User:Anthon.Eff

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James Surowiecki's book, The Wisdom of Crowds, begins with Francis Galton's anecdote about an ox-weighing contest at a country fair: for a half-shilling, one could purchase a ticket on which to write an estimate of the slaughtered and dressed weight of a displayed living ox. The ticket with the guess closest to the actual weight would win a prize. Galton found that the mean of all guesses was in fact more accurate than the best guess, even though the guessers included livestock experts. This is a good illustration of the fact that a collective judgment may often be more correct than the judgment of any individual expert — something which appears to be true in financial markets, for example.

Wikipedia is a mechanism for producing collective judgments about the accuracy and importance of factual statements. I think this makes Wikipedia very exciting — any statement placed in Wikipedia is immediately subject to review and revision, and if everyone is animated by the same sense of trying to achieve truth, the text can quite rapidly evolve to something accurate and balanced.

[edit] What I'm doing here

My original plan was to contribute to a few articles on 19th century social and intellectual history, and I began by adding an article on Jonathan Baxter Harrison and contributing to a few related articles, especially those dealing with Spiritualism. Finding that it was fun, I worked on a few articles having to do with my work in economics and anthropology, such as Peace studies, Neolithic Europe, Standard cross-cultural sample, Galton's problem, Kwoma, Regional science, Clarence Edwin Ayres, Walter Isard, and George Murdock. I've also written a few articles that have to do with things Danish, such as Louis Pio, and have worked a bit on some articles having to do with Turkey, such as Turkification.

But I'm also interested in observing how Wikipedia works. Wikipedia is a project requiring the cooperation of tens of thousands of strangers, where rules have evolved to channel behavior in positive directions. This makes Wikipedia a kind of laboratory in which one can observe the problems of cooperation and the ways in which rules help mitigate those problems. So I've begun (ever so slowly) to work on a paper about the dynamics of Wikipedia. As I get time, I will put a few observations about those dynamics on a blog.

[edit] Who I am

Identity
This user accepts the theory of evolution by natural selection.
This user is interested in religion.
This user thinks we can all get along just fine.
This user thinks America is special.
X This user does not believe in the existence of human races, except as a social construct. X
Eagle Scout knot This user is an Eagle Scout.
PhD This user has a Doctor of Philosophy degree.
This user is interested in evolutionary economics.
This user is a Darwikinist.
R This user is an aficionado of the open source statistical package R.


Wikipedia:Babel
en This user is a native speaker of English.
da-3 Denne bruger kan bidrage på flydende dansk.
no-2 Denne brukeren har god kjennskap til bokmål.
sv-1 Denna användare har grundläggande kunskaper i svenska.
es-2 Este usuario puede contribuir con un nivel intermedio de español.
fr-1 Cet utilisateur peut contribuer avec un niveau élémentaire de français.
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The Barnstar of Diligence
To Anthon, for always "going the extra mile" to bring good sense to WP, and making your edits really count... Johnfos 01:30, 7 October 2007 (UTC)


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