Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game
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Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game (ISBN 0-393-05765-8) is a book by Michael M. Lewis released in 2003 about the general manager of the Major League Baseball team Oakland Athletics, Billy Beane, and his team's approach to running the organization.
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[edit] Central premise of Moneyball
The central premise of Moneyball is that the collected wisdom of baseball insiders (including players, managers, coaches, scouts and the front office) over the past century is subjective and often flawed. Statistics such as 40 yard dash times, RBIs and batting average, typically used to gauge players, are relics of a 19th-century view of the game and the statistics that were available at the time.
Since then, real statistical analysis has shown that on base percentage and slugging percentage are better indicators of offensive success and that avoiding an out is more important than getting a hit. Every on-field play can be evaluated in terms of expected runs contributed. For example, a strike on the first pitch of an at-bat may be worth - 0.05 runs. This flies in the face of conventional baseball wisdom and the beliefs of many of the men who are paid large sums to evaluate talent.
By re-evaluating the strategies that produce wins on the field, the Athletics, with approximately $55 million in salary, are competitive with the New York Yankees who spend over $205 million (in 2005/2006) annually on their players. Oakland is forced to find players undervalued by the market, and their system for finding value in undervalued players has proven itself thus far.
Several Lewis themes explored in the book include: insiders vs. outsiders (established traditionalists vs. upstart proponents of Sabermetrics), the democratization of information causing a flattening of hierarchies and the ruthless drive for efficiency that capitalism demands.
In addition, Moneyball traces the history of the sabermetric movement back to such luminaries as Bill James (now a member of the Boston Red Sox front office) and Craig Wright. Lewis explores how James' seminal "Baseball Abstract", an annual publication that was published from the late-1970s through the late-1980s, influenced many of the young, up-and-coming baseball minds that are now joining the ranks of baseball management.
Moneyball has made such an impact in professional baseball that the term itself has entered the lexicon of baseball. Teams which appear to value the concepts of sabermetrics over traditional tactics are often said to be playing "Moneyball". Baseball traditionalists, in particular some scouts and media members, decry the sabermetric revolution and have disparaged Moneyball for going against traditional thinking in statistics analysis and emphasizing concepts of sabermetrics. Nevertheless, the impact of Moneyball upon major league front offices is undeniable. In its wake, teams such as the New York Mets, New York Yankees, San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals, Arizona Diamondbacks and the Toronto Blue Jays have hired full-time statistical analysts.
[edit] People discussed in the book
Moneyball also covers the lives and careers of several baseball personalities. The central one is Billy Beane himself, whose failed playing career is contrasted with wildly optimistic predictions by scouts.
Players and People Discussed in Moneyball
Oakland Farm System:
- Barry Zito -- 2002 AL Cy Young winner, part of the "Big 3" with Mulder and Hudson
- Mark Mulder - part of the "Big 3" with Zito and Hudson
- Tim Hudson - part of the "Big 3" with Mulder and Zito
- Kirk Saarloos
- Joe Blanton
- Jason Giambi -- 2000 AL MVP
- Miguel Tejada -- 2002 AL MVP
- Eric Chavez -- 6 Time AL Gold Glove winner
- Jeremy Brown
- Nick Swisher
- Bobby Crosby -- 2004 AL Rookie of the Year
The Oakland Bullpen:
- Jason Isringhausen
- Billy Koch -- 2002 AL Relief Pitcher of the Year
- Chad Bradford
- Jim Mecir
- Ricardo Rincon
- Mike Magnante
Trade Steals:
Found by Moneyball:
- Scott Hatteberg
- Johnny Damon
- Kevin Youkilis -- the "Greek god of walks"
The Antithesis of Moneyball:
- Jeremy Bonderman -- Traded to Detroit
- Ben Sheets -- Passed over by Oakland in order to draft Barry Zito
Other Players Named:
- Jamie Moyer
- Terrence Long
- Erik Hiljus
- Alex Rodriguez -- Beane compares A-Rod's stats to those of Eric Chavez
- Barry Bonds -- Beane also compares his stats to those of Eric Chavez
Scouts, Management, and Journalists:
- Billy Beane
- Paul DePodesta -- Assistant GM
- Peter Gammons -- Sports writer
- Art Howe -- Formerly Oakland's field manager
[edit] Publication data
Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game. Lewis, Michael. W.W. Norton & Company Inc., 2003. ISBN 0-393-05765-8