Orpington by-election, 1962

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The Orpington by-election of 1962 is often described as the start of the Liberal Party revival in the United Kingdom.

The election was caused by the appointment of Donald Sumner, Conservative Party Member of Parliament for Orpington as a County Court Judge. The appointment was generally thought to be making way for Peter Goldman, who had worked with Chancellor of the Exchequer Ian Macleod on the Conservative's previous election manifesto.

In the UK general election, 1959, the Conservatives had easily won the seat, one which they had held since its creation in 1945. Labour and the Liberals each picked up just over 20% of the vote. Commentators expected Goldman to achieve a comfortable victory.

The Liberal Party had reached its lowest ebb in the UK general election, 1951, winning just 2.5% of the vote nationally, and gaining only six MPs. Signs of a revival were not seen until they won the 1958 Torrington by-election, their first gain at a by-election since Holland with Boston in 1929. However, they lost Torrington at the 1959 general election, and despite increasing their share of the vote to 5.9%, they could not progress beyond six MPs. After the general election, their revival continued, and they took second place in several by-elections.

The Liberals initially planned to put forward their candidate from the 1959 election, Jack Galloway, but after it was revealed that he had been technically guilty of bigamy, local councillor Eric Lubbock was selected as their candidate.

During the campaign, Goldman attracted criticism for living outside the constituency, and admitting he had no plans to move to it. The Conservative government was forced to announce a pay freeze for public sector workers, which was seen as particularly hitting nurses. It damaged their standing in the national polls, but particularly Goldman, who was closely associated with the Exchequer.

The by-election was held on 15 March 1962. Despite the Conservatives' troubles, the near-22% swing from them to the Liberals surprised most analysts. Lubbock won a 7,855 vote majority, and went on to hold the seat until 1970. This surprise win boosted the Liberals in the polls, and by October 1962 they were the most popular party in the country. However, they did not secure any further seats during the parliament, and their resurgence proved long and gradual.

Orpington by-election, 1962
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Eric Lubbock 22,846 52.9 +30.7
Conservative Peter Goldman 14,991 34.7 -21.9
Labour Alan Jinkinson 5,350 12.4 -9.8
Majority 7,855 18.2 -16.2
Turnout 43,187
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +26.3
General Election 1959: Orpington
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Donald Sumner 24,303 56.6 -3.3
Labour N. J. Hart 9,543 22.2 -5.4
Liberal Jack Galloway 9,092 21.2 +8.7
Majority 14,760 34.4 +1.1
Turnout 42,938 82.8 +3.4
Conservative hold Swing +1.1

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