VRYAN

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VRYAN was a Soviet analytical method to predict an expected United States surprise attack. It was initiated after the announcement of the SDI program by the Reagan administration. The Soviet leadership felt that the only use of SDI technology was to render their nuclear weapons ineffective, in preparation for a US nuclear assault. This surprise attack paranoia initiated the VRYAN program, an analytical method that incorporated worldwide intelligence of US “surprise attack” indicators such as US military exercises and domestic blood bank increases. Through the analysis of these numerous indicators, the VRYAN program intended to predict the US “surprise attack” in order for the Soviet leadership to launch a preemptive attack on the US. Even into the 1980s, the Soviet Union continued the VRYAN program leading to numerous war scares, most prominently Able Archer 83.