Next South Australian state election
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This article or section contains information about a forthcoming election. Content may change dramatically as the election approaches. |
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| Election campaign, next < 2002 2006 next |
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| Government | Opposition | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Labor Party | Liberal Party of Australia | |||
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| Mike Rann | Martin Hamilton-Smith | |||
| Leader since | 1994 | 2007 | ||
| Leader rating[1] | 54% | 24% | ||
| 2PP rating[2] | 53% | 47% | ||
| 2006 2PP result | 56.8% | 43.2% | ||
| Seats | 28 | 15 | ||
| Seats needed | 0 | 9 | ||
| Swing needed | 0.0% | 12.1% | ||
The next South Australian state election will elect members to the Parliament of South Australia. All seats in the House of Assembly or lower house, whose current members were elected at the 2006 election, and half the seats in the Legislative Council or upper house, last filled at the 2002 election, will become vacant. Like federal elections, South Australia has compulsory voting, uses full-preference instant-runoff voting in the lower house and single transferable vote group voting tickets in the upper house. The election will be conducted by the State Electoral Office of South Australia, an independent body answerable to Parliament.
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[edit] Date
The last state election was held on 18 March 2006 to elect members for the House of Assembly and half of the members in the Legislative Council. In South Australia, section 28 of the Constitution Act 1934, as amended in 2001, directs that parliaments have fixed four-year terms, and elections must be held on the third Saturday in March every four years[3]—as such, bar exceptional circumstances, the election date of 20 March 2010 is known well ahead of time.[4][5]
The election campaign must run for a minimum of 25 days or a maximum of 55 days, therefore the Governor will need to have issued writs for the election by 23 February 2010 at the latest. Between 7 and 10 days after that date, the electoral roll is closed, which gives voters a final opportunity to enrol or to notify the State Electoral Office of any changes in their place of residence. Candidates wishing to stand for election can nominate between the issue of the writs and no more than 14 days after the close of rolls for a deposit of $450.[6]
[edit] House of Assembly
- See also: 2006 election pendulum and maps
The Labor Party, led by Premier Mike Rann, and the Liberal Party, led by Opposition Leader Martin Hamilton-Smith, are the two main parties in South Australia. In the 2006 state election, of 47 seats total, Labor won 28 seats, Liberals won 15 seats and the Nationals, who are not in coalition with the Liberals in South Australia, retained their seat through minister Karlene Maywald (Chaffey). Three seats are held by independents, minister Rory McEwen (Mount Gambier), Bob Such (Fisher), and Kris Hanna (Mitchell). Smaller parties which hold no seats in the lower House but achieved significant votes in 2006 include the SA Greens and the Family First Party.
[edit] Legislative Council
Half of the upper house is up for election in 2010, four Labor and five Liberal, one Family First and one Democrat.
No Pokies MP Nick Xenophon, re-elected in 2006 until 2014, was replaced by former No Pokies candidate John Darley after Xenophon's resignation to run for the Australian Senate at the 2007 federal election in which he was successful.
[edit] Retiring
- Rob Kerin, Liberal MP. Preselection is Port Pirie policeman Terry Boylan.
- Graham Gunn, Liberal MP. Preselection is former national basketball player Dan Van Holst Pellekaan.
- Liz Penfold, Liberal MP. Preselection is likely to be Australian Farmers' Federation Grains Council chairman Peter Treloar.
- Rory McEwen, Independent MP. Liberal preselection is Mount Gambier Mayor Steve Perryman.
- Caroline Schaefer, Liberal MLC.
[edit] Polling
Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes consist of around 800-900 electors. The margin of error is around ±3.5 percent.
| Date | Labor Rann |
Liberal H.-Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Jan – Mar 2008 | 54% | 24% |
| Oct – Dec 2007 | 50% | 25% |
| Jul – Sep 2007 | 52% | 26% |
| Apr – Jun 2007 | 52% | 21% |
| Jan – Mar 2007 | 64% | 14%2 |
| Oct – Dec 2006 | 61% | 14%2 |
| Pre 2006 election | 63% | 21%1 |
| Pre 2002 election | 30% | 50%1 |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. 1 Rob Kerin, 2 Iain Evans |
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| Political parties | Two party preferred | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | Lib | Nat | Dem | F.F | Gre | Oth | ALP | Lib | ||
| Jan – Mar 2008 | 41% | 37% | < .5% | 1% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 53% | 47% | |
| Oct – Dec 2007 | 42% | 36% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 54% | 46% | |
| Jul – Sep 2007 | 48% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 59% | 41% | |
| Apr – Jun 2007 | 47% | 35% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 57% | 43% | |
| Jan – Mar 2007 | 48% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 61% | 39% | |
| Oct – Dec 2006 | 47% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 58% | 42% | |
| 2006 Election | 45.2% | 34% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 56.8% | 43.2% | |
| 2002 Election | 36.3% | 40% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 9.7% | 49.1% | 50.9% | |
| Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. |
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[edit] References
- ^ Newspoll/The Australian: Better Premier, Jan-Mar 2008
- ^ Newspoll/The Australian: Two Party Preferred, Jan-Mar 2008
- ^ State of South Australia. Constitution Act 1934 - Section 28. Australasian Legal Information Institute. Retrieved on 2007-12-26.
- ^ Timetable for the next Australian elections. Parliamentary Library, Parliament of Australia (10 November 2006). Retrieved on 2007-12-26.
- ^ Bennett, Scott (19 May 2006). Research Brief no. 17 2005–06 - Understanding State elections: South Australia and Tasmania 2006. Parliamentary Library, Parliament of Australia. Retrieved on 2007-12-26.
- ^ State Electoral Office, South Australia (13 February 2006). Electoral Questions & Answers. Retrieved on 2007-12-26.
[edit] See also
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