Strategic entry deterrence

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Strategic moves can be defined as any move that is designed to influence the behaviour of other firms. Strategic entry deterrence therefore involves any action taken by an incumbent firm that seeks to discourage potential entrants from entering into and competing in the market, even if it is not profit maximising to do so in the short-run. This distinction allows us to compare two types of barriers to entry: innocent barriers and strategic barriers.

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[edit] Limit Price

How can a firm strategically discourage entry into its market? If the incumbent firm is producing the monopoly level of output, and thereby making supernormal profits, there is an incentive for new firms to enter the market and attempt to capture some of these profits. One way the incumbent can deter entry, therefore, is to produce a higher quantity at a lower price than the monopoly level, a strategy known as limit pricing. Not only will this reduce the profits being made, making it less attractive for entrants, but it will also mean that the incumbent is meeting more of the market demand, leaving any potential entrant with a much smaller space in the market. Limit pricing will only be an optimal strategy if the smaller profits made by the firm are still greater than those risked if a rival entered the market. It also requires commitment, for example the building of a larger factory to produce the extra capacity, for it to be a credible deterrent.

[edit] Signalling

The incumbent firm has the advantage of being the “first mover” – it can therefore act in a way that it knows will influence the entrant’s decision in the second period. If we assume imperfect knowledge (i.e. the incumbent firm’s costs are only known privately) the entrant can only make assumptions about the incumbent’s cost structure through its price and output levels. Therefore, the incumbent can use these as a signal to any potential entrant.

One way of using this advantage to deter entry is to charge a price less than the monopoly level. If an entrant is considering entry in a number of similar markets, a low cost incumbent can signal its efficiency to a potential entrant through lowering prices – thereby discouraging what the entrant believes would be unprofitable entry. Signalling needs to be credible to be effective – a low cost firm must be able to show that it can withstand lower profits for an extended period of time, which it would not be able to if it had higher costs.

[edit] Pre-emptive Deterrence

An incumbent who is trying to strategically deter entry can do so by attempting to reduce the entrant’s payoff if it were to enter the market. The expected payoffs are obviously dependent on the amount of customers the entrant expects to have – therefore one way of deterring entry is for the incumbent to “tie up” consumers.

The strategic creation of brand loyalty can be a barrier to entry – consumers will be less likely to buy the new entrant’s product, as they have no experience of it. Entrants may be forced into expensive price cuts simply to get people to try their product, which will obviously be a deterrent to entry.

Similarly, if the incumbent has a large advertising budget, any new entrant will potentially have to match this in order to raise awareness of their product and a foothold in the market – a large sunk cost that will prevent some firms entering.

[edit] Predatory pricing

In a legal sense, a firm is often defined as engaging in predatory pricing if its price is below its short-run marginal cost, often referred to as the Areeda-Turner Law and which forms the basis of US antitrust cases. The rationale for this action is to drive the rival out of the market, and then raise prices once monopoly position is reclaimed. This advertises to other potential entrants that they will encounter the same aggressive response if they enter.

Why would the incumbent fight entry? In the short run, it would be profit maximising to acquiesce and share the market with the entrant. However, this may not be the firm’s best response in the long run. Once the incumbent acquiesces to an entrant, it signals to other potential entrants that it is “weak” and encourages other entrants. Thus the payoff to fighting the first entrant is also to discourage future entrants by establishing its “hard” reputation. Indeed, British Airways’ determined (and sometimes illegal) war with Virgin Atlantic throughout the 1980’s over its transatlantic route led Richard Branson, chairman of Virgin Atlantic, to say that competing with them was “like getting into a bleeding competition with a blood bank.”

[edit] Doomsday device

How can an incumbent ensure that its threat to fight any potential entrant is credible and believed? As mentioned before, it can achieve this through the building up of a reputation, or alternatively it can set up conditions that make it optimal to fight if a rival enters.

If there are relatively low barriers to exit within a market, an incumbent faced with competing against a more efficient rival may find it optimal to exit the market rather than fight. Hence, one way to make a fighting threat credible is for the incumbent to artificially raise the cost of exit, for example by having high sunk costs.

Examples of this are railroad companies. The high sunk cost of laying a network of railway lines makes it likely that a rail operator will be willing to fight a more costly price war than a rival with lower sunk costs, for example an airline that can switch its aircraft to another route relatively easily. At the extreme, if the incumbents sunk costs are very high, any entry by a rival will end in a mutually destructive outcome.