Economy of Zimbabwe

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Economy of Zimbabwe
Currency Zimbabwean dollar (ZWD)
Fiscal year calendar year
Trade organisations WTO
Statistics
GDP (PPP) USD $25.690 billion (2005) (107th [1])
GDP growth -4.7% (2006 IMF est.)
GDP per capita USD $2,607 (2005 est.)
GDP by sector Agriculture: 17.3%, Industry: 24.5%, Services: 58.3% (2003)
Inflation (CPI) 1098.8% (November 2006)[2]
Pop below poverty line 80% (2005 est.)
Labour force 4.23 million (2004 est.)
Labour force by occupation Agriculture: 60%, Services: 9%, Wholesale, Retail, Hotels, Restaurants: ~4%, Manufacturing: 4%, Mining: 3% (2003)
Unemployment 80% (2005 est.)
Main industries mining (coal, gold, platinum, copper, nickel, tin, clay, numerous metallic and nonmetallic ores), steel; wood products, cement, chemicals, fertilizer, clothing and footwear, foodstuffs, beverages
Trading Partners
Exports USD $1.644 billion (2005 est.)
Export goods Cotton, tobacco, gold, ferroalloys, textiles/clothing
Main partners South Africa 33.3%, China 7.5%, Japan 6.4%, Netherlands 4.9%, US 4.7%, Italy 4.3%, Zambia 4.2%, Germany 4.1% (2005)
Imports USD $2.059 billion (2005 est.) f.o.b.
Imports goods machinery and transport equipment, other manufactures, chemicals, fuels
Main Partners South Africa 43%, China 4.6%, Botswana 3.3% (2005)
Public finances
Public debt Domestic: ZWD $127 billion (rev) (September 2006) . International: USD $5.2 billion (September 2006)
Revenues ZWD $216 billion (rev, 2006)
Expenses ZWD $451 billion (rev, 2006)
Economic aid recipient: $178 million; note - the EU and the US provide food aid on humanitarian grounds (2000 est.)
Main source [3]
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars

Properly managed, Zimbabwe's wide range of resources should enable it to support continuing economic growth. The country has an important percentage of the world's known reserves of metallurgical-grade chromite. Other commercial mineral deposits include coal, asbestos, copper, nickel, gold, platinum and iron ore.

However, its ongoing political turmoil and the world's highest rate of AIDS [1] infection have greatly hampered its progress. Robert Mugabe's policies towards land reform have led to internal upheaval and population displacement, high inflation, and an inability of the country to feed itself. As of mid-2006 Zimbabwe has a fast shrinking economy and the highest inflation in the world.

Contents

[edit] Rhodesia era

The Rhodesian economy experienced a modest boom in the early 1970s. Real per capita earnings for blacks and whites reached record highs, although the disparity in incomes between blacks and whites remained, with blacks earning only about one-tenth as much as whites. After 1975, however, Rhodesia's economy was undermined by the cumulative effects of sanctions, declining earnings from commodity exports, worsening guerilla conflict, and increasing white emigration. When Mozambique severed economic ties, the Ian Smith regime was forced to depend on South Africa for access to the outside world. Real gross domestic product (GDP) declined between 1974 and 1979, before full independence in 1980. An increasing proportion of the national budget (an estimated 30%-40% per year) was allocated to defense, and a large budget deficit raised the public debt burden substantially.

The manufacturing sector, already well-developed before the Unilateral Declaration of Independence (UDI) in 1965, was given a major stimulus by the imposition of United Nations sanctions. The sanctions obliged Rhodesian industry to diversify and create many import-substitution undertakings to compensate for loss of traditional sources of imports. Rhodesian processing of local raw materials also grew rapidly. Major growth industries included steel and steel products, heavy equipment, transportation equipment, ferrochrome, textiles, and food processing.

[edit] 1980s

Following the Lancaster House Agreement in December 1979, the transition to majority rule in early 1980, and the lifting of sanctions, Zimbabwe enjoyed a brisk economic recovery. Real growth for 1980-1981 exceeded 20%. However, depressed foreign demand for the country's mineral exports and the onset of a drought cut sharply into the growth rate in 1982, 1983, and 1984. In 1985, the economy rebounded strongly due to a 30% jump in agricultural production. However it slumped in 1986 to a zero growth rate and registered negative of about minus 3% in 1987 due primarily to drought and foreign exchange crisis faced by the country. Growth in 1988-1990 averaged about 4.5%.

[edit] Infrastructure and resources

Zimbabwe has adequate internal transportation and electrical power networks. Paved roads link the major urban and industrial centres, and rail lines managed by the National Railways of Zimbabwe tie it into an extensive central African railroad network with all its neighbours. In non-drought years, it has adequate electrical power, mainly generated by the Kariba Dam on the Zambezi River but augmented since 1983 by large thermal plants adjacent to the Wankie coal field. As of 2006, crumbling infrastructure and lack of spare parts for generators and coal mining means that Zimbabwe imports 40% of its power - 100 megawatts from the Democratic Republic of Congo, 200 megawatts from Mozambique and up to 450 from South Africa, and 300 megawatts from Zambia. [2]

With considerable hydroelectric power and plentiful coal deposits for thermal power stations, Zimbabwe is less dependent on oil as an energy source than most other comparably industrialized countries. Only about 15% of Zimbabwe's total energy consumption is accounted for by oil, all of which is imported. Zimbabwe imports about 1.2 billion litres per year. Dependence on petroleum is managed through the price controls for vehicle fuels, the use of gasohol, and the substitution of diesel-electric locomotives on the railway system. Zimbabwe also has substantial coal reserves that are utilized for power generation, and recently discovered in Matabeleland province are coalbed methane deposits greater than any known natural gas field in Southern or Eastern Africa. In recent years, poor economic management and low foreign currency reserves have led to serious fuel shortages.

The telephone service is problematic, and new lines are difficult to obtain.

Agriculture was once the backbone of the Zimbabwean economy. Due to largescale eviction of white farmers and the government's land reform efforts, this is no longer the case. [3] Reliable crop estimates are not available due to the Zimbabwe government's attempts to hide the realities following the evictions. The ruling party went as far as banning maize imports, stating record crops for the year of 2004[4]

Before the farm evictions, Maize was the largest crop. Tobacco was the largest export crop followed by cotton. Poor government management has exacerbated meager harvests caused by drought and floods, resulting in significant food shortfalls beginning in 2001. The land redistribution has been generally condemned in the developed world. It has found considerable support in Africa and a few supporters among African-American activists, but Jesse Jackson commented during a visit to South Africa in June 2006, "Land reform has long been a noble goal to achieve but it has to be done in a way that minimises trauma. The process has to attract investors rather than scare them away. What is required in Zimbabwe is democratic rule, democracy is lacking in the country and [that] is the major cause of this economic melt down."

[edit] Effects of political turmoil on the economy

In recent years, poor management of the economy and political turmoil has led to considerable economic hardship. The Government of Zimbabwe's chaotic land reform program, recurrent interference with, and intimidation of, the judiciary, as well as maintenance of unrealistic price controls and exchange rates has led to a sharp drop in investor confidence.

On 1 November 1989 a former junior government minister in Rhodesia-Zimbabwe, Denis Walker, produced a paper in London for the Conservative Monday Club's Foreign Affairs Committee on Land Reform in Zimbabwe. In his last paragraph he stated that "once the land has been redistributed, the commercial farms will be broken up, the remaining white farmers reduced by exile or imprisonment; Zimbabwe's government, already morally bankrupt, will decline towards economic collapse."

Since 2000, the national economy has contracted by as much as 40%; inflation has vaulted to over 1000%, and there have been persistent shortages of foreign exchange, local currency, fuel, and food.

Direct foreign investment has all but evaporated. Billions were spent in the country's involvement in the war in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Price controls have been imposed on a wide range of products including food (maize, bread, steak), fuel, medicines, soap, electrical appliances, yarn, window frames, building sand, agricultural machinery, fertilisers and school textbooks.

Robert Mugabe has repeatedly denied charges that his policies have been responsible for the economic crisis. He and his supporters maintain that the economic hardships have been brought about by Western "economic" sanctions. [5] However, the only sanctions in place are personal sanctions against senior Zanu-PF figures; there are no sanctions against trade or investment with Zimbabwe.

As of February 2004, Zimbabwe's foreign debt repayments ceased, resulting in compulsory suspension from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This, and the United Nations World Food Programme stopping its food aid due to insufficient donations from the world community, has forced the government into borrowing from local sources.

Zimbabwe has experienced severe foreign exchange in recent years, exacerbated by the difference between the official rate and the black market rate. In 2004 a system of auctioning scarce foreign currency for importers was introduced, which temporarily led to a slight reduction in the foreign currency crisis, but by mid 2005 foreign currency shortages were once again chronic. The currency was devalued by the central bank twice, first to 9,000 to the US$, and then to 17,500 to the US$ on 20 July, 2005, but at that date it was reported that that was only half the rate available on the black market.

In July 2005 Zimbabwe was reported to be appealing to the South African government for US$ 1 billion of emergency loans, but despite regular rumours that the idea was being discussed no financial support has been obtained from South Africa.

The official Zimbabwean dollar exchange rate has been frozen at Z$101,196 per U.S. dollar since early 2006, but as of 27 July 2006 the parallel (black market) rate has reached 550,000 per U.S. dollar. By comparison, 10 years ago, the rate of exchange was only Z$9.13 per USD.

In August 2006, The RBZ revalued the Zimbabwean Dollar by 1000 ZWD to 1 (revalued) Dollar. At the same time, Zimbabwe devalued the Zim Dollar by 60% against the US Dollar. New official exchange rate revalued ZWD 250 per USD. The parallel market rate was about revalued ZWD 1,200 to 1,500 per USD (28 Sept 2006). [6]

In November 2006, it was announced that sometime around December 01, there would be a further devaluation and that the official exchange rate would change to revalued ZWD 750 per USD. [7] However the parallel market immediately reacted to this news, with the parallel rate falling to ZWD 2,000 per USD (18 Nov 2006) [8]

year Official exchange rate Parallel exchange rate
2000 38 56 - 70
2001 55 70 - 340
2002 55 380 - 1740
2003 55; 824 1400 - 6000
2004 824 - 5730 5500 - 6000
2005 5,730 - 26,003 6,400 - 100,000
2006 85,158 - 101,196
(250 revalued dollars)
100,000 - 550,000
(550 - 2,400 revalued dollars)
Note: Official rates quoted are Government set exchange rates. Parallel (Black market) rates differ significantly.

For more details, please see Zimbabwean dollar.

Poverty and Unemployment are both endemic in Zimbabwe, driven by the shrinking economy and hyper-inflation. Both unemployment and poverty rates run near 80%. As of January 2006, the poverty line was ZWD 17,200 per month. As of November 2006, this had risen to ZWD 209,000 per month, while the average wage was under ZWD 50,000 per month.

The lowest 10% of Zimbabwe's population consume only 1.97% of the economy while the highest 10% consume 40.42%. The current account balance is negative. (US $-517 million)

[edit] Energy

Electricity
Production 8.877 billion kWh (2003)
Consumption 11.22 billion kWh (2003)
Exports 0 kWh (2003)
Imports 3.3 billion kWh (2003)

9.50% from D.R.Congo
19.0% from Mozambique
28.5% from Zambia
43.0% from South Africa

Oil
Production 0 bbl/day (2003 est.)
Consumption 22,500 bbl/day (2003 est.)
Exports 0 bbl/day (2003)
Imports 23,000 bbl/day (2003)

[edit] References

  1. ^ http://www.worldpress.org/Africa/770.cfm
  2. ^ http://www.news24.com/News24/Africa/Zimbabwe/0,,2-11-1662_1996209,00.html
  3. ^ http://www.geographyiq.com/countries/zi/Zimbabwe_economy_summary.htm
  4. ^ http://www.newfarm.org/international/news/2005/020105/0210/zimbabwe_crops.shtml
  5. ^ http://za.today.reuters.com/news/newsArticle.aspx?type=businessNews&storyID=2006-01-10T123209Z_01_ALL032711_RTRIDST_0_OZABS-ECONOMY-ZIMBABWE-INFLATION-20060110.XML&archived=False
  6. ^ http://www.zimbabwesituation.com/sep29b_2006.html#Z14
  7. ^ http://www.zimbabwesituation.com/nov17_2006.html#Z12
  8. ^ http://www.zimbabwesituation.com/nov19_2006.html#Z3
  • Zim Budget puts govt $253 trillion in the red [4] 2006-07-27
  • Yahoo Business News - Zimbabwe inflation hits new high [5] 2006-09-15

[edit] See also

[edit] External links