Calculus of voting

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Calculus of voting refers to any mathematical model which predicts voting behaviour by an electorate, including such features as participation rate. A calculus of voting represents an hypothesized decision-making process.

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[edit] Use in political science

These models are used in political science in an attempt to capture the relative importance of various factors influencing an elector to vote (or not vote) in a particular way.

[edit] Example

One such model is given by Riker and Ordeshook:

“Calculus of Voting” (Riker and Ordeshook 1962)

V = pB - C + D

p = probability of vote “mattering”
B = “utility” benefit of voting
C = costs of voting (time/effort spent)
D = citizen duty, goodwill feeling

A political science model used to explain why citizens do or do not vote based on rational choice.

[edit] Problems with approach

People do not tend to act according to any model absolutely, but rather act upon impulse.

[edit] External links

The predominant source is Riker and Ordeshook, "A Theory of the Calculus of Voting"