New Brunswick general election, 2006

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Map of New Brunswicks ridings coloured in based on the winning parties and their popular vote
Map of New Brunswicks ridings coloured in based on the winning parties and their popular vote
Rendition of party representation in the 56th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly decided by this election.      Liberals (29)      Progressive Conservatives (26)
Rendition of party representation in the 56th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly decided by this election.      Liberals (29)      Progressive Conservatives (26)

The 2006 general election (more formally the 56th general election) was held on September 18, 2006, in the province of New Brunswick, Canada to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick.

The campaign came earlier than expected: the incumbent Premier of New Brunswick, Bernard Lord, had pledged a vote would be held on October 15, 2007 but when the ruling Progressive Conservatives faced a loss of its majority in the legislature, Lord said he did not want to face a minority government and, moreover, feared that a by-election could tip the balance of power to the opposition Liberals.

The campaign was hard fought with pundits and pollsters calling it too close to call throughout the five week campaign. In the end, it was won by the Liberals led by Shawn Graham. The Liberals won 29 seats to 26 for the Progressive Conservatives, although the Progressive Conservatives won a plurality of the popular vote (47.5% to 47.2%).

Unusually, the Liberals won 17 of the 36 predominantly anglophone ridings, their best showing in a competitive election in English New Brunswick since the 1944 election. The Conservatives conversely did better than they have ever done while losing an election among Francophone ridings.

Contents

[edit] Overview

Following the report of the Commission on Legislative Democracy in December 2004, which recommended fixed election dates beginning on October 15, 2007, Premier Bernard Lord pledged to introduce legislation fixing election dates, beginning on that date. Due to this, and because it is tradition in New Brunswick to hold elections every four years, the Progressive Conservative government and media had routinely referred to this as the "2007 election" though early 2006. The opposition Liberals however always pledged to try to force an early election.

From February through May of 2006, it seemed possible that the Liberals might be successful in their goal as on February 17, 2006 Michael Malley left the Progressive Conservative caucus creating a minority government situation, Malley later became Speaker and, as Speaker, controversially rejoined the government caucus. The situation remained difficult for some time as the Liberals gained control of several key committees upon Malley's defection and would not return control to the government as they did not recognize Malley's change of affiliation while speaker. On May 30, 2006, the House reaffirmed its confidence in Malley in a vote and on May 31, 2006 the government and opposition announced a truce to allow the House to function more easily including a legislative calendar through 2007. As a result, it seemed unlikely that the government would fall prior to its chosen date to go to the polls.

However, Peter Mesheau, a Progressive Conservative MLA who had already announced that he would not run for re-election, said he would have to resign his seat as he had accepted a job in the private sector. Lord said that he would not face another hung parliament and announced on August 10, 2006 that he would seek an election date of September 18. On August 18, Lord asked Lieutenant-Governor Herménégilde Chiasson to dissolve the legislature and set the election date. [1]

The emerging key issues of the campaign seem to be leadership and energy prices. The Progressive Conservatives have for some years questioned the leadership abilities of Shawn Graham, the leader of the opposition while the Liberals have been focusing on energy in general as a theme for some time. Moreover, energy has come to the forefront due to the introduction of gas price regulation by Lord's government on July 1, 2006 and the Liberals announced their energy platform prior to beginning of the campaign.

This election was the first campaign since the 1987 election in which Elizabeth Weir did not lead the smaller social democratic New Democratic Party (NDP). In 2005, Weir stepped down after seventeen years as NDP leader. She was succeeded by Fredericton-based social activist Allison Brewer, who stood for election in the riding of Fredericton-Lincoln.

The Progressive Conservative party were again be led by Bernard Lord and the Liberal Party by Shawn Graham.

The campaign was derided by jouralists and political scientists as boring in part because much of the campaign was before Labour Day when many families were still taking summer holidays and also because the overall aspects of the two main parties were similar.

There were three English language debates and two French languages debates with some being declared draws, some wins for Lord and some wins for Graham by the experts. Opinion polls showed the Conservatives with a lead in the early days of the campaign but the last few weeks showed ties or slight edges to the Liberals within the margin of error.

On election day, Shawn Graham and the Liberals won the most seats, however they lost the popular vote. Bernard Lord was the first premier not elected to a third term since Hugh John Flemming lost his bid for a third term in the 1960 election while the NDP suffered a considerable blow being shut out of the legislature despite having won a seat in 5 of the last 6 elections and seeing their popular vote slip 4% to their worst showing since the 1974 election.

[edit] Issues

The Fredericton Daily Gleaner reported on August 11, 2006 that they had asked the leaders of each party for what they thought the key issues of the campaign would be:

  • Benard Lord, PC Leader: jobs, the economy, health care and senior care
  • Shawn Graham, Liberal Leader: education, economic development and energy
  • Allison Brewer, NDP Leader: high energy prices

An opinion poll, conducted for CTV Atlantic by the Innovative Research Group the last week of the campaign found the follow issues were top of mind for voters:

  • Health Care (22%)
  • Education (11%)
  • Jobs/Unemployment (10%)
  • Gas Prices/Oil (8%)
  • Political Leaders/Leadership (4%)
  • Senior Care/Nursing Homes (4%)
  • Taxes/Taxation (3%)
  • Cost of living/Inflation (3%)
  • Social Issues (2%)

[edit] Results

[edit] Results by party

[discuss] – [edit]
Summary of the 2006 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick election results
Party Party leader # of
candidates		 Seats Popular vote
2003 Dissolution Elected % Change # % Change
     Liberal Shawn Graham 55 26 26 29 +11.5% 176,410 47.1% +2.7%
     Progressive Conservative Bernard Lord 55 28 28 26 -7.1% 177,744 47.5% +2.1%
     New Democratic Allison Brewer 48 1 0 0 -100% 19,212 5.1% -4.6%
     Independent 4 - 1 -   935 0.2% +0.1%
Total 162 55 55 55 - 374,301 100%
Source: http://www.gnb.ca/elections

[edit] Results by region

Party Name Central North East North West South East South West Total
     Liberal Seats: 5 11 2 4 7 29
     Popular Vote: 46.1% 55.3% 41.6% 43.5% 48.5% 47.2%
     Progressive
Conservative		 Seats: 4 2 5 10 5 26
     Popular Vote: 47.6% 41.6% 54.2% 53.0% 44.5% 47.5%
Total seats: 9 13 7 14 12 55
Parties that won no seats:
     New
Democratic		 Popular Vote: 6.3% 2.8% 4.2% 3.4% 6.0% 5.1%
     Independents Popular Vote: - 0.3% - - 0.9% 0.2%

[edit] Results by riding

Many new and changed districts will be used for the first time in this election as a result of an electoral redistribution.

Legend

  • bold denotes cabinet minister or party leader
  • italics denotes a potential candidate who has not received his/her party's nomination
  • † denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election
  • * denotes an incumbent seeking re-election in a new district

[edit] Northeast

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
1. Campbellton-Restigouche Centre Greg Davis 3,248 Roy Boudreau 4,232 Roy Boudreau
2. Dalhousie-Restigouche East Ronald Barriault 2,081 Donald Arseneault 5,502 Lyndsey Gallant 454 Donald Arseneault
3. Nigadoo-Chaleur Gérard Mallais 2,597 Roland Haché 4,311 Lucie Desaulnier 334 Roland Haché
4. Bathurst Nancy McKay 3,037 Brian Kenny 3,224 Blair Lindsay 328 Brian Kenny
5. Nepisiguit Gerry Legere 2,448 Cheryl Lavoie 2,844 Charles Fournier 489 Frank Branch†
6. Caraquet Claude L'Espérance 1,677 Hédard Albert 4,580 Stephane Doiron 966 Hédard Albert
7. Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou Paul Robichaud 4,348 Denis Roussel 2,795 Juliette Paulin 418 Paul Robichaud
8. Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur Louis-Philippe McGraw 3,235 Denis Landry 4,142 Denis Landry
9. Tracadie-Sheila Claude Landry 4,043 Serge Rousselle 3,281 Stephane Richardson (Ind.) 250 Elvy Robichaud†
10. Miramichi Bay-Neguac Guy Vautour 1,963 Carmel Robichaud 3,083 Roger Duguay 1,791 Carmel Robichaud
11. Miramichi-Bay du Vin Michael Malley 2,720 Bill Fraser 4,187 Dwayne Hancock 181 Michael Malley
12. Miramichi Centre George Smith 2,732 John Foran 3,747 Douglas Mullin 258 John Foran
13. Southwest Miramichi Brent Taylor 2,844 Rick Brewer 3,327 Lydia Calhoun 217 Rick Brewer

[edit] Southeast

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
14. Rogersville-Kouchibouguac Rose-May Poirier 4,332 Emery Comeau 3,112 Oscar Doucet 356 Rose-May Poirier
15. Kent Aldéo Saulnier 3,060 Shawn Graham 3,534 Graham Cox 209 Shawn Graham
16. Kent South Claude Williams 4,890 Nadine Hébert 3,463 Claude Williams
17. Shediac-Cap-Pelé Leo Doiron 3,639 Victor Boudreau 5,116 Richard Pellerin 283 Victor Boudreau
18. Tantramar Mike Olscamp 2,690 John Higham 1,718 Virgil Hammock 536 Peter Mesheau†
19. Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe Fortunat Duguay 2,680 Bernard LeBlanc 3,845 Carl Bainbridge 287 new district
20. Dieppe Centre-Lewisville Cy LeBlanc* 4,347 Bruno Roy 4,289 Valier Santerre 271 new district
21. Moncton East Bernard Lord 3,816 Brian Gallant 2,827 Mark Robar 319 Bernard Lord
22. Moncton West Joan MacAlpine-Stiles 3,317 Gene Devereux 3,012 Joan MacAlpine-Stiles
23. Moncton North Marie-Claude Blais 2,469 Mike Murphy 2,707 Cindy Rix 326 Mike Murphy
24. Moncton Crescent John Betts 4,271 Shirley Smallwood 3,278 Ian Thorn 283 John Betts
25. Petitcodiac Wally Stiles 4,651 Terry Keating 2,116 Rebecca Lewis-Marshall 392 Wally Stiles
26. Riverview Bruce Fitch 4,326 Ward White 2,302 Richard Grant 202 Bruce Fitch
27. Albert Wayne Steeves 4,439 Clark Butland 1,902 Wayne Steeves

[edit] Southwest

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
28. Kings East Bruce Northrup 4,071 LeRoy Armstrong 2,798 Dana Brown 248 LeRoy Armstrong
29. Hampton-Kings Bev Harrison 4,195 Linda Watson 1,787 Pat Hanratty 918 John Sabine (Ind.) 255 Bev Harrison
30. Quispamsis Brenda Fowlie 3,108 Mary Schryer 3,625 Lorena Henry 334 Brenda Fowlie
31. Saint John-Fundy James Huttges 2,132 Stuart Jamieson 3,124 Mark LeBlanc 377 Stuart Jamieson
32. Rothesay Margaret-Ann Blaney 2,853 Paul Barry 2,765 Troy Polchies 249 Margaret-Ann Blaney
33. Saint John East Joe Mott 1,860 Roly MacIntyre 3,406 Maureen Michaud 394 Roly MacIntyre
34. Saint John Harbour Idee Inyangudor 1,139 Ed Doherty 2,690 Dan Robichaud 547 David Raymond Amos (Ind.) 44 Ed Doherty
35. Saint John Portland Trevor Holder 2,987 Colleen Knudson 2,710 Claire Mudge 281 Trevor Holder
36. Saint John Lancaster Peter Hyslop 2,499 Abel LeBlanc 4,002 Jennifer Carkner 283 Abel LeBlanc
37. Fundy-River Valley Borden DeLong 2,594 Jack Keir 2,793 Percy Ward 285 Colby Fraser (Ind.) 386 Milt Sherwood†
38. Charlotte-The Isles Wayne Sturgeon 2,627 Rick Doucet 3,619 Sharon Greenlaw 267 Rick Doucet
merged district
Eric Allaby†
39. Charlotte-Campobello Tony Huntjens 3,157 Robert Tinker 2,875 Andrew Graham 312 Tony Huntjens

[edit] Central

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
40. Oromocto Jody Carr 3,181 Shelby Mercer 1,451 Stephen Beam 157 Jody Carr
41. Grand Lake-Gagetown Jack Carr 3,324 Eugene McGinley* 3,545 Helen Partridge 412 new district
42. Fredericton-Nashwaaksis Mike Smith 3,698 T.J. Burke* 3,855 Aaron Doucette 304 new district
43. Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak Heather Hughes 2,800 Kelly Lamrock 3,817 T.J. Burke
merged district
Kelly Lamrock
44. Fredericton-Lincoln William Forrestall 2,427 Greg Byrne 3,354 Allison Brewer 1,057 new district
45. Fredericton-Silverwood Brad Green 2,880 Rick Miles 3,335 Dennis Atchison 815 Brad Green
46. New Maryland-Sunbury West Keith Ashfield 3,222 Les Smith 2,666 Brecken Hancock 307 Keith Ashfield
47. York Carl Urquhart 3,100 Trent Jewett 2,943 Derek Simons 382 Scott Targett†
48. York North Kirk MacDonald 4,061 Larry Jewett 2,854 Anne Leslie 379 Kirk MacDonald

[edit] Northwest

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
49. Woodstock David Alward 3,867 Art Slipp 2,936 Garth Brewer 345 David Alward
50. Carleton Dale Graham 4,148 Gwen Cullins-Jones 2,086 Jason Robar 235 Dale Graham
51. Victoria-Tobique Chris McLaughlin 1,447 Larry Kennedy 4,043 Paul Kendal 153 Larry Kennedy
52. Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André Maurice Picard 2,733 Ron Ouellette 3,752 Pierre Cyr 254 Ron Ouellette
53. Restigouche-La-Vallée Percy Mockler 3,835 Burt Paulin 2,806 Alain Martel 599 Burt Paulin
merged district
Percy Mockler
54. Edmundston-Saint-Basile Madeleine Dubé 5,631 Jean-Louis Johnson 2,000 Michael Bosse 235 Madeleine Dubé
55. Madawaska-les-Lacs Jeannot Volpé 4,268 Élaine Albert 2,297 Jeff Thibodeau 183 Jeannot Volpé

[edit] Controversial nature of results

The 2006 New Brunswick general election provided a textbook example of what non-partisan electoral reform groups see as the major problems with what they describe as an outdated first-past-the-post voting system.

Generally speaking, concern from these groups focuses around the facts that a) the party that won the popular vote (Progressive Conservatives by 0.3%) received three fewer seats than the party that finished second in overall votes (Liberals); b) a party that finished with less than 50% of the popular vote (Liberals with 47.2%) received a "false majority" and total effective governing power over the province; and c) over 20,000 votes cast for NDP and independent candidates are completely unrepresented in the New Brunswick Legislature.

Fair Vote Canada Executive Director Larry Gordon was quick to express his dismay with the outcome. "In a democracy, you would think any party failing to win a majority of votes should not have majority control of the legislature," he said. "You would certainly not expect a party coming in second place to be given complete control of the political agenda."[2]

There is a history of similar "false results" in the province and across Canada. In fact, despite being "penalized" by the system this time, over the last 40 years the New Brunswick Progressive Conservatives have twice been awarded more seats than any other party despite finishing second in the popular vote (1970 and 1974). Outgoing Premier Bernard Lord stated as much on election night and therefore chose not to criticize this election's result.

Lord had previously promised to hold an electoral reform referendum on May 12, 2008. If the promised vote on a mixed-member proportional system (MMP) goes ahead under the new government, "pro side" groups advocating reform are likely to make much of the 1970, 1974 and 2006 election results as well as numerous other false majorities recorded throughout the province's history.

[edit] Timeline

  • October 13, 2005 - Elizabeth Weir resigns her seat in the legislature, a by-election is called two days later for November 14. The Tories and Liberals both announce high profile candidates and the media speculates that the winner of the by-election will have the momentum going into the general election. Weir's NDP, which was caught without notice of her resignation, is expected by pundits to finish third.
  • November 14, 2005 - The Liberals win a by-election in a seat formerly held by NDP MLA Elizabeth Weir, defeating Conservative star candidate Michelle Hooton, who many considered the frontrunner, by a 2 to 1 margin.
  • January 7, 2006 - Over the course of his beginning of year interviews, Lord reveals that he will introduced legislation fixing election dates, beginning with a date in 2007.
  • February 14, 2006 - Lord announces a major cabinet shuffle moving over half of his ministers, changing several departments and dumping three of his most well known ministers, two of whom say they are leaving as they will not be candidates in the next election. In the meantime he adds former minister Brenda Fowlie back to cabinet and Speaker Bev Harrison who will have to resign from his non-partisan post.
  • March 28, 2006 -
    • Independent MLA Michael Malley is elected Speaker of the legislature. This makes the standings of the ordinarily voting members of the legislature 27 Progressive Conservatives, 26 Liberals, 1 Independent. Malley, as Speaker, would only vote in the case of a tie and, by tradition, would normally vote in favour of confidence motions. Thus an election at a time other than Lord's choosing is unlikely.
    • Finance Minister Jeannot Volpe introduces what he calls a "super good budget" in which the government provides tax credits for heating costs, eliminates the Harmonized Sales Tax from heating costs, regulates the prices of gasoline and home heating oil, personal and small business tax cuts, investments in struggling forestry companies, hiring 240 more teachers for the public school system and no longer using the value of the homes of seniors as an offset to the level of support they can receive in a nursing home.
  • April 13, 2006 - Malley announces from the speaker's chair that he is rejoining the government caucus. Government House Leader Bev Harrison argues that this restores the government majority and that therefore, the Liberals should honour a previous agreement to preserve a working majority on committees of the whole. The Liberals argued that it is inproper for a speaker to change his affiliation and refuse to recognize the government as a majority. The legislature becomes somewhat deadlocked as the government controls the primary debate of the chamber, but the opposition controls the votes at committees where legislation and budgetary estimates are approved.
  • May 1, 2006 - The Liberals offer to end the growing deadlock in the legislature by having Malley resign the speakership and placing one of their own members up for election as speaker. Under such an arrangement, the Conservatives would have 28 voting members, the Liberals 25 and the one independent Frank Branch. In exchange for giving the government this working majority, they demand an election be held on September 25, 2006. Lord rejects this offer.
  • May 30, 2006 - A Liberal motion to remove Malley from the speakership is defeated 27-25. The Liberals therefore accept the legitimacy of the Speaker becoming a member of the Progressive Conservative caucus. [3]
  • May 31, 2006 - Government House Leader Bev Harrison and Opposition House Leader Kelly Lamrock announce an agreement to end stalement in the House. The Liberals, again recognizing the government's majority, will pair with the Speaker in Committees of the Whole and will guarantee passage of the budget by June 16. In return, the government will allow the opposition to chair four committees, including a new committee on literacy, pass several opposition bills and hold fall sittings of the legislature. [4]
  • June 12, 2006 - Corporate Research Associates, which conducts a quarterly opinion poll in New Brunswick, releases a survey conducted May 17 to June 6 showing that the Progressive Conservatives have take a lead over the Liberals for the first time since August 2003.
  • June 20, 2006 - Lord announces he will introduce legislation fixing election dates on the third Monday of October beginning with an election on October 15, 2007.
  • August 8, 2006 - The Fredericton Daily Gleaner reports that Lord will meet Mesheau on August 11 and an election call is expected later that day.
  • August 10, 2006 - Bernard Lord confirms that the election will be held on September 18, 2006, although an election call is not expected until August 19.
  • August 14, 2006 - The Canadian Taxpayers Federation and the Liberals criticize Lord and his ministers for making election style announcements using government resources, something that would be forbidden after the election is formally called.
  • August 16, 2006 - The Liberal Party begins airing television and radio commercials and erecting billboards.
  • September 1, 2006 - Candidate nominations are due. The Liberals and Progressive Conservatives field full slates in all 55 ridings, while the NDP, with 48 candidates, fails to do so for the first time since 1982.
  • September 5, 2006 - It is announced that Radio-Canada, the French language arm of CBC, will not provide simultaneous translation for NDP leader Allison Brewer in their televised debate. As a result, Brewer announces she will not participate, leaving only Bernard Lord and Shawn Graham in the French leader's debate. All three leaders will participate in the English debate. The NDP late files a complaint with the Radio-Canada ombudsman.
  • September 7, 2006:
    • The Liberals release their election platform entitled "Charter for Change"
    • The three leaders participate in an English leaders' debate on CBC and PC leader Bernard Lord and Liberal leader Shawn Graham participate in a French leaders' debate on Radio-Canada (the French arm of CBC). Both were pre-taped and air simultaneously. Most pundits say that the debates will not sway many voters as there was no clear winner but some suggest Lord won the English debate while Graham won the French.
  • September 11, 2006:
    • The NDP releases their platform "Clear Voice, Clear Choice".
    • The second and final day of advanced polls. It is later reported that there is a 50% increase in advanced voter turnout over 2003. [5]
  • September 12, 2006 - Corporate Research Associates releases a poll commissioned by L'Acadie Nouvelle which shows the Liberals at 44%, the PCs at 42% and the NDP at 10%.
  • September 13, 2006 - The Progressive Conservatives release their platform "Getting Results Together".
  • September 14, 2006 - Innovative Research Group releases a poll commissioned by CTV which shows the Liberals at 45%, the PCs at 43% and the NDP at 11%.
  • September 15, 2006 - Omnifacts Bristol releases a poll showing the PCs and Liberals tied at 46% with the NDP at 7%.
  • September 18, 2006 - Election Day, polls open at 10:00am local time and close at 8:00pm.
    • 8:51 PM: CTV Atlantic projects a Liberal majority government.
    • 8:54 PM: CBC projects a Liberal majority government.
  • September 20, 2006 - Premier-designate Shawn Graham meets with outgoing Premier Bernard Lord and appoints a transition team. The team will be chaired by Doug Tyler and consist of Tyler, Allan Maher and Donald Savoie.

[edit] Political parties

  • The ruling Progressive Conservative Party of New Brunswick (PC Party) sought a third mandate and try to secure a larger, more workable majority government. They held 28 of 55 seats prior to dissolution and were led by Premier Bernard Lord who was fighting his third election as leader. They won 26 seats in the election, becoming the official opposition.
  • The Conservatives used "Getting Results Together" for their campaign slogan.
  • The opposition New Brunswick Liberal Association returned to power after suffering their worst ever defeat and winning only 10 seats in 1999 election, and after coming within 10 votes in the riding of Kennebecasis of tying the PCs with 27 seats each in the 2003 election. They held 26 of 55 seats prior to dissolution, and were led by Shawn Graham, who will fought his second election as leader. The won 29 seats and formed the government.
  • The Liberals will be using "People for A Change" for their campaign slogan.
  • The New Brunswick New Democratic Party (NDP) fought its first election without Elizabeth Weir as leader in almost two decades. Many New Brunswickers viewed the NDP and Weir as interchangeable. Weir held the party's only seat in the legislature but she resigned and the Liberal won it in a by-election. The NDP elected Allison Brewer as their new leader on September 25, 2005, she tried to convince New Brunswickers that the NDP was not a one-woman-party. Whether she achieved that goal or not is impossible to tell, but the results of the election were disappointing for the NDP, they failed to win any seats and had their lowest showing in the popular vote (5.1%) since the 1974 election.
  • The NDP used "Clear Voice, Clear Choice" as their campaign slogan.

[edit] Opinion polls

The only inter-election opinion polling regularly conducted in New Brunswick is by the Halifax, Nova Scotia-based Corporate Research Associates. Every CRA poll from the November 2003 to June 2006 showed the Liberals in the lead by varying amounts. However, their last pre-election poll, released on June 12, 2006, showed the Progressive Conservatives making a come back with 45% to 39% for the Liberals and 9% for the NDP. The CRA poll conducted during the 2003 election campaign showed the Liberals and PCs tied at 41% each, the only polling company to predict the close result that became of that campaign.

Polls conducted during the election campaign - Figures represent decided voters

Polling firm Dates PC Party Liberal NDP
Omnifacts Bristol September 10 to 13, 2006 46% 46% 7%
Innovative Research Group September 8 to 10, 2006 43% 45% 11%
Corporate Research Associates September 7 to 10, 2006 42% 44% 10%
Omnifacts Bristol* September 5 to 7, 2006 50% 44% 5%
Corporate Research Associates August 17 to August 30, 2006 45% 38% 10%
Omnifacts Bristol August 22 to 24, 2006 46% 45% 8%

* This poll reused the same sample as the August 22-24 poll and is therefore not a random sampling and not technically an opinion poll.

[edit] References

  • 1Davies, Carl. "Election Fever Hits Provincial Capital". Telegraph-Journal, August 1, 2006, pages A1,A8.
  • ²Taylor, Mark. "Election Call Could Come Friday". The Daily Gleaner, August 8, 2006, pages A1-2.

[edit] External links

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