Ministry of Petroleum of Iran
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The Iranian constitution prohibits the granting of petroleum rights on a concessionary basis or direct equity stake. However, the 1987 Petroleum Law permits the establishment of contracts between the Ministry of Petroleum, state companies and "local and foreign national persons and legal entities." Buyback contracts, for instance, are arrangements in which the contractor funds all investments, receives remuneration from the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) in the form of an allocated production share, then transfers operation of the field to NIOC after a set number of years, at which time the contract is completed.
NIOC controls huge deposits of crude oil from which over 130.798 billion barrels (20,795,200,000 m³) can be exploited in the form of primary and secondary recoveries. Iran is the fourth largest oil producer in the world after the United States and OPEC's second largest exporter. During 2005, Iran produced about 4.24 Mbbl/d (674,000 m³/d) of total liquids. Of this, 3.94 Mbbl/d (626,000 m³/d) is crude oil, roughly 5 percent of world crude production. Iran's current sustainable crude oil production capacity is estimated at 3.8 Mbbl/d (600,000 m³/d), which is around 310,000 bbl/d (49,000 m³/d) below Iran's latest (July 1, 2005) OPEC production quota of 4.110 Mbbl/d (653,400 m³/d).
The huge reserves of natural gas put Iran in the second place, in terms of the natural gas reserve quantity, among other countries, only next to the Russian Federation, with an estimate of proven reserve quantity close to 23 bcm. There are, at present, eight refineries —with a potential capacity of 950,000 barrels per day (151,000 m³/d) and one refinery complex in the country with a total refining capacity of over 1,5 mb/d (in Tehran, Tabriz, Isfahan, Abadan, Kermanshah, Shiraz, Bandar Abbas, Arak and Lavan Island) and a storage capacity of 8 milliard litre. Abundance of basic material, like natural gas, in the country provide favorable conditions for development and expansion of petrochemical plants.
Thus National Iranian Petrochemical Company (NIPC) has succeeded in the recent years in producing a wide range of petrochemicals and increasing its production, in terms of quantity, to a new level.
Country | Billions of Barrels |
---|---|
Saudi Arabia | 262.7 |
Canada | 178.9 |
Iran | 133.3 |
Iraq | 112.5 |
United Arab Emirates | 97.8 |
Kuwait | 96.5 |
Venezuela | 75.6 |
Country | Millions of Barrels |
---|---|
Saudi Arabia | 9.5 |
Russia | 9.2 |
United States | 7.6 |
Iran | 4.0 |
China | 3.5 |
European Union | 3.4 |
Mexico | 3.4 |
Contents |
[edit] Major developments
In 2001 Iran’s already sizable oil reserves were bolstered by the discovery of a large new offshore field near Abadan at the head of the Persian Gulf. However, oil recovery percentages in existing fields lagged in the early 2000s. The largest natural gas field is South Pars, discovered in 1988 in southern Iran and under intensive development in the early 2000s.
According to the Oil and Gas Journal, as of January 1, 2006, Iran held 132.5 billion barrels (21,070,000,000 m³) of proven oil reserves. This figure, which includes recent discoveries in the Kushk and Hosseineih fields of Khuzestan province, means Iran holds roughly 10 percent of the world's total proven reserves. The vast majority of Iran's crude oil reserves are located in giant onshore fields in the south-western Khuzestan region near the Iraqi border. Overall, Iran has 40 producing fields – 27 onshore and 13 offshore. Iran's crude oil is generally medium in sulfur and in the 28°-35 °API range.”
Iran currently produces about 4 million barrels (640,000 m³) of oil per day, of which only 2.5 million barrels (400,000 m³) are exported with the remaining 1.5-million-barrel (240,000 m³) being consumed internally. According to the latest report (26 Dec 2006) by the National Academy of Sciences of the United States (NAS), if the current increase in local Iranian oil consumption continues and the current decline in oil production is not stopped, then by 2015 Iran’s oil export will decline to zero. [1] According to this and other reports Iran needs to invest about $2.5 billion a year just to stand still. Iran is not running out of oil, but needs money to maintain old fields and bring in the new fields online. More recently, Oil Minister Gholam Hossein Nozari said Iran plans to invest $500 billion in the oil sector until 2024.[2]
[edit] Foreign Direct Investment in Iran
- See also: Assalouyeh and Sanctions against Iran
Since the 1979 revolution in Iran, the country has been under constant US unilateral sanctions. “The first U.S. sanctions against Iran were formalized in November of 1979, and during the hostage crisis, many sanctions were leveled against the Iranian government. By 1987 the import of Iranian goods into the United States had been banned. In 1995, President of the United States Bill Clinton issued Executive Order 12957 [3], banning U.S. investment in Iran's energy sector, followed a few weeks later by Executive Order 12959 [4] of May 9, 1995, eliminating all trade and investment and virtually all interaction between the United States and Iran.”
Despite the sanctions, Iran continued to attract foreign investment and technical cooperation for its energy sector. Countries such as France, Japan, Italy, Norway, UK, Brazil, Malaysia, Spain, Holland, China, Russia, and others took advantage of absence of the American competition and tried to fill the gap. However, the threat of American retaliation kept the investment way below the desired levels. It only allowed Iran to continue to keep its oil export at its OPEC determined quota level.
In 2006, China signed oil and gas contracts worth over $100 billion with Iran. China is heavily involved in developing the huge Yadavaran oil field. “If completed, the deal will allow China to buy 150,000 barrels (24,000 m³) of Iranian crude a day at market rates for 25 years as well as 250 million tons of liquefied natural gas (LNG). Under an initial agreement signed by the Sinopec Group in October 2004, China could pay Iran as much as $100 billion for the stake and the purchases of oil and gas over 25 years.” [5]
The amount of foreign investments made in Iran's oil industry showed a 9.1 percent growth in the last Iranian calendar year (ended March 19, 2007). Over$14.2 billion worth of foreign investments was made in the oil industry in the period 2006-2007 with the National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company (NIORDC) attracting most of the amount.[6]
[edit] Gas Cartel
- See also: Iranian Oil Bourse
Russia is also very interested to create a gas cartel, similar to OPEC[7]. Recently a senior Russian parliamentarian called for creation of a producers’ cartel to “stand-up” to the consumers’ cartel. "It is necessary to form a gas alliance, which could be joined by Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Russia, Ukraine and Belarus," the head of the Russian parliament's energy committee Valery Yazev said, RIA-Novosti reported. "Tomorrow, with the removal of the problem of Iran's nuclear program, I would also see Iran in this alliance," Mr Yazev said, speaking at a meeting of the Russian Gas Union industry group, which he also heads. [8]
[edit] Gasoline subsidies
Iran has one of the cheapest gas prices in the world: 8 cents per liter (33 cents per gallon) while mineral water sells for 13 cents a liter, because the government subsidies many basic commodities, including gasoline, totalling more than $100 billion per year (2007/2008) - $7 billion worth of gasoline imports as of 2006 alone, because of lack of domestic refining capacity.[9] Iran has also one of the highest gas consumption per capita in the world because of contraband with neighboring countries and public waste (domestic consumption increasing 10% per year). This problem of dependency on imports has also national security ramifications because of possible sanctions on gasoline imports.
[edit] Waste and pollution
Experts agree that oil is a pollutant and that its usage should be made as efficient as possible and not wasted because encouraged/incentived through subsidies. The same holds true for electricity (power wastage hit $1.1 billion in 2006), water[10], wheat[11], pharmaceuticals and other commodities like cement and steel and for the same set of reasons. Consequently, Iran has become a net importer of gasoline (in 2006, 40% of Iran's daily 70 million liters of gasoline consumption was imported)[12].
These subsidies also create an environment in which manufacturers become complacent and not only do not conserve energy in their production activities, but also do not try to build energy efficient appliances and machines; simply because their consumers do not pay attention to the product's energy consumption. Based on energy consumption, Iranian made cars, freezers, refrigerators, etc. will not be able to compete with the similar sized Japanese, American or European products.[13]
[edit] Contraband and massive theft of public property
Also contributing to the problem greatly, arbitrage opportunities, resulting from the difference between Iran's subsidized price and the market price abroad, through smuggling with other countries, has considerably aggravated the shortage of gasoline in Iran, diminished its exports of crude oil, and illegally drained/stolen huge financial resources (counted in billions of dollars per year) from the government coffers (treasury - people's money that is) into private bank accounts abroad[14]. No arrest has been made public to this day by the judiciary regarding the identity of the peoples responsible for this massive theft of the public property.[15]
Besides, studies have shown repeatedly that subsidies for gasoline mostly benefit the higher income strata of the population because they are the ones who can afford to drive cars or who can profit by using it as an input in their (export) businesses (eg. transportation) [16]. Therefore, it is advisable to ban gasoline subsidies altogether and transfer the subsidy amounts directly to the population equally or to the population who needs it specifically. A census is currently under way but, strangely, statistics regarding income levels have been discarded in the questionnaire. This precious information regarding who needs help in Iran can still be collected while the government distributes "justice shares", which are shares of state-owned enterprises being privatized given to low income Iranians, because they will have to justify (prove) their low income levels to the authorities at that time. In 2007, Iran had 12 million people living below the poverty line. Six million of these people were not supported by any foundation or organization.[17]
[edit] Proposed solution
On January 24, 2007, Iranian President Ahmadinejad called high petrol consumption as "the main problem facing national economy", but at the same time, told the press that after making necessary preparations such as a development of public transportation system the government will free up petrol prices after five years (only).[18] In response to this situation, the Government of Iran has envisaged to implement a two-tier payment system for the purchase of gasoline through the use of smart cards, whereby:
- Starting on June 27, 2007, each car privately owned is allotted 100 liters per month at the price of 1000 rials per liter (11 cents for normal petrol, 15 cents for super - new domestic rationed price), with consumption beyond that at 60-65 cents per liter (imported/open market price - yet to be confirmed), [19]
- Private cars using petrol and compressed natural gas (CNG) would only be allowed 30 liters,
- Government cars with monthly limit placed at 300 litres, starting one week earlier,
- 800 liters per month for yellow taxis and privately owned taxis.
The rationing system is scheduled to last 4-6 months during its first phase.[20]
[edit] Criticism
It must be noted that even if the government does not plan to target low-income Iranians for the subsidies, experts agree that in the worst case senario (the present situation that is), it would make more sense to distribute the same amount of subsidies in the Government's budget (if not more) to the entire population equally and directly through cash payments. That would be $400 USD per adult per year in 2006 for gasoline alone when the average annual salary in Iran is $2,700 USD; instead of implementing a two-tier payment system that can be technically defrauded, so as to avoid the real cost incured by the underprivileged, general population and the government because of contraband, waste and over-consumption among other reasons cited above [21]. This is the easiest and most efficient solution because inflation would increase by the same amount or much less than the purchasing power of the Iranian consumers, because of the cash transfer from the government to the Iranian people as described above (from previously budgeted subsidies).[22] This, above the transfer from the thieves to the Iranian people (from the proceeds of the smuggling activity). Therefore it is not even a problem that the measure would be unpopular for the rulers, if things are explained properly to the population and implemented (quite the opposite!). These subsidies are de-facto a massive and illegal transfer of wealth - counted in billions of dollars per year - from the people of Iran to the pockets of the ruling class/mafia,[23][24] but disguised as "economic help/assistance" to the Iranian people and this is the only real reason why they are kept in place.[25]
[edit] Main Companies
Most operations of the petroleum industry are undertaken and conducted, at present, by four main companies as follows:
- National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC)
- National Iranian Gas Company (NIGC)
- National Iranian Petrochemical Company (NIPC)
- National Iranian Oil Refining and Distribution Company (NIORDC)
[edit] See also
[edit] References
- ^ The Iranian petroleum crisis and United States national security - Stern 104 (1): 377 - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- ^ Iran Daily - Domestic Economy - 04/24/08
- ^ U.S. Treasury - Sanctions Program Summaries - Iran
- ^ U.S. Treasury - Sanctions Program Summaries - Iran
- ^ Bloomberg.com: Asia
- ^ Foreign investment in Iran's oil industry up by 9.1 percent last year
- ^ Gas Cartel Gains Traction With Alliance Set to Meet - WSJ.com
- ^ Russia calls for gas alliance with Iran | The Daily Telegraph
- ^ Energy subsidies reach $84b. Iran-Daily (2007-01-08). Retrieved on 2008-04-27.
- ^ Iran Daily - Domestic Economy - 06/06/07
- ^ Iran-Daily: "Power Wastage Hits $1.1b"
- ^ US Department of Energy - Oil Sector in Iran
- ^ "Ahmadinejad's Achilles Heel: The Iranian Economy"
- ^ Iran-daily: $1b Returned to Treasury
- ^ Iran Daily - Front Page - 06/17/07
- ^ Iran Daily - Domestic Economy - 04/07/07
- ^ Tehran Times - Poverty in Iran
- ^ Times, Tehran (January 25, 2007). Iran trying to prevent another UN resolution: president. Tehran Times. Retrieved on 2007-01-25.
- ^ Iran Daily - Front Page - 03/08/07
- ^ Protests flare in Iran over petrol rationing - Forbes.com
- ^ http://tehrantimes.com/Description.asp?Da=2/22/2007&Cat=14&Num=001
- ^ Iran Daily - Front Page - 05/20/07
- ^ Iran Daily: Cash Subsidy Plan
- ^ News Analysis: Firing Tightens Iranian President's Economic Circle
- ^ Iran Daily - Domestic Economy - 05/17/07
[edit] External links
- Official Website - Ministry of Petroleum of Iran
- Brief Study - Oil & Gas in Iran (2003)
- Australian Government - Oil & Gas Industry Profile for Iran
- US Department of Energy - Iran
- BBC - Iran in Maps
- Ministry of Petroleum Overview - Iran Daily, April 2007