Banco de Oro-Equitable PCI Bank merger

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This article documents a current event. Information may change rapidly as the event progresses.

The Banco de Oro-Equitable PCI Bank merger is a plan by the SM Group of Companies and Banco de Oro Universal Bank, the fifth-largest bank in the Philippines, to merge with (although it is considered by some as an acquisition or even as a hostile takeover) Equitable PCI Bank, the third-largest bank. The merger is part of a long-term goal of Banco de Oro to become one of the largest names in the Philippine banking industry.

The plan is controversial in terms that a smaller bank could not possibly acquire a bank much larger than it is. Currently, Equitable PCI has three times the capital Banco de Oro has. Analysts are worried about the repercussions this could have on the industry. However, the deal has been able to generate a lot of media hype, especially in newspaper editorials.

Contents 1 Background 2 Merger history 2.1 First attempts 2.2 Second time's a charm 2.3 Banco de Oro's gambit 2.4 Foreign interest 2.5 Ganging up against the merger 2.6 "They're the drunken buyer!" 2.7 Banco de Oro-EPCI Bank 3 Precedents 4 The question of Chinabank 5 Effects of the merger 6 References 7 See also

[edit] Background

The merger with or acquisition of Equitable PCI is one of the acquisitions that Banco de Oro has been involved with over the last five years. In 2001, it successfully acquired the Philippine subsidiary of Dao Heng Bank, adding on some twelve branches to its branch network. The next year, it acquired the branches of First e-Bank, then-owned by First Pacific, the majority shareholder in the Philippine Long Distance Telephone Company.^[1] A year later, it acquired the Philippine subsidiary of Banco Santander Central Hispano.^[1]

Later on, in April 2005, BDO acquired 66 of the 67 branches of the Philippine subsidiary of United Overseas Bank, after UOB announced the conversion of its operations from retail banking to wholesale banking.^[2] The deal was closed on December 20, 2005. BDO's wave of acquisitions has earned it the distinction of being the most aggressive bank in terms of mergers and acquisitions.^[1]

However, this title belonged to Equitable PCI Bank in the 1990s, when its predecessor, Equitable Bank, went on to buy banks such as Mindanao Development Bank and Ecology Bank in the mid-1990s.^[3] In 1999, Equitable completed arguably one of the largest bank mergers in Philippine banking history: the merger with the larger Philippine Commercial International Bank, or PCI Bank.^[3] The deal was closed sometime in either 2000 or 2001 and sparked the first wave of mergers and acquisitions.

[edit] Merger history

[edit] First attempts

The intention of Banco de Oro to acquire Equitable PCI has been existence since January 2004, when BDO tried to acquire the 29-percent share of the Social Security System, or SSS, in Equitable PCI for eight billion pesos. However, a group that included politicians and pension holders managed to get this deal suspended after this group questioned the price and terms of the deal. The case is still pending.^[4]

[edit] Second time's a charm

On August 5, 2005, Banco de Oro and SM Investments Corporation, another member of the SM Group, acquired 24.76% of Equitable PCI shares from the Go family, the family that founded Equitable PCI.^[5] The acquisition finally settled a dispute between the Gos and a bigger bloc representing the SSS, the Government Service Insurance System (GSIS) and the family of Equitable PCI chairman Ferdinand Romualdez, a relative of Imelda Marcos. The SM group's acquisition of the Go shares increased its stake to 27.26%. It had a 2.5% stake before the acquisition. The deal was closed on August 11 of that year.

During that time, the SM group hoped that the Supreme Court would have settled with finality the issue over the acquisition of the 29% stake of the SSS. Currently, the SSS is still studying the deal, unlike the GSIS and chairman Romualdez, both of who are staunchly opposed to the deal. The GSIS would only agree to the acquisition of its shares if its shares were to be bought at 92 pesos per share, the price at which the GSIS originally bought it for, or higher.^[6]

The SSS deal called for acquisition of its shares for P43.50 per share.^[5] However, the SM group says that it is amenable to a renegotiation of the share price, saying that it is willing to pay more for the SSS stake.

Subsequent acquisitions of common shares on the Philippine Stock Exchange have boosted the stake of the SM group to 34% as of January 9, 2006, making it the single largest shareholder in the bank.^[5]

[edit] Banco de Oro's gambit

On January 6, 2006, Banco de Oro offered to buy the rest of Equitable PCI for 41.3 billion pesos through a share swap option, with Banco de Oro as the surviving entity.^[5] Under the deal, every one Equitable PCI share would be swapped for 1.6 Banco de Oro shares or, in a second option, an independent accounting company would determine the swap ratio on the book values of both banks under International Accounting Standards.^[5] If approved by two-thirds of Equitable PCI shareholders, this "merger of equals" would create the second-largest bank in the Philippines, putting Banco de Oro, the survivor of the merger, just below Metrobank but dislodging Bank of the Philippine Islands (BPI) from the spot. Equitable PCI has been given a deadline of January 31 to consider the deal.

If the deal is approved by the Equitable PCI board, all stakes will be diluted as the SM Group's stake increases.

However, the GSIS and Romualdez were still opposed. In fact, a counterproposal was even considered by Romualdez in which a merger would occur, but with Equitable PCI as the surviving entity, rather than Banco de Oro. So far, this counterproposal has not been as hot a topic as a merger with BDO as the surviving entity.

International analysts see otherwise. Standard and Poors says that if the merger deal succeeds, Equitable PCI's debt rating could rise, while Banco de Oro's ratings will remain unchanged. Equitable PCI's debt rating is currently a B, five notches below investment grade. Banco de Oro has a B+ rating.

UBS claims that Equitable PCI shareholders should find the deal attractive and also hails the deal as a "win-win situation" for both banks. It also claims that under the current timeframe, the merger will also benefit Equitable PCI since it would increase its capital adequacy ratio (CAR) without having it raise more capital, making the deal timely under IAS. It also claims that the share price of Equitable PCI would increase to as much as P73.60 under the deal, more than the fair value target price of 67 pesos.

It is unlikely however that Equitable PCI can meet the January 31 deadline. According to a report from the Manila Times on January 24, chairman Romualdez said that the Equitable PCI board of directors failed to discuss the issue.^[7] Romualdez also said that in order for the BDO-Equitable PCI merger would be slated for discussion, it needs the approval of a majority of the board members.^[7]

[edit] Foreign interest

Foreign investor groups are also becoming interested in the merger deal. Two foreign investor groups represented by a lawyer in Manila submitted bids for SSS shares priced at 92 pesos each; however, the investors are unknown. The GSIS has reportedly started the bidding process for their shares in which it would sell its shares at 92 pesos or higher. Offers must be submitted by March 6.

[edit] Ganging up against the merger

There are hints though that the SSS could join the GSIS in selling their shares. According to GSIS president and general manager Winston Garcia, the SSS could join it in selling their shares in Equitable PCI, a total of 42% of the bank, for the GSIS price of 92 pesos, enough to thwart a Banco de Oro-Equitable PCI merger. No response though has come from the SSS; however, the SSS has already said that it will not sell its shares below 10.2 billion pesos, the price the SM group paid to acquire the Go family stake in Equitable PCI.

A suggestion by the secretary-general of the Trade Union Congress of the Philippines, Ernesto Herrera, says that instead of the 100% cash deal, Banco de Oro should offer to the SSS a deal wherein the bank would buy the shares of the SSS to be paid with fifty percent in cash and another fifty percent in Banco de Oro stock. This way, says Herrera, the SSS would have a partial return of capital and a new valuable investment in Banco de Oro.

Even with stiff opposition from the GSIS and Romualdez, Banco de Oro says now that it is willing to buy their shares "at a reasonable price", since no price was ever mentioned in the proposal. In fact, Equitable PCI board member and former BDO chairwoman Teresita Sy even said that the price is a "moving target". Banco de Oro wants a quick end to the dispute. It is also considering an extension to the merger plan if, according to Banco de Oro president Nestor Tan, they believe that "it is something worthwhile".

Although the deal lapsed on January 31 with no word on an extension, treasury shares totaling 10 percent of Equitable PCI stock could go on sale. The shares were used by the Go family to keep themselves in control of Equitable PCI in the past.^[8] However, the new Equitable PCI board voted late last year to retire the shares instead, providing a legal hitch with the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas and the Securities and Exchange Commission.^[8] If it were to be auctioned, it could join the 12-percent GSIS block.^[8] If this were to occur, the 92-peso share price becomes reasonable, probably thwarting a merger with Banco de Oro.^[8]

As of February 6, the SSS is attempting to draft a price for its stake in Equitable PCI. However, a source familiar with the BDO-SSS deal says that the deal is also open to Banco de Oro. No word has since been released. But in another development, GSIS president Garcia says that he will meet with board member Sy to discuss the possible purchase and subsequent auction of the 34-percent Sy block alongside the GSIS block and controversial treasury shares for 95 pesos per share.

[edit] "They're the drunken buyer!"

In a turn of events, the GSIS has offered to buy the 34% SM stake from it at P79.50 per share (as of March 23) in cash, earning Banco de Oro and the SM group some eight billion pesos.^[9] It is unknown whether Banco de Oro, the SM group, or the SM board members of Equitable PCI Bank have agreed, although it is believed that GSIS chairman Garcia is trying to turn the tables on Teresita Sy. If the deal succeeds, this could thwart any chance of a merger. However, this deal is dogged with allegations that Garcia is merely hyping the market, causing a rise in the value of Equitable PCI shares, which were then valued at above 80 pesos as of March 24.^[9]

In a bizarre twist of events as reported by the Philippine Daily Inquirer on April 25, as the Securities and Exchange Commission demanded that Garcia release the identity of the mystery buyer of the GSIS stake in Equitable PCI, he revealed that the "drunken" buyer is indeed Banco de Oro.^[10] The term drunken was used because it was believed at the time that Garcia's claim is merely market hype and that no one would be crazy enough to buy an Equitable PCI share for the price Garcia was asking for, which is 95 pesos, payable in cash. This is based on an e-mail that Garcia claimed was sent to him by BDO president Tan, and claims that he and Tessie Sy had at least two secret meetings on the merger in Hong Kong.^[10]

On May 6, President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo said that she will support the current stance of the SSS in avoiding any sale negotiations regarding its stake in Equitable PCI until all underlying disputes at the Supreme Court have been resolved.^[11] As of May 24, according to an article published by the Philippine Star, the merger is on hold until the Supreme Court decides on the legality of its sale of Equitable PCI stock to Banco de Oro.

[edit] Banco de Oro-EPCI Bank

The GSIS signed a sale agreement worth 8.7 billion pesos with SM Investments Corporation on September 27, giving the SM group an additional 12.7% stake in Equitable PCI, raising its stake to 46.7% from its current 34%. Currently, it is pending shareholder approval, only having four days to secure such approval.^[12] The SSS also pledged to sell its shares in Equitable PCI,^[13], although this is still dependent on the outcome of its previous sale case in the Supreme Court. If this passes, along with other commitments from other parties involved, the tender offer being made by the SM Group, worth 36 billion pesos, could well increase SM's stake to 85.6%, well above the 67% needed to effect a merger with Banco de Oro.^[13]

In anticipation of the merger, ATR Kim Eng Securities, one of the largest investment houses in the Philippines, raised the target price of Banco de Oro stock by 25% to 50 pesos within twelve months on October 9.^[14] The same investment house also said that if the merger succeeds with Banco de Oro as the surviving entity, it would catapult the bank's stock to blue chip status, as well as possibly lead the Philippine banking industry with a 23% growth in earnings per share in 2007.^[15]

On November 6, the respective boards of Banco de Oro and Equitable PCI Bank agreed to the merger of both banks through a modified stock swap deal.^[16] Instead of the original 1.6 shares Banco de Oro would swap for, it would swap 1.8 shares for every Equitable PCI share. At Banco de Oro's closing price of P44.50 as of that Monday, the deal would be valued at about P80.10 for every share, well above Equitable PCI's closing price then of P72.50.^[16] The deal has since been approved not only by their respective boards of directors, but also by the Securities and Exchange Commission.^[16] It will be submitted to shareholders for approval in December.^[16] When approved, while Banco de Oro will remain the surviving entity, the merged bank will be named Banco de Oro-EPCI Bank.^[16] The sale of GSIS shares in Equitable PCI was approved by the Bangko Sentral's Monetary Board on November 28.^[17] Separate merger approval meetings of both Banco de Oro and Equitable PCI Bank shareholders have been scheduled for December 27, with a final merger possibly taking place starting January 2007.^[17]

[edit] Precedents

This merger is only one part of the "second wave" of mergers and acquisitions in the Philippine banking industry, the first one being in the 1990s. Notable acquisitions in the second wave include Citibank's acquisition of Insular Savings Bank and BPI's acquisition of Prudential Bank, as well as the acquisition of International Exchange Bank by Union Bank of the Philippines,^[18] and more recently, the acquisition of Philippine Bank of Communications from Philtrust Bank.^[19]

The merger is part of a campaign on the part of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, in a complete reverse of stance from the 1990s. During the term of Bangko Sentral governor Gabriel Singson, the Bangko Sentral urged the creation of more banks, encouraging competition. However, the Asian financial crisis eventually forced the Bangko Sentral under Rafael Buenaventura to urge for the creation of more financially-stable banks, starting the first wave of mergers and acquisitions. The current governor, Amando Tetangco, has kept the stance of Buenaventura.

It is likely that an ongoing consolidation is taking place. Other target banks could include smaller players such as United Coconut Planters Bank, Union Bank of the Philippines and Allied Bank. Some banks are considering the use of the strategy to maintain their places: this is most apparent with Metrobank, which is trying to fend off competition to stay as the Philippines' biggest bank.

[edit] The question of Chinabank

Analysts who are monitoring the Banco de Oro-Equitable PCI merger are foreseeing the possibility of a three-way merger between Banco de Oro, Equitable PCI Bank and Chinabank, another SM-controlled bank and the tenth-largest bank in the Philippines.

If a three-way merger does push through, this could ultimately create the largest Philippine bank, dislodging Metrobank. Although it is possible, Banco de Oro has no intention to include Chinabank in the BDO-Equitable PCI merger deal, saying that its stake in Chinabank is but an "investment". It also claims that Chinabank is better off independent rather than under Banco de Oro, specializing in its own field of expertise.

[edit] Effects of the merger

If the merger were to take place, Banco de Oro would move up into large capitalized company status, defined as a company whose capital stands at a minimum of $700 million. The merger of both banks would result in the merged company having a market capitalization of two billion dollars.^[15] Aside from that, it would also have to consolidate the large Equitable PCI branch and ATM network under the Banco de Oro banner. If the two banks were to merge, the new Banco de Oro would have a total of 685 branches and a wide-reaching ATM network.

Problems with transition could mostly result with the conversion of ATMs: Equitable PCI Fastellers are linked to MegaLink while Banco de Oro Smartellers are linked to Expressnet. Also, Equitable PCI ATM cards are linked to Visa Electron and/or PLUS while Banco de Oro ATM cards are either local or, in the case of the new BDO International ATM Card, linked to MasterCard (branded as MasterCard Electronic), Maestro and Cirrus. Branch transition and consolidation usually run smoothly, as exemplified by the consolidation of the branches of United Overseas Bank under the Banco de Oro banner.

A problem arising from this could be that this merger could trigger a wave of mergers and acquisitions that could result in an oligopoly, with only few competitors. The Bangko Sentral is determined to stop this from ever happening in the event that it does.

[edit] References

[edit] See also

• Banco de Oro Universal Bank
• Equitable PCI Bank