Henrik Svensmark
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Henrik Svensmark is a physicist at the Danish National Space Center in Copenhagen who studies the effects of cosmic rays on cloud formation. His work is connected to considerable controversy in the area of the global warming issue. He has highlighed how it conflicts with the theory held by some that the effects of human activity on rising temperatures are more significant than solar activity.
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[edit] Career
Svensmark, director of the Centre for Sun-Climate Research at the Danish Space Research Institute (DSRI), a part of the Danish National Space Center, previously headed the sun-climate group at DSRI. He also held postdoctoral positions in physics at three other organizations: University of California, Berkeley, Nordic Institute for Theoretical Physics, and the Niels Bohr Institute.[1]
In 1997, Svensmark and Eigil Friis-Christensen popularised a theory that linked galactic cosmic rays and global climate change mediated primarily by variations in the intensity of the solar wind, which has been termed cosmoclimatology. This theory had earlier been reviewed by Dickinson.[2] The small-scale processes related to this link were studied in a laboratory experiment performed at the Danish National Space Center (paper published in the Proceedings of the Royal Society A", February 8, 2007).
Svensmark's research downplays the significance to which atmospheric CO2 may affect global warming.
[edit] Theory of climate change
In 2007, Svensmark and Nigel Calder published a book The Chilling Stars: A New Theory of Climate Change which introduced the theory that cosmic rays "have more effect on the climate than manmade CO2":
- During the last 100 years cosmic rays became scarcer because unusually vigorous action by the Sun batted away many of them. Fewer cosmic rays meant fewer clouds--and a warmer world.[3]
A documentary film on Henrik Svensmarks theory, The Cloud Mystery, was presented by MortensenFilm.dk [4]early in 2008.
[edit] Further studies
Mike Lockwood of the UK's Rutherford Appleton Laboratory and Claus Froehlich of the World Radiation Center in Switzerland published a paper in 2007 which concluded that the increase in mean global temperature observed since 1985 correlates so poorly with solar variability that no type of causal mechanism may be ascribed to it, although they accept that there is "considerable evidence" for solar influence on Earth's pre-industrial climate and to some degree also for climate changes in the first half of the 20th century.[5]
Svensmark's coauthor Calder responded to the study in an interview with LondonBookReview.com, where he put forth the counterclaim that global temperature has not risen since 1999.[6].
Later in 2007, Svensmark and Friis-Christensen brought out a Reply to Lockwood and Fröhlich which concludes that surface air temperature records used by Lockwood and Fröhlich apparently are a poor guide to Sun-driven physical processes, but tropospheric air temperature records do show an impressive negative correlation between cosmic-ray flux and air temperatures up to 2006 if a warming trend, oceanic oscillations and volcanism are removed from the temperature data. They also point out that Lockwood and Fröhlich present their data by using running means of around 10 years, which creates the illusion of a continued temperature rise, whereas all unsmoothed data point to a flattening of the temperature, coincident with the present maxing out of the magnetic activity of the Sun, and which the continued rapid increase in CO2 concentrations seemingly has been unable to overrule. This reply has so far not been published in a peer-reviewed journal.
Other organizations, influenced by Svensmark's work, plan to build on the Danish findings. CERN, the European Organization for Nuclear Research in Geneva, started a multi-phase project in 2006, including rerunning the Danish experiment, only CERN plans to use an accelerator rather than reliance on natural cosmic rays. CERN's multinational project will give scientists a permanent facility where they can study the effects of both cosmic rays and charged particles in the Earth's atmosphere.[7]. The project was named CLOUD (Cosmics Leaving OUtdoor Droplets)
In April 2008, Professor Terry Sloan of Lancaster University published a paper in the journal Environmental Research Letters titled "Testing the proposed causal link between cosmic rays and cloud cover"[8], which found no significant link between cloud cover and cosmic ray intensity in the last 20 years. Svensmark responded by saying "Terry Sloan has simply failed to understand how cosmic rays work on clouds".[9]
However, Dr. Giles Harrison of Reading University, who has worked on the issue, has described the work as important "as it provides an upper limit on the cosmic ray-cloud effect in global satellite cloud data". Harrison's research[10], which studied the UK only, has suggested that cosmic rays make only a very weak contribution to cloud formation.
[edit] Selected publications
- Henrik Svensmark (1998). "Influence of Cosmic Rays on Earth's Climate". Physical Review Letters 81: 5027–5030. doi: .
- Henrik Svensmark, Jens Olaf P. Pedersen, Nigel D. Marsh, Martin B. Enghoff & Ulrik I. Uggerhøj (2007). "Experimental evidence for the role of ions in particle nucleation under atmospheric conditions". Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 463: 385–396. doi: .
- Henrik Svensmark (2007). "Astronomy & Geophysics Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges". Astronomy & Geophysics 48 (1): 1.18–1.24. doi: .
[edit] Book
- Henrik Svensmark & Nigel Calder (2007). The Chilling Stars: A New Theory of Climate Change. Thriplow: Icon. ISBN 9781840468151.
[edit] Awards
- 2001, the Energy-E2 Research Prize
- 1997, Knud Hojgaard Anniversary Research Prize
[edit] References
- ^ Lawrence Solomon. "The sun moves climate change", online, National Post, 2007-02-02. The Deniers, Part VI. Retrieved on 2007-09-19.
- ^ Robert E. Dickinson (December 1975). "Solar variability and the lower atmosphere". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 56 (12): 1240–1248. doi: .
- ^ Svensmark, Henrik, "The Chilling Stars: A New Theory of Climate Change", Totem Books, 2007 (ISBN 1-840-46815-7)
- ^ The Cloud Mystery
- ^ Mike Lockwood & Claus Fröhlich (2007). "Recent oppositely directed trends in solar climate forcings and the global mean surface air temperature". Proceedings of the Royal Society A 463: 2447. doi: .
- ^ http://www.londonbookreview.com/interviews/nigelcalder.html LondonBookReview.com interview with Nigel Calder
- ^ Lawrence Solomon. "The sun moves climate change", online, National Post, 2007-02-02. The Deniers, Part VI. Retrieved on 2007-09-19.
- ^ Sloan, Terry; Wolfendale, A.W. (2008-04-03). "Testing the proposed causal link between cosmic rays and cloud cover". Environmental Research Letters 3 (April-June 2008).
- ^ Black, Richard. "'No Sun link' to climate change", BBC News, 2008-04-03. Retrieved on 2008-04-05.
- ^ Harrison, Giles; Stephenson, David. "Empirical evidence for a nonlinear effect of galactic cosmic rays on clouds". Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 462.
[edit] External links
- Calder, Nigel, An experiment that hints we are wrong on climate change Nigel Calder, former editor of New Scientist, says the orthodoxy must be challenged, TimesOnline, February 11, 2007
- DISCOVER Interview with Henrik Svensmark, by Marion Long. Sun's shift may cause global warming - June 2007
- LondonBookReview.com - Book review of The Chilling Stars
- Scientific report Proceedings of the Royal Society A 463, 385-396 (2007).
- Discussion of Sun controversy on scienceandpublicpolicy.org
- The CLOUD project