Opinion polling in the next United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Under the provisions of the Parliament Acts of 1911 and 1949, the next United Kingdom general election must be held on or before 3 June 2010, barring exceptional circumstances.[1] The previous General Election in the UK was held on 5 May 2005.

Rumours in the Autumn of 2007 that Gordon Brown was about to call a General Election imminently put all polling organisations, the press and political parties on an election footing, however Gordon Brown eventually announced that he would not seek a dissolution, with many media and political figures saying this was because he believed that Labour was likely to lose its majority in a snap General Election, although Gordon Brown maintained that Labour would have won but he did not believe an early election was in the national interest.

[edit] Poll Results

Date Polling Organisation Labour Conservative Liberal Democrats Other Labour Lead
May 30, 2008 YouGov 23% 47% 18% - -24
May 18, 2008 ICM 27% 41% 22% - -14
May 15, 2008 ComRes 25% 45% 20% - -20
May 15, 2008 ComRes 26% 43% 19% - -17
May 8, 2008 YouGov 23% 49% 17% - -26
May 4, 2008 Populus 29% 40% 19% - -11
Apr 27, 2008 ComRes 26% 40% 20% - -14
Apr 25, 2008 ICM 29% 39% 20% - -10
Apr 23, 2008 YouGov 26% 44% 17% - -18
Apr 22, 2008 Ipsos-MORI 31% 40% 19% - -9
Apr 20, 2008 ICM 34% 39% 19% - -5
Apr 17, 2008 Populus 30% 40% 19% - -10
Apr 11, 2008 YouGov 28% 44% 17% - -16
Apr 7, 2008 Populus 33% 39% 17% - -6
Apr 6, 2008 ICM 32% 43% 18% - -11
Apr 3, 2008 Ipsos Mori 35% 40% 17% 7% -5
Apr 1, 2008 ComRes 31% 38% 17% - -7
Mar 27, 2008 YouGov 29% 43% 17% 11% -14
Mar 16, 2008 ICM 31% 40% 20% - -9
Mar 16, 2008 YouGov 27% 43% 16% - -16
Mar 10, 2008 Populus 34% 37% 16% - -3
Mar 5, 2008 Ipsos Mori 37% 39% 16% - -2
Mar 1, 2008 YouGov 33% 40% 16% - -7
Feb 25, 2008 ComRes 30% 41% 17% 11% -11
Feb 22, 2008 YouGov 34% 40% 16% - -6
Feb 20, 2008 ICM 34% 37% 21% 9% -3
Feb 17, 2008 YouGov 32% 41% 16% 11% -9
Feb 5, 2008 Populus 31% 40% 17% 12% -9
Feb 3, 2008 ICM 32% 37% 21% - -5
Jan 31, 2008 Ipsos Mori 38% 37% 16% - +1
Jan 27, 2008 ComRes 30% 38% 17% - -8
Jan 23, 2008 YouGov 33% 41% 16% - -8
Jan 20, 2008 ICM 35% 37% 20% - -2
Jan 11, 2008 ICM 33% 40% 18% - -7
Jan 11, 2008 YouGov 33% 43% 14% - -10
Jan 10, 2008 Ipsos Mori 32% 42% 15% - -10
Jan 6, 2008 Populus 33% 37% 19% - -4
Dec 27, 2007 YouGov 35% 40% 15% - -5
Dec 19, 2007 ICM 34% 39% 18% - -5
Dec 19, 2007 YouGov 31% 43% 16% - -12
Dec 16, 2007 ComRes 30% 41% 16% - -11
Dec 14, 2007 YouGov 32% 45% 14% - -13
Dec 9, 2007 Populus 32% 40% 16% - -8
Dec 7, 2007 Ipsos Mori 35% 42% 14% - -7
Nov 29, 2007 ICM 30% 41% 19% - -11
Nov 29, 2007 YouGov 32% 43% 14% - -11
Nov 27, 2007 Ipsos Mori 32% 41% 17% - -9
Nov 25, 2007 ComRes 27% 40% 18% - -13
Nov 22, 2007 ICM 31% 37% 21% - -6
Nov 22, 2007 YouGov 32% 41% 14% - -9
Nov 16, 2007 YouGov 35% 41% 13% - -6
Nov 10, 2007 ICM 35% 43% 13% - -8
Nov 4, 2007 Populus 37% 36% 16% - 1
Nov 1, 2007 Ipsos Mori 35% 40% 13% - -5
Oct 28, 2007 ICM 35% 40% 18% - -5
Oct 24, 2007 YouGov 38% 41% 11% - -3
Oct 23, 2007 Ipsos MORI 41% 40% 13% - 1
Oct 15, 2007 ICM 36% 43% 14% - -7
Oct 4, 2007 YouGov 40% 36% 13% 11% 4
Sept 28 2007 YouGov 43% 32% 13% 10% 11
Sept 27 2007 Populus 41% 31% 17% 10% 10
Aug 31, 2007 YouGov 38% 35% 15% - 3
Aug 28, 2007 YouGov 41% 33% 13% - 9
Aug 8, 2007 YouGov 42% 32% 14% - 10
July 29, 2007 Populus 39% 33% 15% 13% 6
July 25, 2007 YouGov 41% 32% 16% - 9

[edit] References

  1. ^ Technically, the Parliament could vote to extend the lifetime of the current term beyond 5 years. This cannot be done by the House of Commons alone; it must be additionally approved by the House of Lords (the Parliament Acts may not be utilised in this case) and by the Queen-in-Parliament. Since 1911, extension of the maximum term of Parliaments has only occurred during the First and Second World Wars. (Reference)

[edit] External links

v • d • e
Flag of the United Kingdom United Kingdom general elections
1801 co-option · 1802 · 1806 · 1807 · 1812 · 1818 · 1820 · 1826 · 1830 · 1831 · 1832 · 1835 · 1837 · 1841 · 1847 · 1852 · 1857 · 1859 · 1865 · 1868 · 1874 · 1880 · 1885 · 1886 · 1892 · 1895 · 1900 · 1906 · 1910 (Jan) · 1910 (Dec) · 1918 · 1922 · 1923 · 1924 · 1929 · 1931 · 1935 · 1945 · 1950 · 1951 · 1955 · 1959 · 1964 · 1966 · 1970 · 1974 (Feb) · 1974 (Oct) · 1979 · 1983 · 1987 · 1992 · 1997 · 2001 · 2005 · next