Victorian legislative election, 2002

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Legislative elections for the Victorian Legislative Assembly and for half the seats in the Victorian Legislative Council were held on Saturday November 30, 2002. The incumbent Labor Government of Premier Steve Bracks was returned with a large majority in the Legislative Assembly winning 62 of the 88 seats. Labor also won a majority of seats in the Legislative Council for the first time in its history.

The main opposition party, the Liberals led by Robert Doyle were reduced to just 17 seats, their worst result since 1952. While the Peter Ryan led Nationals (who after breaking off their Coalition with the Liberals renamed themselves the 'VicNats') retained the 7 seats they held from the 1999 election.

Labor was assisted by a strong economy and by the popularity of Steve Bracks, while the Liberal Party was badly divided between the Kroger and the Kennett factions. The Liberal campaign was also devastated by the revelation that the Shadow Treasurer Robert Dean was ineligible to vote and therefore was not able to stand as a candidate.

This was the last Victorian election where the Legislative Council was elected using Instant Runoff Voting in single-member districts (while each province has two members, they were elected at alternate elections). From 2006 onwards the Legislative Council will be elected from 8 multi-member electorates using proportional representation, with all seats in the Council being up for election.

[edit] Results

[edit] Electoral Maps

Metropolitan Melbourne: ALP held seats are marked in red. Liberal seats are coloured blue.

Country Victoria: ALP seats are coloured in red, Liberal in blue, Nationals in green and independents in yellow.

[edit] Electoral Pendulum

LABOR SEATS (62)
Seat	Party	Margin	Swing
Marginal
Evelyn	ALP	0.3%	+12.7%
Hastings	ALP	0.8%	+8.1%
Gembrook	ALP	1.6%	+8.6%
Melbourne	ALP	1.9% v GRN	*
Kilsyth	ALP	2.1%	+10.1%
Ferntree Gully	ALP	2.3%	+9.9%
Mount Waverley	ALP	2.3%	+11.4%
Bayswater	ALP	2.8%	+9.2%
Richmond	ALP	3.1% v GRN	*
Fairly safe
Prahan	ALP	4.4%	+9.2%
Mordialloc	ALP	4.5%	+7.1%
Bentleigh	ALP	4.8%	+6.8%
Eltham	ALP	4.8%	+8.6%
Morwell	ALP	4.9%	-4.2%
South Barwon	ALP	5.0%	+9.8%
Burwood	ALP	5.1%	+11.9%
Frankston	ALP	5.8%	+9.1%
Forest Hill	ALP	5.8%	+12.2%
Narracan	ALP	6.8%	+7.3%
Safe
Ripon	ALP	7.4%	+5.5%
Ballarat East	ALP	7.6%	+4.2%
Mitcham	ALP	7.7%	+7.7%
Northcote	ALP	7.9% v GRN	*
Geelong	ALP	8.1%	+8.6%
Bellarine	ALP	8.3%	+9.8%
Monbulk	ALP	8.3%	+10.8%
Ballarat West	ALP	9.0%	+7.4%
Macedon	ALP	9.3%	+9.7%
Brunswick	ALP	9.3%	*
Seymour	ALP	9.5%	+9.5%
Yan Yean	ALP	9.5%	+10.2%
Narre Warren North	ALP	9.7%	+14.9%
Cranbourne	ALP	10.8%	+9.2%
Carrum	ALP	12.2%	+10.8%
Ivanhoe	ALP	12.5%	+7.6%
Albert Park	ALP	12.5%	+5.8%
Narre Warren South	ALP	12.6%	+14.1%
Bendigo East	ALP	13.0%	+10.0%
Oakleigh	ALP	15.2%	+12.2%
Melton	ALP	15.3%	+8.6%
Yuroke	ALP	15.9%	+7.6%
Bendigo West	ALP	16.0%	+4.9%
Mulgrave	ALP	16.2%	+11.8%
Niddrie	ALP	16.6%	+10.1%
Tarneit	ALP	17.4%	+6.6%
Bundoora	ALP	17.6%	+10.3%
Keilor	ALP	18.1%	+11.4%
Very safe
Dandenong	ALP	20.3%	+8.7
Lara	ALP	22.4%	+9.7
Yuroke	ALP	22.9%	+13.8
Clayton	ALP	23.9%	+11.8
Pascoe Vale	ALP	24.2%	+7.3
Altona	ALP	24.7%%	+9.1
Footscray	ALP	24.9%	+7.0
Lyndhurst	ALP	25.1%	+14.2
Williamstown	ALP	25.7%	+7.5
Preston	ALP	25.8%	+6.9
Mill Park	ALP	26.8%	+12.9
Kororoit	ALP	27.1%	+6.2
Derrimut	ALP	27.3%	+7.0
Broadmeadows	ALP	30.8%	+5.8
Thomastown	ALP	31.8%	+7.6

LIBERAL-NATIONAL SEATS (26)
Seat	Party	Margin	Swing
Marginal
Nepean	LIB	0.2%	+6.1%
Bass	LIB	0.6%	*
South-West Coast	LIB	0.7%	+3.9%
Doncaster	LIB	0.8%	+11.7%
Box Hill	LIB	1.1%	+6.9%
Mornington	LIB	1.8%	+10.1%
Benalla	NAT	2.0%	+5.4%
Caulfield	LIB	2.3%	+6.0%
Bulleen	LIB	2.6%	+10.1%
Sandringham	LIB	3.0%	+9.2%
Scoresby	LIB	3.3%	+11.5%
Fairly safe
Benambra	LIB	4.0%	+3.6%
Shepperaton	NAT	4.3%	*
Hawthorn	LIB	5.9%	+8.3%
Kew	LIB	6.0%	+7.9%
Warrandyte	LIB	6.4%	+7.5%
Safe
Brighton	LIB	7.4%	+7.4%
Polwarth	LIB	9.5%	+3.7%%
Rodney	NAT	10.0% v LIB	*
Malvern	LIB	10.2%	+6.0%
Gippsland South	NAT	10.9%	-2.8%
Gippsland East	IND	11.8% v NAT	*
Murray Valley	NAT	13.9%	+1.9%
Swan Hill	NAT	14.2%	*
Lowan	NAT	17.1%	*
Mildura	IND	18.5% v NAT	*

Seats which changed hands are shown in bold.

A '+' sign indicates a swing to Labor, a '-' sign a swing to Liberal National.

[edit] See also

• Members of the Victorian Legislative Assembly, 2002-2006

[edit] References

• Victorian Electoral Commission, [1]
• Costar, B.J & Campbell J.. "Realigning Victoria: The State Election of 30 November 2002". Australian Journal of Political Science 38 : 2: 313-323.