Wikipedia:Ten-million pool

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This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Special:statistics) in the English Wikipedia reaches 10,000,000 (ten million). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner (of eternal fame). The current number of articles in the English Wikipedia is 1,536,447.

This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 5,000,000, so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on March 1, 2006, shortly after the 1,000,000th article was created.

For non-serious topical pools, see Wikipedia:Millionth topic pool and Wikipedia:Two-millionth topic pool.

1 2006-2009
- 1.1 2009
2 2010-2019
3 2020-2029
4 2030-2039
5 2040-2049
6 2050-2059
7 2060 or later
8 Never

[edit] 2006-2009

[edit] 2009

17 February - Soo 15:43, 15 April 2006 (UTC)
March 5, 2009 --Jonathan ^talk 19:03, 13 July 2006 (UTC)
14 July -gadfium 03:05, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
15 August - Korean alpha for knowledge (Talk / Contributions) 10:21, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
26 September Smartech 02:51, 24 April 2006 (UTC)
14 October --May the Force be with you! Shreshth91($ |-| ŗ 3 $ |-| ţ |-|) 11:31, 11 May 2006 (UTC)
31 October - based on an extrapolation of Wikipedia:Modelling Wikipedia's growth. And what happend to the billion pool? :-( Nossac 16:32, 17 October 2006 (UTC)
- Now is not the time for a billion pool. When Wikipedia has 100M articles is the right time for one. Georgia guy 20:27, 26 October 2006 (UTC)
21 December - Ek7 21:37, 3 July 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2010-2019

January 30, 2010 --Zzzzzzzzzz 21:37, 8 December 2006 (UTC)
January 1 2010--Acebrock 07:15, 5 October 2006 (UTC)
August 6, 2011 qmaqdk 15:32, 2 March 2006 (GMT+1)
August 28, 2011 Emre D. 01:21, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
November 16, 2011 Acs4b 06:46, 13 October 2006 (UTC)
March 1, 2012 TraxPlayer 11:09 2 March 2006 (GMT+1)
Ikke 06:06, 6 June 2012 (GMT)
August 5th, 2012 Alfakim -- talk 01:02, 5 March 2006 (UTC)
September 24, 2012 Lesgles (talk) 05:47, 3 March 2006 (UTC)
October 1, 2012 Juppiter 05:04, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
November 6, 2012 --Blue387 21:48, 18 March 2006 (UTC)
December 8, 2012 yet another birthday guess. YechielMan 23:27, 21 September 2006 (UTC)
January 29, 2013. --Hamedog^Talk|@ 11:42, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
March 18, 2013, 13:33:23 UTC. (Three years after Wikipedia reaches five million articles!) JIP | Talk 09:25, 6 March 2006 (UTC)
August 10th, 2013 Tomwood0 6:06, 2 March 2006 (AEDST)
31 October 2013 --Andrew 17:02, 12 June 2006 (UTC)
1 September, 2014 FBali 19:03, 20 March 2006 (UTC)
December 13, 2015 User:Wrangler1390 11:13, 2 March 2006 (GMT: -5)
July 17, 2017 at 3:14:26.493993029394091928289024573940003459348203 Greenland Standard Time Niffweed17, Destroyer of Chickens 20:43, 7 October 2006 (UTC)
March 15, 2017 24.199.216.91 11:02, 16 October 2006 (UTC)Procty
September 2, 2017 +Hexagon1 (talk) 13:33, 14 March 2006 (UTC)
November 13th, 2017 RyanGerbil10 03:08, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
December 12, 2019 Nat 05:10, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
December 31st, 2019 Bifgis 21:59, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2020-2029

August 22nd 2021 01:33 GMT David 14:23, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
July 4, 2026 — Sintonak.X 14:56, 2 March 2006 (UTC)
December 10, 2027 — Bjcffnet 1:23, 4 March 2006 (UTC)
December 31, 2029 Car salesman 20:05, 14 April 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2030-2039

January 19, 2038 Nogwa 19:02, 3 April 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2040-2049

December 17, 2045 - Mikker ^(...) 03:30, 4 April 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2050-2059

April 7, 2052. Georgia guy 23:11, 1 March 2006 (UTC)
June 6, 2052. At exactly 14:23. - Ghelae^talk_contribs 15:55, 2 March 2006 (UTC)

[edit] 2060 or later

April 1, 2078. Jet Engines 18:07, 3 April 2006 (UTC)

[edit] Never

Never. In 2013 or 2014 the maximum of 5 milion (see [1]) or 6 million articles will be reached. At that time any edit on wikipedia can only done by referencing at least 4 independend sources. HenkvD 19:37, 19 March 2006 (UTC)
On January 1, 2018, the United Nations will unanimously vote to shut down the Internet, agreeing that it has done much more harm than good to human society. Wikipedia's 20,000+ featured articles will be printed in a ten-volume encyclopedia, and the rest of the database will be stored on microfilm in the New York Public Library. For decades afterwards sociologists will examine the millions of talk page archives, trying to figure out what it was about the Internet that made it so impossible to produce good things, but eventually this research will be halted for lack of funding. Ashibaka tock 18:07, 26 March 2006 (UTC)
Never. I agree with HenkvD. DarthVad e r 08:50, 18 May 2006 (UTC)
Never. I would agree with Henkvd, the maximum is 5-6 million (and the edit-requirement may also be correct), but unfortunately Ashibaka is right, but unfortunately again this will happen as early as 2008. Make your Personal backup in late 2007-- ExpImp^talkcon 01:27, 27 October 2006 (UTC)
Never, ever. Simply impossible.