Wikipedia talk:Milestone statistics/Watched

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Archive This is an archive of past discussions. Do not edit the contents of this page. If you wish to start a new discussion or revive an old one, please do so on the current talk page.

This special archive page has been created to unclutter both Wikipedia talk:Milestone statistics and Wikipedia talk:Milestone statistics/Archive by removing outdated "watching" information from those two pages. - dcljr (talk) 03:50, 9 December 2006 (UTC)

Contents

Languages in need of watching

Please see Wikipedia talk:Milestone statistics#Languages in need of watching for the current list of Wikipedias that might need updating in the table of milestones this month.

Old watching messages

Moved from #Languages in need of watching section above:

  • French is nearing the 50,000 level, and needs watching for imminent promotion. -- 80.168.225.140 14:32, 13 Aug 2004 (UTC)
    French fr: reached 50,000 on 29 August 2004. - dcljr 20:50, 25 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Arabic ar: is currently at 1,970 articles and needs close watching. - dcljr 21:29, 23 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    Arabic reached 2,000 articles on 27 March 2005. - dcljr 18:30, 29 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Serbian sr: is currently at 9,996 articles and really needs close watching! - dcljr 17:42, 24 Mar 2005 (UTC)
    Serbian just reached 10,000. - dcljr 22:35, 24 Mar 2005 (UTC)
  • Based on the trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual statistics, it looks like the following languages might need to be promoted in the table by the end of this month. - dcljr 20:00, 3 Apr 2005 (UTC)
    • Albanian sq: might reach 1,000
    • Armenian hy: might reach 1,000
    • Estonian et: probably will reach 10,000
    • French fr: might reach 100,000 — It's about to happen... - dcljr 21:59, 19 Apr 2005 (UTC)
      • French has reached 100,000. - dcljr 05:07, 21 Apr 2005 (UTC)
    • Norwegian (Nyorsk) nn: likely will reach 5,000
      • Happened 6 Apr 2005. - dcljr 00:23, 8 Apr 2005 (UTC)
    • Vietnamese vi: might reach 1,000
      • Just happened. - dcljr 00:56, 21 Apr 2005 (UTC)

One more: Galician gl: might actually reach 5,000 by the end of this month. - dcljr 21:59, 19 Apr 2005 (UTC)

  • Happened 29 April 2005. - dcljr 17:31, 4 May 2005 (UTC)

Watched in May 2005

These messages were moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above:

Wow... might be a lot of activity this month. Based on the trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual statistics, it looks like the following languages might need to be promoted in the table by the end of May 2005. - dcljr 22:58, 4 May 2005 (UTC)

  • Albanian (sq:) might reach 1,000 Happened May 18 2005. -Node
  • Filipino (tl:) might reach 1,000
  • Georgian (ka:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened May 8th. - dcljr
  • Javanese (jv:) might reach 1,000 Happened May 7th. - dcljr
  • Southern Min (zh-min-nan:) might reach 1,000
  • Interlingua (ia:) might reach 2,000
  • Kurdish (ku:) might reach 2,000
  • Thai (th:) might reach 2,000 Happened on May 20th. andy 15:34, 21 May 2005 (UTC)
  • Walloon (wa:) might reach 5,000
  • Estonian (et:) will reach 10,000... eventually Happened 15 May 2005. - dcljr
  • Nynorsk (nn:) might reach 10,000 -- Probably not this month, though. - dcljr
  • Hungarian (hu:) might reach 10,000 Happened 4 June 2005 (CEST). – Alensha 22:40, 3 Jun 2005 (UTC)
  • Indonesian (id:) will probably reach 10,000 Happened May 31st. - dcljr (talk)
  • Korean (ko:) might reach 10,000
  • Hebrew (he:) might reach 20,000 Happened May 29th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Russian (ru:) might reach 20,000
  • Spanish (es:) might reach 50,000 Happened May 30th. - dcljr (talk)

Watched in June 2005

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above:

Based on trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics, the following languages will surely need promoting in the table during the month of June 2005:

  • Russian (ru:) will reach 20,000 Happened June 5th Jeff8765
  • Korean (ko:) will reach 10,000 Happened June 5th Jeff8765
  • Hungarian (hu:) will reach 10,000 Happened June 4th (local time). - dcljr (talk)
  • Walloon (wa:) will reach 5,000 Happened June 9th
  • Georgian (ka:) will probably reach 2,000 Happened June 19th. - dcljr (talk)

These are less certain, but likely promotions:

  • Italian (it:) might reach 50,000
  • Slovak (sk:) might reach 10,000 Happened June 28th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Malay (ms:) might reach 5,000 Happened June 29th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Ido (io:) might reach 5,000
  • Luxembourgish (lb:) might reach 5,000
  • Interlingua (ia:) might reach 2,000 (very close, but seems to be stalled) Finally happened June 19th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Javanese (jv:) might reach 2,000
  • Ossetian (os:) might reach 2,000

And the following are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Southern Min / Taiwanese (zh-min-nan:) will probably reach 1,000 Finally happened June 30th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Irish (ga:) might reach 1,000 Happened June 17th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Cashubian (csb:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 08:08, 3 Jun 2005 (UTC)

Watched in July 2005

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above:

Based on trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics, the following languages will most likely need promoting in the table during the month of July 2005:

  • Italian (it:) will surely reach 50,000 Happened July 4th. - dcljr
  • Lithuanian (lt:) will likely reach 5,000 Happened July 4th. - dcljr
  • Luxembourgish (lb:) will probably reach 5,000 Happened July 11th. - dcljr

These are less certain, but possible promotions:

  • Ukrainian (uk:) might reach 20,000
  • Norwegian (Nynorsk) (nn:) might reach 10,000
  • Ido (io:) might reach 5,000
  • Javanese (jv:) might reach 2,000
  • Latvian (lv:) might reach 2,000
  • Macedonian (mk:) might reach 2,000 Happened July 8th thanks to a huge number of bot-created year articles. - dcljr
  • Vietnamese (vi:) might reach 2,000

And the following are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Filipino (tl:) will surely reach 1,000 Happened July 2nd... and it's Tagalog, sorry. - dcljr
  • Faeroese (fo:) will likely reach 1,000
  • Kannada (kn:) will probably reach 1,000
  • Cashubian (csb:) might reach 1,000
  • Corsican (co:) might reach 1,000
  • Limburgish (li:) might reach 1,000
  • Northern Sami (se:) might reach 1,000
  • Telugu (te:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 1 July 2005 06:55 (UTC)

Watched in August 2005 (and beginning of September)

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 18:37, 20 September 2005 (UTC)

Based on trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics, the following languages will most likely need promoting in the table during the month of August 2005:

  • Ukrainian (uk:) will probably reach 20,000
  • Norwegian (Nynorsk) (nn:) will reach 10,000 Happened on Aug 7th. - dcljr
  • Greek (el:) will probably reach 5,000 Happened Aug 20th. - dcljr
  • Ido (io:) will likely reach 5,000 Happened Sep 2nd. - dcljr
  • Sicilian (scn:) will probably reach 2,000 Happened Aug 26th. - dcljr
  • Vietnamese (vi:) will reach 2,000 Happened Aug 8th. - dcljr

These are less certain, but possible promotions:

  • Swedish (sv:) might reach 100,000 Happened Aug 26th. - dcljr
  • Arabic (ar:) might reach 5,000 Happened Aug 26th. - dcljr
  • Simple English (simple:) might reach 5,000
  • Turkish (tr:) might reach 5,000 Happened Aug 23rd. - dcljr
  • Albanian (sq:) might reach 2,000 Happened Sep 20th. - dcljr
  • Frisian (fy:) might reach 2,000
  • Latvian (lv:) might reach 2,000
  • Irish (ga:) might reach 2,000

And the following seem to be the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Faeroese (fo:) will likely reach 1,000 Happened Sep 3rd. - dcljr
  • Kannada (kn:) will likely reach 1,000 Happened Aug 30th. - dcljr
  • Limburgish (li:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened Aug 25th. - dcljr
  • Cashubian (csb:) might reach 1,000
  • Chuvash (cv:) might reach 1,000
  • Corsican (co:) might reach 1,000
  • Northern Sami (se:) might reach 1,000
  • Occitan (oc:) might reach 1,000
  • Telugu (te:) might reach 1,000 Happened Aug 17th. - dcljr

(Updated version) - dcljr (talk) 21:56, 15 August 2005 (UTC)

Watched in September 2005

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 21:52, 3 October 2005 (UTC)

Here are the languages that were being watched in August 2005 that still haven't made their next milestone; I haven't updated the (five-week-old) descriptions to reflect how close they are now. (I'll add other languages in need of watching "soon".)

  • Ukrainian (uk:) will probably reach 20,000 - Happened Oct 1st. - dcljr
  • Simple English (simple:) might reach 5,000 Happened Sep 27th. - dcljr
  • Frisian (fy:) might reach 2,000
  • Latvian (lv:) might reach 2,000
  • Irish (ga:) might reach 2,000
  • Cashubian (csb:) might reach 1,000
  • Chuvash (cv:) might reach 1,000
  • Corsican (co:) might reach 1,000
  • Northern Sami (se:) might reach 1,000
  • Occitan (oc:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 18:37, 20 September 2005 (UTC)

Watched in October 2005

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 20:08, 9 November 2005 (UTC)

The following languages will likely need to be promoted in the table during this month (October 2005):

  • Dutch (nl:) will reach 100,000 Happened Oct 14th. - dcljr
  • Croatian (hr:) will probably reach 10,000 Happened Oct 8th. - dcljr
  • Telugu (te:) will probably reach 2,000

These are less likely, but possible, promotions:

  • Bosnian (bs:) might reach 5,000
  • Thai (th:) might reach 5,000 Happened Oct 28th. - andy
  • Frisian (fy:) might reach 2,000 Happened Oct 29th - dcljr
  • Irish (ga:) might reach 2,000 Happened Oct 21st. - dcljr
  • Kurdish (ku:) might reach 2,000 Happened Oct 15th. - dcljr
  • Latvian (lv:) might reach 2,000 Happened Oct 15th. - dcljr
  • Low Saxon (nds:) might reach 2,000

And these are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Alemannic (als:) will surely reach 1,000 Happened Oct 13th. - dcljr
  • Chuvash (cv:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened Oct 12th. - dcljr
  • Occitan (oc:) might reach 1,000 Happened Oct 18th. - dcljr
  • Serbo-Croatian (sh:) might reach 1,000 Happened Oct 7th. - dcljr

- dcljr (talk) 21:52, 3 October 2005 (UTC)

Watched in November 2005

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 17:53, 7 December 2005 (UTC)

Based on trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics, the following languages will likely need promoting in the table during this month (November 2005):

  • Catalan (ca:) will probably reach 20,000 Happened Nov 18th. - dcljr
  • Galician (gl:) will probably reach 10,000 Happened Nov 13th. - dcljr
  • Tagalog (tl:) will probably reach 2,000 - Happened Nov 20th. - dcljr
  • Serbo-Croatian (sh:) will probably reach 2,000 - Happened Nov 20th (or so). - dcljr

The following are less likely promotions:

  • French (fr:) might reach 200,000
  • Chinese (zh:) might reach 50,000
  • Czech (cs:) might reach 20,000
  • Lithuanian (lt:) might reach 10,000
  • Bosnian (bs:) might reach 5,000 - Happened Nov 24th. - dcljr
  • Neapolitan (nap:) might reach 5,000
  • Belarusian (be:) might reach 2,000
  • Low Saxon (nds:) might reach 2,000
  • Telugu (te:) might reach 2,000 - Happened Nov 23rd. - dcljr

And these are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Aragonese (an:) might reach 1,000
  • Cebuano (ceb:) might reach 1,000
  • Waray-Waray (war:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 22:41, 9 November 2005 (UTC)

Watched in December 2005

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 08:33, 6 January 2006 (UTC)

Based on trends seen at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics, the following languages will likely need promoting in the table during this month (December 2005):

  • Chinese (zh:) will probably reach 50,000 Happened Dec 13th. - dcljr
  • Lithuanian (lt:) will reach 10,000 Happened Dec 14th. - dcljr
  • Malay (ms:) will probably reach 10,000 Happened Dec 21st. - dcljr

These are less likely but possible promotions:

  • Arabic (ar:) might reach 10,000 Happened Dec 25th. - dcljr
  • Icelandic (is:) might reach 10,000
  • Low Saxon (nds:) might reach 2,000 Happened Dec 27th. - dcljr
  • Norwegian/Bokmål (no:) might reach 50,000
  • Slovak (sk:) might reach 20,000 Happened Jan 1st. - dcljr
  • Slovenian (sl:) might reach 20,000 Happened Dec 17th. - dcljr
  • Tamil (ta:) might reach 2,000
  • Vietnamese (vi:) might reach 5,000

And the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Aragonese (an:) might reach 1,000 Happened Dec 30th. - dcljr
  • Kapampangan (pam:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 17:53, 7 December 2005 (UTC)

Watched in January 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk)

I'm trying out a semi-automated system of finding likely promotions based on average monthly growth factors (for example, this English Wikipedia has grown about 6% per month for the last three months). The list below is based on very unsophisticated (for the moment) spreadsheet calculations. Let's see how this goes, shall we?

Based on the numbers at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics, the following languages might need promoting in the table during this month (January 2005):

  • Chuvash (cv:) will probably reach 2,000
  • Slovak (sk:) will probably reach 20,000 Happened Jan 1st. - dcljr
  • Tamil (ta:) might reach 2,000
  • Vietnamese (vi:) might reach 5,000 Happened Jan 28th. - dcljr

These are less likely but possible promotions:

  • Icelandic (is:) might reach 10,000
  • Neapolitan (nap:) might reach 5,000

And the following languages are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Ilocano (ilo:) might reach 1,000
  • Kapampangan (pam:) might reach 1,000
  • Waray-Waray (war:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 08:33, 6 January 2006 (UTC)

Hmm... so far three wikis have reached new milestones without being listed above (see the history). Although I don't think I would have caught two of them using my "old way" (just looking at the numbers). Portuguese, though... I think I might have listed that one... - dcljr (talk) 21:19, 27 January 2006 (UTC)

Watched in February 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk)

Again this month (February 2006) I'm trying a more "automated" system of predicting languages that need promoting based on spreadsheet calculations (growth rates, etc.) using the data at Wikipedia:Multilingual monthly statistics.

Here are the most likely promotions this month:

  • Chuvash (cv:) will likely reach 2,000
  • Tamil (ta:) will reach 2,000 Happened Feb 5th (according to Meta). - dcljr
  • Persian (fa:) will likely reach 10,000 Happened Feb 18th or 19th. - dcljr
  • Korean (ko:) will reach 20,000 Happened Feb 12th. - dcljr
  • Finnish (fi:) will reach 50,000 Happened Feb 20th. - dcljr
  • Norwegian/Bokmål (no:) will reach 50,000 Happened Feb 6th. - dcljr
  • English (en:) will probably reach 1,000,000 Close! Happened Mar 1st. - dcljr

Less likely, but possible, promotions include:

  • Faeroese (fo:) might reach 2,000
  • Neapolitan (nap:) might reach 5,000
  • Icelandic (is:) might reach 10,000

And the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Waray-Waray (war:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened Feb 21st. - dcljr
  • Cashubian (csb:) might reach 1,000
  • Ilocano (ilo:) might reach 1,000
  • Yiddish (yi:) might reach 1,000

- dcljr (talk) 00:13, 5 February 2006 (UTC)

Languages watched in March 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 02:31, 15 April 2006 (UTC)

Sorry, no list put up this month. Watch This Space for next month's list. (February's list is near the bottom of this page.) - dcljr (talk) 09:16, 26 March 2006 (UTC)

Languages watched in April 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 00:36, 7 May 2006 (UTC)

Okay, I'm back. According to my calculations, the following languages may need promoting in the table by the end of this month, April 2006:

  • Japanese (ja:) will reach 200,000 Happened on Apr 9th. - dcljr
  • Latin (la:) will reach 5,000 Happened May 6th. - dcljr
  • Limburgish (li:) will reach 2,000
  • Occitan (oc:) will reach 2,000 Happened on Apr ?-Edroeh not knowing on which day it happened I noted an ?. (Oops, that was an oversight on my part: it actually happened on Apr 5th according to Meta. - dcljr)

The following are less likely, but possible, promotions:

  • Esperanto (eo:) might reach 50,000
  • Icelandic (is:) might reach 10,000 Happened May 6th. - dcljr
  • Sicilian (scn:) might reach 5,000
  • Neapolitan (nap:) might reach 5,000
  • Alemannic (als:) might reach 2,000

And the following are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Cornish (kw:) will reach 1,000 Happened on Apr 8th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Kapampangan (pam:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened May 5th, according to Meta. - dcljr
  • Ilocano (ilo:) might reach 1,000 Happened on Apr 15/16th.- Edroeh (Looks like it happened today, Apr 17th. - dcljr)
  • Cashubian (csb:) might reach 1,000

Since I'm posting this so late in the month, I can already say that my spreadsheet-based methods have missed two additions to the table: Haitian (ht:) and Bengali (bn:) both reached 1,000 articles earlier today after unpredictable growth spurts (Haitian up from 666 articles last month and Bengali up from 582).

- dcljr (talk) 02:31, 15 April 2006 (UTC)

Languages watched in July 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 23:29, 1 August 2006 (UTC)

Sorry, I haven't been keeping this up to date. I don't know if anyone even noticed. (Does/did anyone actually check this "watching" list to help keep track of the article counts? If not, I'll just completely forget about it. If so, I'll feel guilty... and probably still do nothing about it. <g>) - dcljr (talk) 21:14, 8 July 2006 (UTC)

(time passes)

Okay, the rest of this section is now being replaced with a more "sensitive" analysis based on 6 semi-periodic checks of the article counts spread over the last two months. (I had already collected the data, but hadn't figured out the most efficient way of analyzing it by the time I posted my last message. My previous spreadsheet calculations — see the monthly "Watched" sections elsewhere on this talk page — were too difficult to update month to month, so that's why I let this section linger for so long without updating it. Now I think I might have a way of tracking article counts that takes a minimum of effort on my part. — But enough about me....)

Based on trends in article counts seen at m:List of Wikipedias, the following languages are the ones most likely to need promoting in the table this month (July 2006):

  • Estonian (et:) will reach 20,000 Happened July 22nd. - dcljr (talk)
  • Bosnian (bs:) will reach 10,000 Happened July 15th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Serbo-Croatian (sh:) will reach 5,000 Happened July 22nd. - dcljr (talk)
  • Yiddish (yi:) will reach 2,000 Happened July 25th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Simple English (simple:) might reach 10,000 Happened July 26th then again on 30th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Franco-Provençal/Arpitan (frp:) might reach 2,000
  • Scottish Gaelic (gd:) might reach 2,000 Happened July 13th. - dcljr (talk)

The following are less likely, but possible promotions:

  • Russian (ru:) might possibly reach 100,000
  • Neapolitan (nap:) might possibly reach 20,000
  • Luxembourgish (lb:) might possibly reach 10,000 Happened July 23rd. - dcljr (talk)
  • Vietnamese (vi:) might possibly reach 10,000
  • Haitian (ht:) might possibly reach 5,000
  • Venetian (vec:) might possibly reach 5,000
  • Faroese (fo:) might possibly reach 2,000
  • Ilokano (ilo:) might possibly reach 2,000
  • Javanese (jv:) might possibly reach 2,000 Happened July 25th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Piedmontese (pms:) might possibly reach 2,000
  • Uzbek (uz:) might possibly reach 2,000

And these are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Norman (nrm:) will reach 1,000 Happened July 20th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Friulian (fur:) will almost certainly reach 1,000 Happened July 14th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Swahili (sw:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened July 25th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Uyghur (ug:) will probably reach 1,000
  • Armenian (hy:) might possibly reach 1,000 Happened July 14th. - dcljr (talk)
  • Ligurian (lij:) might possibly reach 1,000

Note that within each list above, the entries are given in decreasing order of certainty ("will", "will almost certainly", "will probably", "might", "might possibly"), then in numerical decreasing order by milestone, then finally in alphabetical order.

Finally, a few nitty-gritty details: The given levels of certainty are based on how often in the last 5 checks of article counts (made approximately every 1 or 2 weeks) the wiki grew at a sufficient rate (in articles per day) that, if the rate were continued from now to the end of the month, the wiki would reach its next milestone. If every single time the wiki's articles/day rate was checked it was growing fast enough, then it is said the wiki "will" reach the milestone. If only 4 of the last 5 times showed sufficient growth, then it is said it "almost certainly" will reach it; and so forth. This method is probably slightly biased in favor of saying a wiki will reach the next milestone, but that's better, IMO, than being biased against it. - dcljr (talk) 20:24, 11 July 2006 (UTC)

Languages watched in August 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. - dcljr (talk) 09:14, 2 September 2006 (UTC)

Based on trends in article counts seen at m:List of Wikipedias, the following languages are the ones most likely to need promoting in the table this month (August 2006):

  • Russian (ru:) will reach 100,000 Happened Aug 16th. - dcljr
  • Croatian (hr:) will reach 20,000 Happened Aug 11th. - dcljr
  • Vietnamese (vi:) will reach 10,000 Happened Aug. 25th - Kaiser Matias (talk) Actually, Meta says Aug 23rd. - dcljr
  • Marathi (mr:) will reach 5,000 Happened Aug 5th. - dcljr
  • Urdu (ur:) will reach 2,000 Happened Aug 13th. - dcljr
  • Haitian (ht:) will probably reach 5,000 Happened Aug 11th. - dcljr

The following are less likely, but possible promotions:

  • Latvian (lv:) might reach 5,000
  • Armenian (hy:) might reach 2,000 Happened Aug 13th. - dcljr
  • Neapolitan (nap:) might possibly reach 20,000
  • Belarusian (be:) might possibly reach 5,000
  • Bengali (bn:) might possibly reach 5,000 Happened Aug 24th. - dcljr
  • Venetian (vec:) might possibly reach 5,000
  • Faroese (fo:) might possibly reach 2,000
  • Piedmontese (pms:) might possibly reach 2,000

And these are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Dutch Low Saxon (nds-nl:) will reach 1,000 Happened Aug 10th. - dcljr
  • Uyghur (ug:) will probably reach 1,000
  • Ligurian (lij:) might reach 1,000
  • Sundanese (su:) might reach 1,000 Happened Aug 2nd. - dcljr

Note that within each list above, the entries are given in decreasing order of certainty ("will", "will almost certainly", "will probably", "might", "might possibly"), then in numerical decreasing order by milestone, then finally in alphabetical order. - dcljr (talk) 23:29, 1 August 2006 (UTC)

Here are some mid-month additions to the list, based on the latest analysis:
  • Banyumasan (map-bms:) will probably reach 1,000
  • Lombard (lmo:) might reach 2,000 Happened Aug 23rd. - dcljr
  • Telugu (te:) might possibly reach 5,000 Happened Aug 30th. - dcljr
  • Uzbek (uz:) might possibly reach 5,000 Happened Aug 20th. - dcljr
- dcljr (talk) 20:14, 17 August 2006 (UTC)
One more:
  • Kurdish (ku:) will reach 5,000 (now stands at 4,995). Happened Aug 26th. - dcljr
- dcljr (talk) 04:03, 26 August 2006 (UTC)

Finally, here are the milestones that happened in August but were not predicted by my method:

  • Slovak (sk:) reached 50,000 on Aug 6th
  • Georgian (ka:) reached 10,000 on Aug 11th
  • Uzbek (uz:) reached 2,000 on Aug 15th
  • Tajik (te:) reached 1,000 on Aug 30th

- dcljr (talk) 08:50, 2 September 2006 (UTC)

Languages watched in September (and October) 2006

This section was moved from the #Languages in need of watching section above. I didn't do a separate "watching" post for October. - dcljr (talk) 00:16, 5 November 2006 (UTC)

Based on trends in article counts seen at m:List of Wikipedias, the following languages are the ones most likely to need promoting in the table this month (September 2006):

  • Latvian (lv:) will reach 5,000 Happened September 7th. - dcljr
  • Italian (it:) will almost certainly reach 200,000 Happened September 27th. - dcljr
  • Belarusian (be:) will almost certainly reach 5,000 Happened September 29th. - dcljr
  • Welsh (cy:) will probably reach 5,000 Happened September 15th. - dcljr
  • Sundanese (su:) will probably reach 2,000 Happened September 18th, then reached 5,000 October 11th. - dcljr

The following are less likely, but possible promotions:

  • Czech (cs:) might possibly reach 50,000
  • Bengali (bn:) might possibly reach 10,000 Happened September 26th. - dcljr
  • Haitian (ht:) might possibly reach 10,000
  • Albanian (sq:) might possibly reach 10,000
  • Uzbek (uz:) might possibly reach 10,000
  • Chuvash (cv:) might possibly reach 5,000
  • Scottish Gaelic (gd:) might possibly reach 5,000
  • Tagalog (tl:) might possibly reach 5,000 Happened October 10th. - dcljr
  • Ilokano (ilo:) might possibly reach 2,000 Happened September 15th. - dcljr

And these are the most likely newcomers to the table:

  • Malayalam (ml:) will almost certainly reach 1,000 Happened September 20th. - dcljr
  • Cantonese (zh-yue:) will almost certainly reach 1,000 Happened September 8th. - dcljr
  • Ladino (lad:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened September 13th. - dcljr
  • Banyumasan (map-bms:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened September 12th. - dcljr
  • Uyghur (ug:) will probably reach 1,000 Happened September 7th. - dcljr
  • Ligurian (lij:) might possibly reach 1,000 Happened October 25th. - dcljr

Note that within each list above, the entries are given in decreasing order of certainty ("will", "will almost certainly", "will probably", "might", "might possibly"), then in decreasing numerical order by milestone, then finally in alphabetical order. Incidentally, my method (see below for details) is definitely biased towards saying a wiki with a recent growth spurt (i.e., bot activity) will continue such activity, even if it hasn't seen any increase at all in the last few weeks. Oh, well. Call it optimism. - dcljr (talk) 09:14, 2 September 2006 (UTC)

Well, the mid-size Wikipedias that have these growth spurts are usually due to a bot importing from 2,000 to 4,000 year stubs. An edition that gains about that many articles in one month, even though its usual gain is in the hundreds of articles, is likely growing for that reason. In any event, I really don't think the Haitian Creole Wikipedia is going to double in size within this month. :^) – Minh Nguyễn (talk, contribs) 03:43, 4 September 2006 (UTC)


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