Chernobyl compared to other radioactivity releases

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This article compares the radioactivity release and decay from the Chernobyl disaster to various other events which involved a release of uncontrolled radioactivity.

Contents

[edit] Chernobyl compared to Hiroshima

Far fewer people died as an immediate result of the Chernobyl event than died at Hiroshima, and the eventual total is also significantly less when including those predicted by the WHO to die in the future. Due to the differences in half life the different radioactive fission products undergo exponential decay at different rates. Hence the isotopic signature of an event where more than one radioisotope is involved will change with time.

Some simplistic comments have been made in which the radioactive release of the Chernobyl event is claimed to be 300[1] or 400[2] times that of the bomb dropped on Hiroshima. The work of SCOPE[3] suggests that the two events can not be simply compared with a number suggesting that one was XX times larger than the other.

The radioactivity released at Chernobyl tended to be more long lived than that released by a bomb detonation hence it is not possible to draw a simple comparison between the two events.

The relative size of the Chernobyl release when compared with the release due to the Hiroshima bomb.
Isotope Ratio between the release due to the bomb and the Chernobyl accident
90Sr 1:87
137Cs 1:890
131I 1:25
133Xe 1:31
A comparison of the gamma dose rates due to Chernobyl accident and Hiroshima bombing.
Normalized to the same Cs-137 level. (logarithmic scale).
Normalized to the same Cs-137 level. (logarithmic scale).
Normalized to the same dose rate for day one.
Normalized to the same dose rate for day one.
Normalized to the same Cs-137 level (dose rate on day 10000).
Normalized to the same Cs-137 level (dose rate on day 10000).

The graph of dose rate as a function of time for the bomb fallout was done using a method similar to that of T. Imanaka, S. Fukutani, M. Yamamoto, A. Sakaguchi and M. Hoshi, J. Radiation Research, 2006, 47, Suppl A121-A127. Our graph exhibits the same shape as that obtained in the paper. The bomb fallout graph is for a ground burst of an implosion-based plutonium bomb which has a depleted uranium tamper. The fission was assumed to have been caused by 1 MeV neutrons and 20% occurred in the 238U tamper of the bomb. It is assumed that no separation of the isotopes occurred between the detonation and the deposit of radioactivity. The following gamma-emitting isotopes are modeled 131I, 133I, 132Te, 133I, 135I, 140Ba, 95Zr, 97Zr, 99Mo, 99mTc, 103Ru, 105Ru, 106Ru, 142La, 143Ce, 137Cs, 91Y, 91Sr, 92Sr, 128Sb and 129Sb. The graph ignores the effects of beta emission and shielding. The data for the isotopes was obtained from the Korean table of the isotopes. The graphs for the Chernobyl accident were computed by an analogous method.

[edit] Chernobyl compared to Tomsk-7

The release of radioactivity which occurred at Tomsk-7 (an industrial nuclear complex located in Seversk rather than the city of Tomsk) is a better comparison to the Chernobyl release. During reprocessing activities, some of the feed for the second cycle (medium active part) of the PUREX process escaped in an accident involving red oil. According to the IAEA it was estimated that the following isotopes were released from the reaction vessel:[4]

  • 106Ru 7.9 TBq
  • 103Ru 340 GBq
  • 95Nb 11.2 TBq
  • 95Zr 5.1 TBq
  • 137Cs 505 GBq (estimated from the IAEA data)
  • 141Ce 370 GBq
  • 144Ce 240 GBq
  • 125Sb 100 GBq
  • 239Pu 5.2 GBq

It is important to note that the very short lived isotopes such as 140Ba and 131I were absent from this mixture, and the long lived 137Cs was only at a small concentration. This is because it is not able to enter the tributyl phosphate/hydrocarbon organic phase used in the first liquid-liquid extraction cycle of the PUREX process. The second cycle is normally to clean up the uranium and plutonium product. In the PUREX process some zirconium, technetium and other elements are extracted by the tributyl phosphate. Due to the radiation induced degradation of tributyl phosphate the first cycle organic phase is always contaminated with ruthenium (later extracted by dibutyl hydrogen phosphate). Because the very short lived radioisotopes and the relatively long lived caesium isotopes are either absent or in low concentrations the shape of the dose rate vs. time graph is different from Chernobyl both for short times and long times after the accident.

The size of the radioactive release at Tomsk-7 was much smaller, and while it caused moderate environmental contamination it did not cause any early deaths.

Normalized to the same first day dose rate. (logarithmic scale).
Normalized to the same first day dose rate. (logarithmic scale).

[edit] Chernobyl compared with the Goiânia accident

While both events released 137Cs, the isotopic signature for the Goiânia accident was much simpler.[5] It was a single isotope which has a half life of about 30 years. To show how the activity vs. time graph for a single isotope differs from the dose rate due to Chernobyl (in the open air) the following chart is shown with calculated data for a hypothetical release of 106Ru.

Normalized to the same first day dose rate. (logarithmic scale).
Normalized to the same first day dose rate. (logarithmic scale).

[edit] Chernobyl compared with the Three Mile Island accident

Main article: Three Mile Island accident

Three Mile Island-2 was a completely different accident from Chernobyl. Chernobyl was a human-caused power excursion causing a steam explosion resulting in a graphite fire, uncontained, which lofted radioactive smoke high into the atmosphere - TMI was a slow, undetected leak that lowered the water level around the nuclear fuel, resulting in over a third of it melting. Unlike Chernobyl, TMI-2's reactor vessel did not fail and contained almost all of the radioactive material. Containment at TMI did not fail. A small quantity of radioactive gases from the leak were vented into the atmosphere through specially designed filters under operator control. A government report estimated that approximately one additional cancer would result, although some groups dispute this conclusion.

[edit] Chernobyl compared with criticality accidents

During the time between the start of the Manhattan project and the present day, a series of accidents have occurred in which nuclear criticality has played a central role. The criticality accidents may be divided into two classes. For more details see nuclear and radiation accidents. A good review of the topic was published in 2000, "A Review of Criticality Accidents" by Los Alamos National Laboratory (Report LA-13638), May 2000. Coverage includes United States, Russia, United Kingdom, and Japan. Also available at this page, which also tries to track down documents referenced in the report.

[edit] Process accidents

In the first class (process accidents) during the processing of fissile material, accidents have occurred when a critical mass has been created by accident. For instance at Charlestown, Rhode Island, United States on July 24, 1964 one death occurred and at Tokaimura nuclear fuel reprocessing plant, on September 30, 1999[6] two deaths and one non fatal overexposure occurred as result of accidents where too much fissile matter was placed in a vessel. These accidents tend to lead to very high doses due to direct irradiation of the workers within the site, but due to the inverse square law the dose suffered by members of the general public tends to be very small. Also very little environmental contamination normally occurs as a result of these accidents. A trivial release of radioactivity occurred as a result of the Tokaimura event. The building in which the accident occurred was not designed as a containment building, yet it was able to retard the spread of radioactivity. Because the temperature rise in the nuclear reaction vessel was small, the majority of the fission products remained in the vessel.

[edit] Reactor accidents

In this type of accident a reactor or other critical assembly releases far more fission power than was expected, or at the wrong moment in time it becomes critical. The series of examples of such events include one in an experimental facility in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on September 23, 1983 (one death)[7] and during the Manhattan Project several people were irradiated (two, Harry K. Daghlian and Louis Slotin, fatally) during "tickling the dragon's tail" experiments. These accidents tend to lead to very high doses due to direct irradiation of the workers within the site, but due to the inverse square law the dose suffered by members of the general public tends to be very small. Also very little environmental contamination normally occurs as a result of these accidents. For instance at Sarov according to the IAEA report (2001)[8] the radioactivity remained confined to within the actinide metal objects which were part of the experimental system. Even the SL-1 accident failed to release much radioactivity outside the building in which it occurred.

[edit] See also

[edit] References

  1. ^ Comparison of Damage among Hiroshima/Nagasaki, Chernobyl, and Semipalatinsk. http://www.hiroshima-cdas.or.jp/HICARE/en/10/hi04.html
  2. ^ Hell on Earth. The Guardian. Wednesday April 26, 2006. http://society.guardian.co.uk/societyguardian/story/0,,1760930,00.html
  3. ^ Sources of environmental radioactivity
  4. ^ IAEA Publications - Details
  5. ^ IAEA Publications - Details
  6. ^ World Nuclear Association
  7. ^ NRC.gov
  8. ^ http://www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/Pub1106_scr.pdf