Foundations of statistics

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Foundations of statistics is the usual name for the epistemological debate over how one should conduct inductive inference from data. Among issues considered are the question of Bayesian inference versus frequentist inference, the distinction between Fisher's "significance testing" and Neyman-Pearson "hypothesis testing", and whether the likelihood principle should be followed. Some of these issues have been debated for up to 200 years without resolution [Efron, 1978].

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For a short introduction to the foundations of statistics, see ch. 6 ("Probability and statistical inference") of Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics (6th edition, 1994).

In his book Statistics As Principled Argument, Robert P. Abelson articulates the position that statistics serves as a standardized means of settling disputes between scientists who could otherwise each argue the merits of their own positions ad infinitum. From this point of view, statistics is a form of rhetoric; as with any means of settling disputes, statistical methods can succeed only as long as all parties agree on the approach used.

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  • Abelson, Robert P. (1995). Statistics as Principled Argument. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. ISBN 0805805281. “... the purpose of statistics is to organize a useful argument from quantitative evidence, using a form of principled rhetoric.” 
  • Efron B. (1978), "Controversies in the foundations of statistics", American Mathematical Monthly, 85: 231-246.
  • Ord K, Stuart A. (1994), Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, volume I: Distribution Theory (Edward Arnold).

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