Talk:Forecasting

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[edit] Concern with classification of methods

Regression analysis, ARMA, and ARIMA are not causal methods (they do not "identify the underlying factors that might influence the variable"). They should be moved to time-series methods, or Causal and econometric methods should be separated. I think this page needs some work. I'm not fluent enough in this area to make edits, though. Clebio 16:14, 6 November 2006 (UTC)

I agree that ARMA, ARIMA are not causal methods, although I had thought multiple regression was one. There are other forecasting methods I am aware of that are not mentioned - wavelets, transfer functions, singular spectrum analysis, Fourier analysis, naive methods, and many others. 80.1.88.54 21:18, 26 April 2007 (UTC)

[edit] Proposal to merge with Predictive analytics

For a discussion about merging with Predictive analytics, see talk:Predictive analytics#Merge with forecasting Apdevries 05:56, 6 September 2006 (UTC)

Merge tag removed. Se discussion in "Predicitve analytics."CommodiCast 15:41, 15 September 2006 (UTC)

[edit] Site advertising

I don't usually edit pages so I don't really know wikipedia policy, but the following seems like advertising a website.

"The main source of information about forecasting on the internet is the Forecasting Principles site, forecastingprinciples.com." —The preceding unsigned comment was added by 145.97.201.67 (talk) 15:50, 1 March 2007 (UTC).

I have to agree the second paragraph on this article sounds very much like advertising. Some of the external links might be useful and should be considered to be moved to a different section possibly.

As someone who has taken an interest in the subject, I can confirm that the comment about the Forecasting Principles site is true and fair. It is much bigger than the others. The other links are useful and should be kept. 80.1.88.54 21:24, 26 April 2007 (UTC)
I'm sorry, but the text around the link is simply promotional adcopy. The link itself is to a low content site which appears to pitch conferences. I have removed it - please discuss here if you feel it should be re-added. Kuru talk 12:13, 25 June 2007 (UTC)

[edit] Software for forecasting

There are dozens of programs that can do forecasts. It would be nice to have a seperate article that compared their various methods used etc. Some are purpose built, others include forecasting among other statistical things. Some are free, others commercial. A few do forecasting automatically.

Off the top of my head ones I recall include Autobox, Forecast Pro, R, Gretl, Easyreg, and dozens of others. 80.1.88.54 21:36, 26 April 2007 (UTC)