Economy of the People's Republic of China

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Economy of
the People's Republic of China
edit
Fiscal year 1 January - 31 December
Trade Organizations WTO, APEC
Statistics
GDP (2006, Nominal) $2.68 Trillion (4th)
GDP (2006, PPP) $10.0 Trillion (2nd)
GDP per capita (2006, Nominal) $2,034 (105th)
GDP per capita (2006, PPP) $7,593 (80th)
GDP growth rate (2006) 10.7%
GDP by sector (2005) agriculture (12.46%), industry (47.28%), services (40.26%)
Inflation rate (2005) 1.8%
Household income or consumption by percentage share (1998) lowest 10%: 2.4%, highest 10%: 30.4%
Pop below poverty line (2001 est) 10%
Labor force (2006 est) 798.1m
Labor force by occupation (2006 est) agriculture 45%, industry 24%, services 31%
Unemployment rate (2006 est) 4.2%
Trading Partners
Exports $963bn (2006 est.)
Main Partners (2004) US 21.0%, EU 18.1%, Hong Kong 17.0%, Japan 12.4%, ASEAN 7.2%, South Korea 4.7%
Imports $795bn (2006 est.)
Main Partners (2004) Japan 16.8%, EU 12.4%, ASEAN 11.2%, South Korea 11.1%, US 7.9%, Russia 2.2%
Public Finances
Public Debt 24.4% of GDP (2005 est)
External Debt (2005 est) $252.8 Billion
Foreign Reserves (Dec 2006 ) $1.066 trillion
Revenues (2005 est) $392.1 Billion
Expenses (2005 est) $424.3 Billion
Economic Aid (ODA)
The economies of the special administrative regions of Hong Kong and Macau are separate from the rest of the People's Republic of China. For the purpose of this article, all text and figures shown relate only to that of mainland China unless otherwise stated.

The economy of the People's Republic of China is the fourth largest in the world when measured by nominal GDP. Its economic output for 2006 was $2.68 trillion USD.[1] Its per capita GDP in 2006 was approximately US $2,000 (US $7,600 with PPP), still low by world standards (110th of 183 nations in 2005), but rising rapidly. As of 2005, 70% of China's GDP is in the private sector. The smaller public sector is dominated by about 200 large state enterprises concentrated mostly in utilities, heavy industries, and energy resources. [2].

Since 1978 the People's Republic of China (PRC) government has been reforming its economy from a Soviet-style centrally planned economy to a more market-oriented economy but still within the political framework, provided by the Communist Party of China. This system has been called "Socialism with Chinese characteristics" and is one type of mixed economy. These reforms started since 1978 has helped lift millions of people out of poverty, bringing the poverty rate down from 53% of population in 1981 to 8% by 2001.[3]

To this end the authorities have switched to a system of household responsibility in agriculture in place of the old collectivization, increased the authority of local officials and plant managers in industry, permitted a wide variety of small-scale enterprise in services and light manufacturing, and opened the economy to increased foreign trade and foreign investment. The government has emphasized raising personal income and consumption and introducing new management systems to help increase productivity. The government also has focused on foreign trade as a major vehicle for economic growth. While the accuracy of official PRC figures remain the subject of much debate, Chinese officials claim the result has been a tenfold increase in GDP since 1978. Some international economists believe that Chinese economic growth has been in fact understated during much of the 1990s and early 2000s, failing to fully factor in the growth driven by private enterprises.

Contents

[edit] Background

China's nominal GDP trend from 1952 to 2005.
China's nominal GDP trend from 1952 to 2005.

In 1952, gross industrial output of china was estimated at 34,900 million yuan[4] in current prices. That works out to almost 3% world share then and 1.5 times that of the output of Japan or India in absolute terms (not per capita).

Current GDP per capita grew a paltry 17% in the Sixties, rising to 70% in the Seventies, and China surged ahead of India registering a remarkable growth of 63% in the turbulent Eighties and finally reaching a peak growth of 175% in the Nineties. However, Chinese prosperity still remains concentrated in the coastal and southern provinces and efforts have been made in recent years to expand the prosperity to the inner provinces and the industrial Northeast rust belt.

In the 1980s, the PRC tried to combine central planning with market-oriented reforms to increase productivity, living standards, and technological quality without exacerbating inflation, unemployment, and budget deficits. The PRC pursued agricultural reforms, dismantling the commune system and introducing the household responsibility system that provided peasants greater decision-making in agricultural activities. The government also encouraged nonagricultural activities, such as village enterprises in rural areas, and promoted more self-management for state-owned enterprises, increased competition in the marketplace, and facilitated direct contact between mainland Chinese and foreign trading enterprises. The PRC also relied more upon foreign financing and imports.

Chinese paramount leader Deng Xiaoping on June 30, 1984 said:

"What is socialism and what is Marxism? We were not quite clear about this in the past. Marxism attaches utmost importance to developing the productive forces. We have said that socialism is the primary stage of communism and that at the advanced stage the principle of from each according to his ability and to each according to his needs will be applied. This calls for highly developed productive forces and an overwhelming abundance of material wealth. Therefore, the fundamental task for the socialist stage is to develop the productive forces. The superiority of the socialist system is demonstrated, in the final analysis, by faster and greater development of those forces than under the capitalist system. As they develop, the people's material and cultural life will constantly improve. One of our shortcomings after the founding of the People's Republic was that we didn't pay enough attention to developing the productive forces. Socialism means eliminating poverty. Pauperism is not socialism, still less communism." [5]

During the 1980s, these reforms led to average annual rates of growth of 10% in agricultural and industrial output. Rural per capita real income doubled. Industry posted major gains especially in coastal areas near Hong Kong and across the strait from Taiwan, where foreign investment helped spur output of both domestic and export goods. China became self-sufficient in grain production; rural industries accounted for 23% of agricultural output, helping absorb surplus labor in the countryside. The variety of light industrial and consumer goods increased. Reforms began in the fiscal, financial, banking, price setting, and labor systems.

On the darker side, the leadership has often experienced in its hybrid system the worst results of socialism (bureaucracy, lassitude, political corruption, disrespect of personal property) and of capitalism (windfall gains, a huge and widening gap between rich and poor, stepped-up inflation). Beijing thus has periodically backtracked, re-tightening central controls at intervals. At the end of 1988, in reaction to a surge of inflation caused by accelerated price reforms, the leadership introduced an austerity program.

China's economy regained momentum in the early 1990s. Deng Xiaoping's Chinese New Year's visit to southern China in 1992 gave economic reforms new impetus. The 14th Communist Party Congress later in the year backed up Deng Xiaoping's renewed push for market reforms, stating that the PRC's key task in the 1990s was to create a "socialist market economy." Continuity in the political system but bolder reform in the economic system were announced as the hallmarks of the 10-year development plan for the 1990s.

During 1993, output and prices were accelerating, investment outside the state budget was soaring, and economic expansion was fueled by the introduction of Special Economic Zones (SEZs) and the influx of foreign capital that the SEZs facilitated. Beijing approved additional long-term reforms aimed at giving still more play to market-oriented institutions and at strengthening the center's control over the financial system; state enterprises would continue to dominate many key industries in what was now termed "a socialist market economy". The PRC government called in speculative loans, raised interest rates, and reevaluated investment projects. The growth rate was thus tempered, and the inflation rate dropped from over 17% in 1995 to 8% in early 1996. The economy slowed in the late 1990s, influenced in part by the Asian Financial Crisis of 1998-99, with official growth of 7.8% in 1998, and 7.1% for 1999. Growth accelerated again early in the new century, reaching 9.1% in 2003, 9.5% in 2004 and 9.8% in 2005.[6]

In December 2005, China's National Bureau of Statistics [7]revised its 2004 nominal GDP upwards by 16.8% or Rmb2,336.3 billion (US$281.9 billion), making China the 6th largest economy in the world. (overtaking Italy, with a GDP of almost $2 trillion USD.) At the start of 2006, the PRC officially announced itself as the 4th largest economy, measured by USD-exchange rate overtaking France and the United Kingdom. At the beginning of 2007 China stands as the second largest economy in the world measured by domestic PPP (purchasing power) measure, at about $10 trillion USD, although such estimates must be taken with a great deal of caution as PPP calculation is very rough, especially in a country as huge as China, Chinese purchasing power varies drastically between Shanghai and Sichuan, and PPP is irrelevant for imported goods and overseas purchases. By the end of 2008, China is predicted (measured by exchange rate) to overtake Germany as the third largest economy, and to overtake Japan by 2015.[8]

Despite China's notable economic growth, its per capita and absolute GDP growth has been outpaced by some nations. From 1999 to 2006, Russia's nominal per capita GDP increased from $1334 to $6879 (515 percent), while PR China increased from $870 to $2000 (229 percent) [1] Similarly spectacular are some Middle Eastern and oil producing nations such as Qatar, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Brunei. Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, and Angola have managed to outpace China harnessing vast energy reserves in the same period. However, Equatorial Guinea, Africa is the star, having recorded 79% percent real GDP growth in 2004. Even nations in Asia such as Vietnam have managed to triple GDP between 1999 and 2006 in nominal per capita dollar terms, more than China. The reason for this is mainly due to China's large labor pool, which helps to contain inflation, and its refusal to increase the value of the Chinese yuan, which would have led to faster growth statistically, but may have sacrificed some stability in growth. In addition, it must be noted that per capita income in absolute dollars (not percentage) GDP per capita is rising much faster in most of the developed world than China, because of China's very low base income. However, what China has going for it is that it may be able to continue this percentage of growth for decades to come, statistically spiralling growth in absolute dollar terms if its pace is maintained.

The Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party recently approved the draft for the 11th 5-year plan for 2006 - 2010. The plan calls for a relatively conservative 45% increase in GDP and 20% reduction in energy intensity by 2010.

Interestingly enough, because of its huge population, China's per capita share of world GDP can never reach the levels of the USA or Japan or some European nations in the 1990's by economic growth alone. Stated in another way, the average Chinese can never have the same relative economic power that average Americans, Japanese, and some Western Europeans did in 1990's. This is exemplified as Japan had 20% of world GDP in April 1995 (due to strong yen), with less than 2% of its population. Since China has nearly 20% of the world's people, it would need 200% of world GDP to match Japan's level by this measure in April 1995, which is impossible. The population of China as a share of world total would have to shrink to well under 10% for this to occur. China's population would either have to shrink or the world's population would either have to swell past 13 billion, something not forecast this century.

[edit] Challenges

From 1995-1999 inflation dropped sharply, reflecting the tighter monetary policy of central banks and stronger measures to control food prices. At the same time, the government struggled to (a) collect revenues due from provinces, businesses, and individuals; (b) reduce corruption and other economic crimes; and (c) keep afloat the large state-owned enterprises, most of which had not participated in the vigorous expansion of the economy and many of which had been losing the ability to pay full wages and pensions. From 50 to 100 million surplus rural workers are adrift between the villages and the cities, many subsisting through part-time low-paying jobs. Popular resistance, changes in central policy, and loss of authority by rural cadres have weakened the PRC's population control program. Another long-term threat to continued rapid economic growth is the deterioration in the environment, notably air pollution, soil erosion, and the steady fall of the water table especially in the north. China continues to lose arable land because of erosion and economic development.

[edit] Over-heating of the Economy

Another significant hurdle for the Chinese economy is the potential for the rapid growth of the last decade leading to over-heating and inflation in the economy, which due to China's growing influence could have global repercussions. Chinese officials deny that the economy as a whole is over-heating, although they do admit that certain areas are "heating up" in that they have weak infrastructures that contribute to the lack of economic control. The recent economic growth is the result of large scale investments, which is far from efficient in comparison to other countries such as India. According to Chinese government research, the return of investment in India is three times higher than that of China, with a larger gap in comparisons with developed nations.

Taxation has also proved to be a problem in stabilizing the Chinese economy with tax cuts planned for certain economic sectors and industries. A primary goal of the tax cuts will be to assist in decreasing the investment disparity between rural and urban areas, and to encourage government owned corporations to compete with foreign corporations.

[edit] Labor shortage

By 2005, there were signs of stronger demand for labor with workers being able to choose employment which offered higher wages and better working conditions, enabling some to move away from the restrictive dormitory life and boring factory work which characterize export industries in Guangdong and Fujian. Minimum wages began rising toward the equivalent of 100 U.S. dollars a month as companies scrambled for employees with some paying as much as an average $150 a month. The labor shortage was partially driven by the demographic trends as the proportion of people of working age falls as the result of strict family planning.

It was reported in the New York Times in April, 2006 that labor costs had continued to increase and a shortage of unskilled labor had developed with a million or more employees being sought. Operations which rely on cheap labor are contemplating relocations to cities in the interior or to countries such as Vietnam or Bangladesh. Many young people are attending college rather than opting for minimum wage factory work. The demographic shift resulting from the one-child policy continues to reduce the supply of young entry level workers. Also, recent government efforts to advance economic development in the interior of the country are beginning to be effective at creating opportunities there.

[edit] Agriculture

Production of wheat from 1961-2004. Data from FAO, year 2005. Y-axis : Production in Metric ton.
Production of wheat from 1961-2004. Data from FAO, year 2005. Y-axis : Production in Metric ton.

Main agricultural products: rice, wheat, potatoes, sorghum, peanuts, tea, millet, barley, cotton, oilseed, pork, fish.


China ranks first worldwide in farm output. Just under half of China's labor force is engaged in agriculture, even though only about 15.4% of the land is suitable for cultivation. There are over 300 million Chinese farm workers - half of the work force - mostly laboring on small pieces of land relative to U.S. farms. Virtually all arable land is used for food crops, and China is among the world's largest producers of rice, potatoes, sorghum, millet, barley, peanuts, tea, and pork. Major non-food crops, including cotton, other fibers, and oil seeds, furnish China with a small proportion of its foreign trade revenue. Agricultural exports, such as vegetables and fruits, fish and shellfish, grain and grain products, and meat products, are exported to Hong Kong. Yields are high because of intensive cultivation, but China hopes to further increase agricultural production through improved plant stocks, fertilizers, and technology.

According to the United Nations World Food Program, in 2003, China fed 20% of the world's population with only 7% of the world's arable land. [2]


[edit] Industry

China ranks third worldwide in factory output.

Main industries: iron and steel, coal, machinery, armaments, textiles and apparel, petroleum, cement, chemical , footwear, toys, food processing, automobiles, consumer electronics, telecommunications, information technology.

Industrial production growth rate: 12.6% (2002 est.)

Major state industries are iron, steel, coal, machine building, light industrial products, armaments, and textiles. These industries completed a decade of reform (1979-1989) with little substantial management change. The 1999 industrial census revealed that there were 7,930,000 industrial enterprises at the end of 1999; total employment in state-owned industrial enterprises was about 24 million. The automobile industry is expected to grow rapidly in the coming decade, as is the petrochemical industry. Machinery and electronic products have become China's main exports.

[edit] Labor

One of the hallmarks of China's socialist economy was its promise of employment to all able and willing to work and job-security with virtually lifelong tenure. Reformers targeted the labor market as unproductive because industries were frequently overstaffed to fulfill socialist goals and job-security reduced workers' incentive to work. This socialist policy was pejoratively called the iron rice bowl.

In 1979-1980, the state reformed factories by giving wage increases to workers, which was immediately offset by sharply rising inflation rates of 6%-7%. In other words, although they were given more pay, their money was worth less and they could buy less, which meant they were poorer. The state remedied this problem, in part, by distributing wage subsidies.

The reforms also dismantled the iron rice bowl, which meant it witnessed a rise in unemployment in the economy. In 1979, immediately after the iron rice bowl was dismantled, there were 20 million unemployed people. [9] Although this was partly due to a rapid rise in population, it was greatly exacerbated by the dependency created by the former socialist policies.

China does have labor laws which, if enforced, would greatly alleviate common abuses such as not paying workers. In 2006, a new labor law was proposed and submitted for public comment. The new law, as currently drafted, would permit collective bargaining in a form analogous to that standard in Western economies, although the only legal unions would continue to be those affiliated with the All-China Federation of Trade Unions, the Communist Party’s official union organization. The new law has support from labor activists, but is opposed by foreign corporations, including the American Chamber of Commerce and the European Chamber of Commerce. There is some expectation that the new law, if enacted, would be enforced. [10] An ongoing effort to organize Chinese operations of foreign companies succeeded in 2006 at Wal-Mart. The campaign is projected to include Eastman Kodak, Dell and other companies. [11]

[edit] Trade and services

Statistics

Exports: $963.0 billion (2006)
Exports - commodities: machinery and equipment, plastics, optical and medical equipment, iron and steel
Exports - partners: US 21.0%, EU 18.1%, Hong Kong 17.0%, Japan 12.4%, ASEAN 7.2%, South Korea 4.7% (2004)
Imports: $795.0 billion (2006)
Imports - commodities: machinery and equipment, oil and mineral fuels, plastics, optical and medical equipment, organic chemicals, iron and steel
Imports - partners: Japan 16.8%, EU 12.4%, ASEAN 11.2%, South Korea 11.1%, US 7.9%, Russia 2.2% (2004)

China ranks ninth worldwide in services' output. High power and telecom density ensure this sector remain on high-growth trajectory in the long-term.

China's global trade exceeded $1.758 trillion at the end of 2006.[12]. It first broke the 1 trillion mark ($1.15 trillion) in 2004, more than doubling from 2001. At the end of 2004, China became the world's third largest trading nation behind the United States and Germany [13]. The trade surplus however was stable at $30 billion. (>40 billion in 1998, <30 billion in 2003). China's primary trading partners include Japan, U.S., South Korea, Germany, Singapore, Malaysia, Russia, and The Netherlands. According to U.S. statistics, China had a trade surplus with the U.S. of $170 billion in 2004, more than doubling from 1999. Wal-Mart, the United States' largest retailer, is China's 7th largest export partner, just ahead of the United Kingdom. Out of the 5 busiest ports in the world, 3 are in China.

The PRC has experimented with decentralizing its foreign trading system and has sought to integrate itself into the world trading system. In November 1991, the PRC joined the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) group, which promotes free trade and cooperation in economic, trade, investment, and technology issues. In 2001, China served as APEC chair, and Shanghai hosted the annual APEC leaders meeting.

During his 1999 visit to the United States, Premier Zhu Rongji signed a bilateral Agricultural Cooperation Agreement, which lifted longstanding Chinese prohibitions on the import of citrus, grain, beef, and poultry. In November 1999, the United States and PRC reached a historic bilateral market-access agreement to pave the way for the PRC's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO). As part of the far-reaching trade liberalization agreement, the PRC agreed to lower tariffs and abolish market impediments after it joins the world trading body. Chinese and foreign businessmen, for example, will gain the right to import and export on their own - and to sell their products without going through a government middleman. Average tariff rates on key U.S. agricultural exports dropped from 31% to 14% in 2004 and on industrial products from 25% to 9% in 2005. The agreement also opens new opportunities for U.S. providers of services like banking, insurance, and telecommunications. After reaching a bilateral WTO agreement with the EU and other trading partners in summer 2000, the PRC worked on a multilateral WTO accession package. To increase exports, the PRC has pursued policies such as fostering the rapid development of foreign-invested factories, which assemble imported components into consumer goods for export. The PRC joined the WTO on December 11, 2001, after 15 years of negotiations, the longest in GATT history.

The U.S. is one of China's primary suppliers of power-generating equipment, aircraft and parts, computers and industrial machinery, raw materials, and chemical and agricultural products. However, U.S. exporters continue to have concerns about fair market access due to China's restrictive trade policies and U.S. export restrictions. Intellectual property theft makes many Western companies wary of doing business in mainland China. Some Western politicians and manufacturers also say the value of the Yuan is artificially low and gives export from mainland China an unfair advantage. These and other issues are behind the recent push for greater protectionism by some in the US Congress, including a 27.5% consumer tax on imports.

Trade volume between China and Russia reached $29.1 billion in 2005, an increase of 37.1% compared with 2004

China’s export of machinery and electronic goods to Russia grew 70%, which is 24% of China’s total export to Russia in the first 11 months of 2005. During the same time, China’s export of high-tech products to Russia increased by 58%, and that is 7% of China’s total exports to Russia. Also in this time period border trade between the two countries reached $5.13 billion, growing 35% and accounting for nearly 20% of the total trade. Most of China’s exports to Russia remain apparel and footwear.

Russia is China’s eighth largest trade partner and China is now Russia’s fourth largest trade partner, and China now has over 750 investment projects in Russia, involving $1.05 billion. China’s contracted investment in Russia totaled $368 million during January-September of 2005, twice that in 2004.

Chinese imports from Russia are mainly those of energy sources, such as crude oil, which is mostly transported by rail, and electricity exports from neighboring Siberian and Far Eastern regions. In the near future, exports of both of these commodities are set to increase, as Russia is building the Eastern Siberia – Pacific Ocean oil pipeline with a branch to Chinese border, and Russian power grid monopoly UES is building some of its hydropower stations with a view of future exports to China.

As of 31 December 2005, there were an estimated 37,504,000 broadband lines in China. [14] It represents nearly 18% world share. Over 70% of the broadband lines were via DSL and the rest via cable modems.

The World Bank estimates that it takes about 7 days only to get a phone connection in China (86 days in India). [15]

With two stock exchanges (namely, Shanghai and Shenzhen), mainland China's stock market has a market value of $1 trillion by January 2007, which becomes the third largest stock market in Asia, only after Japan and Hong Kong. [16] It is estimated to be the world's third largest by 2016. [17]

See also: Closer Economic Partnership Arrangement with Hong Kong and Macau.

[edit] Foreign investment

In 1989, the government introduced legislation and regulations designed to encourage foreigners to invest in high-priority sectors and regions. A significant example of this is the Encouraged Industry Catalogue which sets out the degree of foreign involvement allowed in various industry sectors.

In 1990, the government eliminated time restrictions on the establishment of joint ventures, provided some assurances against nationalization, and allowed foreign partners to become chairs of joint venture boards. In 1991, the PRC granted more preferential tax treatment for Wholly Foreign Owned Enterprises and contractual ventures and for foreign companies which invest in selected economic zones or in projects encouraged by the state, such as energy, communications and transport. It also authorized some foreign banks to open branches in Shanghai and allowed foreign investors to purchase special "B" shares of stock in selected companies listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Securities Exchanges. These "B" shares are sold to foreigners but carry no ownership rights in a company. In 2006, mainland China received $69.47 billion in foreign direct investment.[18]

Opening to the outside remains central to mainland China's development. Foreign-invested enterprises produce about 45% of mainland China's exports (note though, the majority of mainland China's foreign investment come from Hong Kong, Taiwan and Macau, two of which are under the administration of the PRC), and mainland China continues to attract large investment inflows. Foreign exchange reserves exceeded $800 billion in 2005, more than doubling from 2003 and in November 2006, mainland China became the world's largest holder of reserves which exceeded $1 trillion.

There are nevertheless companies withdrawing from the mainland Chinese market. Warner Bros., for instance, withdraw its cinema business in mainland China as a result of the regulatory restrictions that ban foreign investors from controlling joint ventures in the Chinese mainland. The regulation requires that Chinese mainland investors must own at least 51 percent stake or play a leading role in their joint ventures with foreign investors. [19]

[edit] Energy and mineral resources

Energy

Electricity:

  • production: 2.8344 trillion kWh (2006)
  • consumption: 2.8248 trillion kWh (2006)
  • exports: 10.6 billion kWh (2003)
  • imports: 1.546 billion kWh (2003)

Electricity - production by source:

  • fossil fuel: 80.2%
  • hydro: 18.5%
  • other: 0.1% (2001)
  • nuclear: 1.2%

Oil:

  • production: 3.504 million bbl/day (2004)
  • consumption: 6.391 million bbl/day (2004)
  • exports: 340,300 bbl/day (2004)
  • imports: 3.226 million bbl/day (2004)
  • net imports: 2.9 million barrel/day (2004 est.)
  • proved reserves: 18.26 billion bbl (2004)

Natural gas:

  • production: 35.02 billion m³ (2003)
  • consumption: 33.44 billion m³ est.)
  • exports: 2.79 billion m³ (2004)
  • imports: 0 m³ (2004 est.)
  • proved reserves: 2.53 trillion m³ (2004)

Over the past decade China has managed to keep its energy growth rate at just half the rate of GDP growth, a considerable achievement. Although energy consumption slumped in absolute terms and economic growth slowed during 1998, mainland China's total energy consumption may double by 2020 according to some projections. China is expected to add approximately 15,000 megawatts of generating capacity a year, with 20% of that coming from foreign suppliers. Beijing, due in large part to environmental concerns, would like to shift China's current energy mix from a heavy reliance on coal, which accounts for 75% of China's energy, toward greater reliance on oil, natural gas, renewable energy, and nuclear power.

The PRC has closed some 30,000 coal mines over the past 5 years to cut overproduction. This has reduced coal production by over 25%. Since 1993, China has been a net importer of oil; today imported oil accounts for 20% of the processed crude in China. Net imports are expected to rise to 3.5 million barrels (560,000 m³) per day by 2010. China is interested in developing oil imports from Central Asia and has invested in Kazakhstan oil fields. Beijing is particularly interested in increasing China's natural gas production - currently just 10% of oil production - and is incorporating a natural gas strategy in its tenth 5-year plan (2001-2005), with the goal of expanding gas use from its current 2% share of China's energy production to 4% by 2005 (gas accounts for 25% of U.S. energy production).

Beijing also intends to continue to improve energy efficiency and promote the use of clean coal technology. Only one-fifth of the new coal power plant capacity installed from 1995 to 2000 included desulphurization equipment. Interest in renewable sources of energy is growing, but except for hydropower, their contribution to the overall energy mix is unlikely to rise above 1%-2% in the near future. China's energy section continues to be hampered by difficulties in obtaining funding, including long-term financing, and by market balkanization due to local protectionism that prevents more efficient large plants from achieving economies of scale.

The World Bank estimates that it takes approximately 18 days to get an electrical connection in China compared with 81 days in India. [3]

[edit] Environment

Main article: Environment of China

A harmful by-product of China's rapid industrial development has been increased pollution. A 1998 World Health Organization report on air quality in 272 cities worldwide concluded that seven of the 10 most-polluted cities were in China. According to the PRC's own evaluation, two-thirds of the 338 cities for which air-quality data are available are considered polluted - two-thirds of them moderately or severely so. Respiratory and heart diseases related to air pollution are the leading causes of death in China. Almost all of the nation's rivers are considered polluted to some degree, and half of the population lacks access to clean water. Ninety percent of urban water bodies are severely polluted. Water scarcity also is an issue; for example, severe water scarcity in northern China has forced the government to plan a large-scale diversion of water from the Yangtze River to northern cities, including Beijing and Tianjin. Acid rain falls on 30% of the country. Various studies estimate pollution costs the Chinese economy about 7% of GDP each year.

China's communist leaders are increasingly paying attention to the country's severe environmental problems. In March 1998, the State Environmental Protection Administration (SEPA) was officially upgraded to a ministry-level agency, reflecting the growing importance the PRC government places on environmental protection. At the beginning of 2007 SEPA announced 82 projects, with a total investment value of over 112 billion yuan, had been found in serious breach of the environmental impact assessment law and regulations on the integration of health and safety measures into project design. [4]

In recent years, the PRC has strengthened its environmental legislation and made some progress in stemming environmental deterioration. In 1999, the PRC invested more than 1% of GDP in environmental protection, a proportion that will likely increase in coming years. During the 10th 5-Year Plan the PRC plans to reduce total emissions by 10%. Beijing in particular has invested heavily in pollution control as part of its successful campaign to win the competition to host the 2008 Olympic Games.

The PRC is an active participant in the climate change talks and other multilateral environmental negotiations. It is a signatory to the Basel Convention governing the transport and disposal of hazardous waste and the Montreal Protocol on Substances That Deplete the Ozone Layer, as well as the Convention on the International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Flora and Fauna and other major environmental agreements.

The question of environmental impacts associated with the Three Gorges Dam project has generated controversy among environmentalists inside and outside China. Critics claim that erosion and silting of the Yangtze River threaten several endangered species, while Chinese officials say the hydroelectric power generated by the project will enable the region to lower its dependence on coal, thus lessening air pollution.

The U.S.-China Forum on Environment and Development, co-chaired by the U.S. Vice President and the Premier of the People's Republic of China, has been the principal vehicle of an active program of bilateral environmental cooperation since its inception in 1997. Despite positive reviews of the Forum's achievements from both sides, the PRC has often compared the U.S. program, which lacks a foreign assistance component, with those of Japan and several European Union countries that include generous levels of aid.

[edit] Other

[edit] Macro-economic trend

This is a chart of trend of gross domestic product of China at market prices estimated by the International Monetary Fund with figures in millions of Chinese Yuan.[20][21]

Year Gross Domestic Product US Dollar Exchange Inflation Index (2000=100)
1955 91,000
1960 145,700
1965 171,600
1970 225,300
1975 299,700
1980 460,906 1.49 Yuan 25
1985 896,440 2.93 Yuan 30
1990 1,854,790 4.78 Yuan 49
1995 6,079,400 8.35 Yuan 91
2000 9,921,500 8.27 Yuan 100
2005 18,232,100 8.19 Yuan 106

For purchasing power parity comparisons, the US Dollar is exchanged at 2.05 Yuan only.

[edit] Currency

Currency: 1 yuan= 10 jiao = 100 fen (see also: Renminbi)

Exchange rates: yuan per US$1 - Starting July 21, 2005 China has allowed the Renminbi to fluctuate at a daily rate of up to .03%. The rate of exchange in early 2007 was RMB7.75, while in early 2006 was RMB8.07:US $1 = 8.2793 yuan (January 2000), 8.2783 (1999), 8.2790 (1998), 8.2898 (1997), 8.3142 (1996), 8.3514 (1995)
note:

Beginning 1 January 1994, the People's Bank of China quotes the midpoint rate against the US dollar based on the previous day's prevailing rate in the interbank foreign exchange market.

[edit] Hong Kong and Macau

In accordance with the One Country, Two Systems policy the economies of the former European colonies, Hong Kong and Macao, are separate from the rest of the PRC, and each other. Both Hong Kong and Macao are free to conduct and engage in economic negotiations with foreign countries, as well as participating as full members in various economical international organizations such as the World Customs Organization, the World Trade Organization and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, often under the names "Hong Kong, China" and "Macao, China".

[edit] See also

[edit] References

  1. ^ China's GDP grows 10.7% in 2006, fastest in 11 years. ChinaDaily (2007-01-26). Retrieved on March 27, 2007.
  2. ^ "China Is a Private-Sector Economy". BussinessWeek (2005-08-22). Retrieved on March 27, 2007.
  3. ^ Fighting Poverty: Findings and Lessons from China’s Success (World Bank). Retrieved August 10, 2006.
  4. ^ Official Measures of Industrial Output in Current Prices, China 1952-96.
  5. ^ Deng Xiaoping on BUILD SOCIALISM WITH CHINESE CHARACTERISTICS on June 30, 1984
  6. ^ Analysts express optimism about Chinese shares (from Xinhuanet.com, with source from Shanghai Daily)
  7. ^ http://www.stats.gov.cn/english/"China's National Bureau of Statistics "
  8. ^ http://edition.cnn.com/2007/BUSINESS/01/25/china.economy.ap/index.html
  9. ^ Vice-Premier Li Xiannian's speech, published in Hong Kong newspaper Ming Pao on June 14, 1979.[citation needed]
  10. ^ "China Drafts Law to Boost Unions and End Labor Abuse" New York Times, October 13, 2006
  11. ^ "Official Union in China Says All Wal-Marts Are Organized" New York Times October 13, 2006
  12. ^ China's foreign trade to top US$ 1.75 trillion. ChinaDaily (2007-01-02). Retrieved on March 27, 2007.
  13. ^ Germany still the export achiever. CNN (2005-12-06). Retrieved on March 27, 2007.
  14. ^ http://www.point-topic.com/contentDownload/dslanalysis/world%20broadband%20statistics%20q4%202005.pdf
  15. ^ Pakistan, Growth and Export Competitiveness.
  16. ^ Chinese stock market pushes above $1 trillion mark.
  17. ^ Xinhua: Chinese mainland stock market to become world's third largest in 10 years
  18. ^ http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/15/business/yuan.php
  19. ^ Warner Bros to withdraw from Chinese mainland (Xinhuanet.com, with source from China Radio International)
  20. ^ http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2006/01/data/dbcselm.cfm?G=2001
  21. ^ http://www.chinability.com/GDP.htm

[edit] External links