United States Senate election in South Carolina, 2004

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Jim DeMint
Jim DeMint

The 2004 South Carolina United States Senate election was held on November 2, 2004 to select the U.S. Senator from the state of South Carolina. The seat was left open after incumbent Democratic Senator Fritz Hollings opted to retire than fight a tough re-election battle. Jim DeMint, a Republican Representative of the 4th congressional district, defeated the Democratic challenger Inez Tenenbaum in the general election.

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[edit] Democratic Primary

The South Carolina Democratic Party held their primary for Senator on June 8, 2004. Inez Tenenbaum, then the South Carolina Superintendent of Education and the most popular elected Democratic official in the state, easily defeated former congressional aide Ben Frasier in the primary election.

Democratic Primary
Candidate Votes %
Inez Tenenbaum 126,720 75.5
Ben Frasier 41,070 24.5


[edit] Republican Primary

The Senate election two years earlier in 2002 did not have a primary election because the South Carolina Republicans were more preoccupied with the gubernatorial contest, despite having the first open senate seat in 40 years. The retirement of Democratic Senator Fritz Hollings gave the Republicans an opportunity to pick up the seat and with no other interesting positions up for election in 2004, a crowded field developed in the Republican primary. Furthermore, the Republicans were motivated by having President Bush at the top of the ticket enabling them to ride his coattails to victory.

Former Governor David Beasley, from the Pee Dee, entered the race and quickly emerged as the frontrunner because of his support from the evangelical voters. However, during his term as Governor from 1994 to 1998 he had greatly angered the electorate by proposing to remove the Confederate Naval Jack from the dome of the statehouse and by being against the adoption of state lottery to provide for college scholarships. Both positions led to the loss of his re-election in 1998 and the issues continued to trouble him in the Senate race.

The battle for second place in the primary was between Upstate congressman, Jim DeMint, and Charleston developer Thomas Ravenel. DeMint was able to squeak out a second place finish because Charlie Condon, a former Attorney General of South Carolina, split the Lowcountry vote with Ravenel thus providing DeMint the margin he needed. In addition, while many voters were attracted to the Ravenel campaign and felt that he had a future in politics, they believed that he should set his sights on a less high profile office first before trying to become Senator. Resigned to defeat, Ravenel endorsed DeMint in the runoff election.

In the runoff election on June 22, 2004, DeMint scored a surprising victory over Beasley. Ravenel's endorsement of DeMint proved crucial as the Lowcountry counties heavily went for the Representative from the Upstate. Also, Beasley had burnt too many bridges while governor and was unable to increase his share of the vote in the runoff.

Republican Primary
Candidate Votes %
David Beasley 107,847 36.6
Jim DeMint 77,567 26.3
Thomas Ravenel 73,167 24.8
Charlie Condon 27,694 9.4
Mark McBride 6,479 2.2
Orly Benny Davis 1,915 0.7
Republican Primary Runoff
Candidate Votes % ±%
Jim DeMint 154,644 59.2 +32.9
David Beasley 106,480 40.8 +4.2


[edit] General election campaign

DeMint entered the general election campaign severely weakened from the primary fight, having spent most of his campaign funds. He stressed to the voters that he would follow conservative principles and provide an important Republican vote in the closely divided Senate. Democrats fared poorly in statewide elections in South Carolina, so Tenenbaum tried to make the race about issues rather than party identification. She attacked DeMint's support of the FairTax proposal because it would increase the sales tax by 23%. DeMint took a noticeable drop in the polls at the beginning of October, but by the end of the month the voters saw Tenenbaum's attacks as empowering the IRS because at least DeMint was offering a credible way to reform the tax system. The election victory by DeMint merely cemented South Carolina's shift to the Republican column as the best candidate the Democrats could offer was soundly defeated by the typical 10 point margin.

[edit] Election results

South Carolina U.S. Senate Election, 2004
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim DeMint 857,167 53.6 +7.9
Democratic Inez Tenenbaum 704,384 44.1 -8.6
Constitution Patrick Tyndall 13,464 0.8 +0.8
Libertarian Rebekah E. Sutherland 10,678 0.7 -0.9
United Citizens Party Tee Ferguson 5,859 0.4 +0.4
Green Efia Nwangaza* 4,245 0.3 +0.3
No party Write-Ins 1,286 0.1 +0.1
Majority 152,783 9.5 +2.5
Turnout 1,597,221 69.0 +16.2
  Republican gain from Democratic
*Nwangaza ran under the Independence Party in Aiken and Calhoun counties; her totals are combined.
2004 South Carolina U.S. Senate election map, by percentile by county.      65+% won by DeMint      60%-64% won by DeMint      55%-59% won by DeMint      50%-54% won by DeMint      <50% won by DeMint      <50% won by Tenenbaum      50%-54% won by Tenenbaum      55%-59% won by Tenenbaum      60%-64% won by Tenenbaum      65%+ won by Tenenbaum
2004 South Carolina U.S. Senate election map, by percentile by county.      65+% won by DeMint      60%-64% won by DeMint      55%-59% won by DeMint      50%-54% won by DeMint      <50% won by DeMint      <50% won by Tenenbaum      50%-54% won by Tenenbaum      55%-59% won by Tenenbaum      60%-64% won by Tenenbaum      65%+ won by Tenenbaum

[edit] Polling

Source Date DeMint (R) Tenenbaum (D)
McLaughlin October 28, 2004 [1] 48% 40%
SurveyUSA October 24, 2004 [2] 52% 39%
Mason-Dixon October 20, 2004 [3] 47% 43%
SurveyUSA October 12, 2004 [4] 46% 43%
Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2004 [5] 49% 43%
McLaughlin September 30, 2004 [6] 46% 36%
Mason-Dixon September 29, 2004 [7] 50% 38%
GSG September 29, 2004 [8] 43% 46%
SurveyUSA September 21, 2004 [9] 51% 39%
Harrison-Hickman September 9, 2004 [10] 44% 41%
SurveyUSA August 18, 2004 [11] 52% 39%

[edit] See also

[edit] References