Talk:Prediction market

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Prediction market is within the scope of WikiProject Investment, an effort to improve the quality of articles relating to investment and the personal investor. If you would like to participate, please edit this page and become a member.
[Project Page] • [Project Talk] • [Project template]

Current Collaborations: Exchange-traded fund

Contents

[edit] 1

(Note to future editors: Please distinguish between a public fact and a rumor.)

Sholdn't http://guaranteedweather.com/ be listed on this page?

I found this anonymous comment inappropriately added to the article, so I put it here. --babbage 10:21, 12 Dec 2004 (UTC)

[edit] Owise

Someone has disputed that Owise belongs on this page.

How is Owise.com less of a prediction market than Newsfutures? Sure Owise uses a fake ranks, and Newsfutures uses fake money, but what's the difference, really?

If you want to limit this page to only real-money systems, Newsfutures should also be removed.

[edit] New "list" article(s) needed?

I think it would be helpful to have a new page called "List of prediction markets" or something similar, much like the current List of spreadsheets and List of word processors (among others); the "external links" section is getting a little cluttered. Or maybe it would be even better to have two new pages, "List of prediction market exchanges" and "List of prediction market software", since the two are for the most part distinct. Does anyone else have an opinion on this? Yaron K. 20:44, 7 December 2006 (UTC)

See Category:Prediction markets. — Swpbtalk.edits 17:51, 4 January 2008 (UTC)

[edit] Iowa Health Prediction Market

The University of Iowa has a new prediction market to forecast infecteous diseases, especially flu. This seems like an application worth mentioning in this article. The website is: http://fluprediction.uiowa.edu/fluhome/index.html. --Benstrider 23:36, 1 March 2007 (UTC)

[edit] removed section

removed section per Wikipedia is not a directory. Wikipedia is not a repository for lists, directories or Advocacy of commercial products and/or websites. NPOV requires views to be represented without bias, this applies not only to article text, but to companies, company lists, products, external links, or any other material as well.--Hu12 00:23, 4 May 2007 (UTC)

[edit] Flawed

Entire concept is flawed. Insider trading, manipulation. No SEC equivalent. Market prices in such would reflect likely futures about as well as current stock prices reflect company quality, that is, not at all.

- Why is the PM concept flawed? Do you have any evidence that supports this? —Preceding unsigned comment added by 129.240.70.150 (talk) 13:05, 8 September 2007 (UTC)

-- It doesn't matter if the concept is flawed, merely that it is an important enough concept, or is used by enough people, for a Wikipedia entry. After all Intelligent Design is a deeply flawed concept (i.e. it is wrong) and yet there is a large and often edited article on it... Duncan 10:57, 22 October 2007 (UTC)

[edit] Footnotes go after punctuation

Note to editors: Footnotes go after punctuation. --JHP 06:30, 1 September 2007 (UTC)

[edit] Legality of InTrade in U.S.?

The article claims

Notable exceptions are Intrade/TradeSports, which escapes U.S. legal restrictions by operating from Dublin, Ireland, where gambling is legal and regulated,

without supporting that statement with a reference. Intrade's own FAQ specifically refuses to answer the legality question [1]. Further the given rationale does not hold water: just because a betting site operates legally in its country does not mean that it can legally offer betting services to U.S. residents or that U.S. residents can legally gamble on the site. AxelBoldt (talk) 21:39, 7 February 2008 (UTC)

[edit] Prediction market vs. futures market

I'd like to see this article explain the difference between a prediction market and a futures market. --JHP (talk) 01:08, 30 May 2008 (UTC)