Wikipedia:Five-million pool

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This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 5,000,000 (five million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 2,405,488.

This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 2,500,000, so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on March 21, 2005, shortly after the 500,000th article was created.

It is currently 2008 June 9 (UTC). Guesses for prior dates will still be eligible to win if a later guess isn't closer to the actual date than the earlier date. Please be aware, however, that attempts at guessing a prior date may be seen by some as a humor entry.

Contents

[edit] Today

  • Whenever it happens, there will be a huge announcement: "Wikipedia Hit 5,000,000 Mark Today" What do I win? CrazyLegsKC 01:00, 4 August 2005 (UTC)
I win too. Rentastrawberry 03:49, 18 September 2005 (UTC)
And then, the next day, there will be news that say "Wikipedia Hit 5,000,000 Mark Yesterday". You lose. --Joe Schme(ssages)dley 21:41, 3 December 2006 (UTC)

[edit] Day before tommorow

[edit] The day before the day after it was created

[edit] 1970

  • January 1, midnight precisely. I mean, hey, there's at least a one-in-a-billion chance that something will reset the server's ctime just before the five-millionth article, right? So I have a very small probability of getting it right down to the second instead of a slightly larger probability of getting it to within a year tops. —Simetrical (talk • contribs) 05:20, 7 May 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 1991

I win!! :) Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:02 (UTC)

[edit] The first day of the rest of your life

  • About then. Dfrg.msc 06:23, 11 September 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 1999

August 1 - The digital world screws everything else up, so why not? birdboy2000 22:11, 17 December 2005 (UTC)

[edit] 12:00am [blinking on and off]

Sadly, someone will pull the plug on Wikipedia and the clock will go back to 12:00am. IT'S DA...Ανέκδοτο 04:11, 12 September 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2005

[edit] 2006

[edit] 2007

no, we are on about 1,850,000 now. 14:50, 1 July 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2008

And they're going to give it to you on Christmas? --Ye Olde Luke 23:34, 15 November 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2009

I second this one. It will be September 15, 2009. John Titor told me. Sadly it will be bot-created. aliasd·U·T 14:19, 16 September 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2010

[edit] 2011

[edit] 2012

I agree it will happen in 2012. It will either happen on December 21 (my 25th birthday) or December 24 (the day the Aztecs predicted the world will end. A documentary that predicted the ending of the world based on the Bible also said this date). --Ted87 02:07, 30 June 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2013

[edit] 2014

[edit] 2015

[edit] 2016

October 19 Bennity 11:28, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
December 9 G Clark 02:42, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2017

[edit] 2018

22 - 02 - 18 (Roy van Rijn) --217.195.241.2 09:07, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2019

The fifty-seventh day of 2019. --Berney 21:37, 16 December 2005 (UTC)

April 3, 2019. --Nomader 00:02, 3 March 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2020-2021

June 15, 2020, this was a tough prediction, but I think the middle of 2020 is the way to go. --Evan Robidoux 19:46, 24 June 2006 (UTC)

May 15, 2021. 23:59 hrs UTC - If I'm right, I'll probably be dead before this day comes. :( Ryan 07:17, July 27, 2005 (UTC)

August 17, 2020, whereupon Wikipedia will receive perfect vision (and subsequently receive an asolute barrage of new articles, as I've also predicted that this is the date where Wikipedia will receive its eleventy-billionth post). Matt Yeager 06:14, 30 December 2005 (UTC)

October 10, 2021, when the police snipers finally take me down. Proto 12:51, 10 Jun 2005 (UTC)

[edit] 2022-2023

Better than Human AI achieve consciousness and names him self Tay The Procrastinator 00:13, 11 January 2006 (UTC)

March 15, 2022 My 35th birthday 24.199.216.91 04:14, 17 October 2006 (UTC)Procty

July 14, 2022 Dang that's far away...I'll be 34. Zarxos 03:14, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

October 23, 2023 I just have a feeling. Chachilongbow 16:47, 13 June 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2024-2025

July 10, 2025. Give or take 2 years, 3 months and 27 days. - Ghelaetalkcontribs 15:56, 25 February 2006 (UTC)

March 2 or March 10, 2025. Think about it, you know it makes sense. Daesumnor 01:59, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2026-2027

May 2, 2027 - [[1]] (it will be my 40th birthday !)

May 12, 2027 on my 40th birthday (oops I will be 50 haha, oh I am an old fart!). By then Wikipedia will do datadumps to our brains every third millisecond.--Adam (talk) 02:49, 16 April 2006 (UTC)

On May 25 2027 will be the day.

[edit] 2028-2029

[edit] 2030-2034

[edit] 2035-2039

  • January 19, 2038 - The day that civilization collapses with unix time. 71.192.130.225 12:38, 26 August 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2040-2044

4 october 2040 it will be the 23rd article published that day and it will be the 5 millionth ever. (----)

[edit] 2045-2049

[edit] 2050 or later

  • Exactly 1 year after the moment we land a person on Mars. (please move this vote when we've landed on Mars :)) -- BRIAN0918  15:14, 22 Mar 2005 (UTC)
" Exactly 1 year after the moment we land a person on Mars". Jim Kirk will be President first.=] Trekphiler 03:52, 11 September 2007 (UTC)
  • Does "we" mean Americans or mankind?? (it may will be two different landing events)
    "We" refers to the squirrel population in Antarctica, of course. Sango123 July 5, 2005 17:00 (UTC)
Does a monkey still count? :) Smartech 02:53, 15 July 2005 (UTC)
Since people are technically just a breed of monkeys, yes. --86.130.24.206 15:12, 28 August 2005 (UTC)
No - technically people are a breed of ape, not monkeys. Both though a part of the primate group. David Ruben Talk 01:57, 21 April 2006 (UTC)
Why don't we just say:

When a lifeform from Earth intentionally lands themself or another lifeform from Earth onto Mars or one of its satellites.

--Joe Schme(ssages)dley 21:39, 3 December 2006 (UTC)
-- Isn't this supposed to be a place where you bet rather than discuss nonexistent squirrel populations from Antarctica ;). Dixonsej 16:23, 4 October 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2066

March 14, pi day π Nillanilla3ee 19:22, 9 December 2007 (UTC)

[edit] 2094

[edit] 2095

January 3rd

[edit] 2101

Whenever humanity invents the Zig. The 5-millionth article will be All their base are belongs to us. nneonneo talk 05:59, 18 April 2008 (UTC)

[edit] Eternity

I'm betting on the year ALEF_null+1, 12:01 (UTC+pi)

[edit] Never

  • Whether or not Wikipedia will reach five million articles is one thing. Whether it should is another. It's reached the point where - excluding current events or news articles - almost every new article created for Wikipedia is pointless. It will be a local band creating their own page for their band, or something else of the sort. So, in other words, my answer is: Wikipedia will reach five million articles when ... well, right after it reaches 4,999,999 articles.

That wasn't funny at all, was it? Free-encyclopedia 19:23, 21 September 2007 (UTC)

  • It is not possible, The sum of all knowlegde < 5,000,000 articles --Clawed 05:12, 24 Apr 2005 (UTC)
  • Shortly after the heat death of the sun.  ALKIVAR 01:40, 23 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • After pi is found to be a rational number. Sango123 23:07, May 22, 2005 (UTC)
  • When Romania denies having ever had yellow in their flag when it has yellow now. Barely There 12:07, 5 Jun 2005 (UTC)
  • When boys start being named Sarah. HellRaiser 04:43, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)
  • After blindness is found to be just a state of mind. Jesus Lover 05:27, 15 Jun 2005 (UTC)
  • When a vandal named User:Willy on Wheels ON WHEELS!!!!!haha takes complete control of Wikipedia, and uses it to destroy every Internet connection in France, creating 5,000,000 articles in the process. --Mark J 19:09, 17 July 2005 (UTC)
  • When Essex becomes a independent country. --Weirdguy 06:42, 19 July 2005 (UTC)
  • At this rate, it will be after 2012. Gogo December 21, 2012. - RPharazon 03:56, August 12, 2005 (UTC)
  • When the Wikimedia Foundation takes over every company in the world, creating 4,595,151 articles in the process.--207.200.116.136 20:27, 25 December 2005 (UTC)
  • Not if the mergists have a say :) Deckiller 01:18, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
  • When the People's Action Party loses control of the government in Singapore. (nah, just kidding. real guess below) - splot 07:07, 16 July 2006 (UTC)
  • \Tau_{\frac{1}{2}} = \inf Isopropyl 05:57, 2 May 2006 (UTC)
  • Delete. Not notable. ;-) DarthVader 08:44, 18 May 2006 (UTC)
  • Never, Everytime Wikipedia gets 5 million Articles, Andrea Yates appears puts all 5 Million articles in her bathtub until they drown, and Wikipedia has to star all over again 12.183.203.184 08:48, 29 May 2006 (UTC)
  • Wikipedia will probably a) further deteriorate, alienating too many good contributors, or b) abolish IP editing, both alternatives with the result of a lot fewer articles being created. —AldeBaer 10:55, 26 May 2007 (UTC)
  • More precisely when Willy on Wheels passes his RfA. Cool Bluetalk to me 22:21, 9 June 2007 (UTC)
  • 5,000,000? Doesn't that come right before ∞? [[Animum | talk]] 22:54, 6 September 2007 (UTC)
  • When Catholics turn into Theistic Satanists. --Agüeybaná 20:30, 13 September 2007 (UTC)
  • When Laika makes her long awaited return.Yohan euan o4 20:11, 22 October 2007 (UTC)