +2
Georgia +1
Nevada +1
North Carolina +1
Oregon +1
South Carolina +1
Utah +1
California -1
Illinois -1
Iowa -1
Louisiana -1
Massachusetts -1
Michigan -1
Minnesota -1
Missouri -1
New Jersey -1
Pennsylvania -1
New York -2
Ohio -2

The 10-year national growth rate is 12.5%. In this estimate, the population of states losing seats grew at a slower rate and the population of states gaining seats grew at a faster pace. Louisiana is the only state losing a seat that is estimated to have lost population between 2000 and 2010, significantly due to the exodus precipitated by the damage caused by Hurricane Katrina. The losing states are in the industrial northeast and midwest, while gainers are in the southeast, southwest and Pacific northwest.[3]

[edit] Notes

  • Delegate counts in italics represent temporary counts assigned by Congress until the next decennial census or by the U.S. Constitution in 1789 until the first U.S. Census.
  • Elections held in the year of a census use the apportionment determined by the previous census.
  1. ^ 2 USC §2a. Cornell University Law School, Legal Information Institute. Retrieved on 2008-05-13.
  2. ^ Census 2000 Ranking of Priority Values. U.S. Bureau of the Census (2001-02-21). Retrieved on 2008-05-13.
  3. ^ a b Benson, Clark (2007-12-27). Displacement of Katrina Victims Still Has Impact:Apportionment in 2010. Polidata. Retrieved on 2008-03-21.

[edit] See also

[edit] External links

  • Thirty-thousand.org:
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